JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark All-Star Game Live Blog

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Paul Swydan

10:37

They're going to let Cris Carter talk about sports besides football? That's one way to go.

Will

10:38

Sorry your logic doesn't seem very consistent. You make these caveats like "if Cano can keep it up" or "if he stays healthy into his late 30s' but you are comfortable projecting Betts over the next decade as a safer bet. Maybe I'm just more risk-averse about aging, I think projecting anyone in their mid-20s who isn't Mike Trout as a sure bet to make the HOF is absurd.

Paul Swydan

10:39

My reasoning with the older players is because they are less likely to put up 6-7 WAR campaigns this late in their careers, so they need the career bulk through playing time. In other words, for Cano to get from 50 to Whitaker's 68, he needs a bunch of 3 WAR seasons, because he's probably not going to have any 6-7 WAR seasons. So if he gets hurt for an extended period, it will really put a dent in his chances of doing that.

Mookie is young, if he gets hurt this year, he'll still have plenty of 6-7 WAR seasons in him.

Lance Mccullers

10:40

Why have i not pitched?

Paul Swydan

10:40

I don't know.

ChatzMcGee

10:40

I don't if I'm just drunk, but I can't really tell if this game has been good, or extremely boring.

Paul Swydan

10:40

Well the crowd hasn't been in it for much of the night, so that hasn't helped.

Mike

10:41

There's two ways for a Betts type of player to age. One learns old player skills like Bonds did, those guys last forever. The ones who don't mature into the new skills dont sustain HOF quality play

Paul Swydan

10:41

Sorry that's just not true. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/yankees-sign-jacoby-ellsbury-bet-on-spe...

Morris Buttermaker

10:41

Mccullers is going to throw 5 innings and get the win in extras.

Tor

10:43

Which position is deeper: NL First Base or NL Third Base?

Paul Swydan

10:43

I think when I looked NL third base had the most 2 WAR+ players.

Mike

10:43

Jacoby Ellsbury is your example of aging well?

Paul Swydan

10:44

I trust that you're smart enough to read the entire article.

Also, as I wrote Monday, Ellsbury has still been pretty good when healthy.

Rated Rookie

10:44

Ronald Acuna will be the Braves All Star representative next year.

Paul Swydan

10:44

Are you saying Freeman will be injured again next season?

Cam

10:45

By default, do the majority of fans choose to support NL or AL based on which league their favorite team is in? I'm a Dodgers fan, but I really battle to cheer for the NL over the AL. I probably should, but...eh.

Paul Swydan

10:45

I would think so, yes.

TKDC

10:46

NL third base is 7 of top 13 players by WAR (including Freeman).

Rated Rookie

10:46

Sorry. I meant one of the Braves All Stars representatives. Thanks for catching my typo.

Paul Swydan

10:46

No problemo. Thank YOU for having enough faith to think the Braves will have more than one All-Star next year!

hscer

10:46

who is the Rendon equivalent at 1B for the NL (best player at position not in game)

Paul Swydan

10:46

Uh there's this Anthony Rizzo guy

Trent

10:47

How many of tonight's players will get traded in the next month? Alonso, Hand, Neshek, others?

Paul Swydan

10:47

Maybe Stanton and Ozuna.

Jaime

10:47

If Gary Sanchez were to get hurt right now, would Perez be allowed to re-enter?

Paul Swydan

10:47

God I hope so, but I don't think so, no.

10:48

Striking out Votto should net you the MVP award.

hscer

10:48

who's taking Stanton on?

Paul Swydan

10:48

Who wouldn't?

Zane

10:48

Pretty sure Perez would be allowed to re-enter in case of injury (source: what I think I heard on the baseball tonight podcast)

Paul Swydan

10:49

Oh, they just said Jose Ramirez was the player designated as being able to come back in the game.

So I guess not.

TKDC

10:49

Sorry, NL 3rd base is 6 of top 13, not 7 of top 13, but that is still amazing.

Paul Swydan

10:49

It is indeed!

10:50

Even 5 would be.

hscer

10:50

teams that don't have 11/295 lying around?

Paul Swydan

10:50

They all have it lying around, don't be ridiculous.

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