JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 3/7/17

FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 3/7/17

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Greg Maddux

9:10

Keeper Question: I am in a 5x5 Roto 10 Team Keeper League, where we can only keep 6 players. I am already bat heavy, as I have already picked to keep Goldy (1st Rd), Harper (2nd Rd), Bryant (3rd Rd), Rizzo (4th Rd) and Desmond (15th Rd). Should my last keeper be an Ace with a high cost - Strasburg (6th Rd); a high cost stud in George Springer (5th Round); or a low cost, high floor bat - Justin Turner (17th Round)?

Paul Swydan

9:12

I definitely wouldn't keep Strasburg, he can't stay healthy. I'd go Springer or Turner. The question wrt Springer is - will you get a better player than Springer in the 5th if you keep Turner?

9:13

Springer's ADP is 34 right now, which in most leagues is going to be pre-5th round. http://hosted.stats.com/mlb/adp.asp

So that is decent value, and you're probably just better off hanging on to him in the 5th.

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

9:13

Can you tell me about or point me to something on how scouting/drafting prep players from cold weather states differs from prep players in states like CA and TX?

Paul Swydan

9:15

The main way it differs is just the raw number of looks scouts have at each player. If a scout visits Mass. for a week trying to get a look at one guy in April, he might only get 1-2 looks because of the weather. In CA or TX, he can probably get more than that, and it is also easier to work out those players privately because you won't need to find indoor space to do so like you might have to in cold weather states.

There's also a quality of competition issue. For the same very reasons. In Mass. right now, no one is playing baseball outdoors yet.

Ryan

9:15

Think Nick Senzel is going to be a star for Cincinnati?

Paul Swydan

9:16

I sure hope so.

snid

9:16

Is there an order of pitch types that MLB teams like to teach? I understand about the wear and tear that diff pitch types cause. I ask this after reading Eno's and Travis articles about pitchers needing another pitch. Also, thoughts on Dan Duquette as a baseball peson?

Paul Swydan

9:16

On the first part, I think it varies by org/pitching coach/pitching instructor. On the second part, I think Dan Duquette is just about the most underrated baseball executive of the past 40 years. He constantly makes something out of nothing.

Donny

9:17

Rotisserie league - carlos gomez or joc Pederson? Also Realistic outlook for Sean Manaea?

Paul Swydan

9:17

Pederson. Cautiously optimistic about Manaea but I wouldn't want him as one of my main starters. Strictly a bench option.

At least in mixed leagues.

Ryan

9:17

Think Benintendi is a star akin to Mookie?

Paul Swydan

9:18

I think that I hope he is, but realistically expecting Benintendi to instantly be one of the best 5-10 players in baseball is a great way to be disappointed.

Matthew

9:18

Trying to figure out what to do with my final keeper spot. $260 budget. Hits, OPS, QS, K/9. Keeping Trout (45) Kershaw (43) G. Sanchez (1) and probably Votto (27). Final options are Bogaerts (18) K. Herrera (1) E. Diaz (1) D. Duffy (1) or Goldschmidt (41).

Paul Swydan

9:19

It'd be between Bogaerts and Diaz for me. Maybe Duffy. Gun to my head - there's nothing like a $1 closer.

Brad

9:20

fantasy league question. Ignoring any potential positional value, who would you father have Bird or Keon Broxton?

Paul Swydan

9:20

Bird

Mel Clark

9:20

Which is more likely this season: Byron Buxton has a 20/20 season or Miguel Sano hits 40 HR's?

Paul Swydan

9:20

Buxton

But I don't think either is particularly likely.

Hannah Hochevar

9:21

The O's say Jayson Aquino will be the 5th starter with Tillman out, based mostly on his striking out of Phillies last week. Is this madness or Buck being a secret genius?

Paul Swydan

9:21

I think it's way too early to be putting too much stock in pronouncements like that.

Don't let Kent Hrbek sit on you

9:21

You are driving through a small town in rural Wyoming. You are hungry. The only places open are A&W or Arby's. What do you choose?

Paul Swydan

9:22

Do I show my fatness if I say both? Cheese curds from A&W and a Giant roast beef from Arby's? :-)

Dino Flintstone

9:22

House of Cards was originally on the British channel. Real question: Would you even consider taking Betts or Kershaw over Trout in a league that counts hitter Ks?

Paul Swydan

9:22

I wouldn't, Dino. Don't overthink it. Just take Trout.

einstein2u

9:22

12 team league, 10 man keeper, H2H: xander, betts, harper, miggy, nolan, benintendi, degrom, strasburg, kershaw. Pick my last one: Dee or Verlander

Paul Swydan

9:23

Verlander, because I don't trust Strasburg.

Matt

9:23

I can't be the only one who feels like Lester is YEARS older than scherzer right? I had no idea they were only months apart, probably cause I'm always pairing Lackey and Lester

Paul Swydan

9:24

Lester also debuted a year earlier.

Brandon Funyun

9:25

I'm having trouble valuing elite closers in my 7X7 Keeper H2H. (Extra categories: QS and K/9). In the auction calculator, the elite closers get a bump due to the K/9, but it seems that in an H2H the value of a small boost in K/9 and saves per week, and the diminished value of saves with the extra categories hanging around, makes elite closers less valuable. any thoughts? Thanks!

Paul Swydan

9:25

The value of closers and non-closers was the subject of Jeff's piece today at Hardball Times. I would check that out for sure.

9:26

In general, I think adding QS into the mix devalues all relievers because they literally can't get points in those categories.

Frank

9:26

With the obvious caveat that we shouldn't put much stock in spring stats, is there a performance so far that you can't help but be excited about?

Paul Swydan

9:26

Nope. I hate spring training. I haven't watched one second of one game yet, and probably won't until the end of the month.

Nittanychris

9:26

12 Team Mixed Auction, standard 5x5 roto cats. I can protect 3 for one season only. Who do you like out of: Khris Davis $7, Gregory Polanco $13, Odubel Herrera $1, Kenta Maeda $5, Jose Quintana $4, Kevin Gausman $2? Thanks!

Paul Swydan

9:27

For just this year, Davis/Herrera (depending on your power/speed needs), Maeda and Quintana.

Connecting…

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Swydan hosts a chat