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Fantasy Baseball Chat with Brad Johnson
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Brad Johnson
2:20
In the sense that Black hasn't debuted and Peterson's career is mostly behind him, sure, the ceiling is higher. But, if someone was laying odds that Black has a better career than Peterson, I'd take Peterson.
2:22
That's not to say Black isn't interesting. It's just a profile that doesn't usually find regular reps. Expansion would greatly help his case, replacement level is getting a little out of control.
Guest
2:22
Championship week for me. H2H categories, drop Mark Canha and pick up Friedl and hope he stays hot?
Brad Johnson
2:23
Yet another floor (Canha) or ceiling (Friedl) decision. I'd probably go for it in this case. Good chance you can pivot back to Canha midweek.
Guest
2:23
Is Isaac Paredes break out season is what we're expecting from him now?
Brad Johnson
2:24
I'm not sure there's a big performance I believe in less. 50 HR in 929 PA the last two seasons, and my HR calc still projects like 19 HR  per 600 PA.
2:25
I kinda get next Cavan Biggio vibes. Has such extreme batted ball outcomes and secretly poor contact quality.
Time for me to wrap it up.
Kirt
2:26
Of the players that began their MLB career in 2023, who is the top guy going forward?   Is it the Reds kid?
Brad Johnson
2:27
For fantasy, probably. Just look at Bobby Witt Jr. He's making a routine of top 10 performances with very average-looking wRC+s.

IRL, it's a little more complicated. Might be someone like PCA who can post +15 defense.
Thank you!
2:28
Always love these chats and your articles! Sad to see you go.
Blackburn
2:28
How deep a league would it need to be to start Blackburn vs. MIN? 15-team or Marianna Trench?
Brad Johnson
2:28
I think that's plausible for 15-team, assuming you need something from the start.
Kirby
2:28
You pitching Kirby for his two starts this week? Shaky lately and tough match ups.
Brad Johnson
2:28
Probably, pending need. It's all about need. Play to your outs and such.
Dynasty Guy
2:29
What are your thoughts of keeping an injured pitcher like Shane McClanahan on a roster over other current rookies and/or young arms such as Bobby Miller, Hunter Greene, Gavin Williams.  It seems like it will be tough to justify keeping McClanahan … but he’s been such an asset to my team.
Brad Johnson
2:30
In this case, the opportunity cost is high enough that I probably want to take one of the active guys. I do think dynasty managers can make the mistake of valuing shiny pitching prospects over proven TJS vets. We'll wait 4 years for a prospect, but a 16 month injury is too long.
Guest
2:31
Bench Steele at Atlanta?
Brad Johnson
2:32
I'm hemming and hawing
2:33
I'll go with the standby - what are your outs? You might HAVE to use him.
HappyFunBall
2:33
re: keeping an injured McClanahan...The answer to too many keepers is always to trade and consolidate.
Brad Johnson
2:33
True, if trading is an option, that's your first step.
Not all leagues have offseason trading though.
Guest
2:33
Who will replace you with fantastic baseball chat now you're gone? Sad to see you go with your expertise
Brad Johnson
2:35
I'm not sure! But I've offered to help recruit my replacement since Tim is less familiar with the fantasy scene than me. We'll probably put that off for a few months.
I'll also continue Big Hype Prospects through the AFL season. I've offered a few ideas for ways to evolve that column.
Guest
2:36
Thanks again for all your great advice.  In a 5X5 Category dynasty league, I can only keep two players.  Who would you keep:  Jordan Walker, Triston Casas, Riley Greene, or a prospect like Jackson Chourio or James Wood.
Brad Johnson
2:37
I really want Casas, I think he's Matt Olson redux. From there, I go back and forth between Walker and Chourio. Just remember, Chourio probably doesn't have much of an effect on next season.
Silver Bullet
2:37
I will miss Your Fantasy Baseball Insight !!! Great Luck with Your Writing
Brad Johnson
2:39
I'll miss y'all too. It's so hard to walk away from something in which I've dedicated so much time and effort. I like being an "expert." I'll miss these chats most of all. The closest thing I get to an actual fantasy baseball conversation outside of FPAZ-like events.
2:40
And on that bittersweet note, it's time to close the doors. Farewell.
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