You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Fantasy Baseball Chat with Brad Johnson: 7/18/22
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Frankie Montas
12:30
What am I looking at as for value when I get wins. I have an ERA under 3.50 but am 3-9. How much will this change when I get some wins?
Brad Johnson
12:31
I can run some numbers really quick with the FG auction calc
12:32
With default settings for a 12-team league, Montas has been worth about $4 with wins accounting for negative $1.4.
So, if he was fantasy average in the category, he'd have been worth $5.5. If his win total matched the quality of his pitching, closer to $7. He projects for about $6 ROS.
12:33
That includes a bunch of assumptions about category weighting that might not be relevant for your league. It's better to assess these values within context of other players.
i.e. he's been similar to Bieber, Gausman, Gray, and Bassitt.
Luis
12:34
Is Oneil Cruz worth rostering in a 12-team league? K% seems to be a big issue for him right now
Brad Johnson
12:35
I'd treat him as a replacement if your SS/MI/UT hit the skids and you need his particular brand of power upside. He's a great streamer.
AMR
12:35
Alonso for Nola (SP) even in 12 tm OBP/QS league or would you want more? Crushing hitting stats, but lagging in QS/ERA/WHIP
Brad Johnson
12:35
Seems about right, I might try to upgrade a second piece - like Alonso and Pressly for Nola and Hader.
12:36
I should note, I come at these trade questions from the "vacuum of value" if that makes sense. But this is totally the time of year when the stats are what matter. If you have huge HR and RBI padding, then Alonso isn't worth anything to you.
Angels can't afford Ohtani
12:37
Kyle Tucker and Shane Bieber for Gerrit Cole.  Who says no?
Brad Johnson
12:37
Should be Tucker/Bieber
Tucker~Cole
12:38
The throw-in should be at least a couple tiers below Bieber.
Logan
12:38
Are Arraez and Josh Bell sell candidates or will they keep racking up hits?
Brad Johnson
12:38
I'm always on board with selling Arraez if you're getting legitimate offers. Not enough fantasy juice to his profile. With Bell, I'd probably wait for the inevitable trade and sell on the hype.
KC3
12:39
Brandon Lowe or trevor Story the rest of the year?
Brad Johnson
12:39
Tentative Story. This is a case where my week off might be leading me astray. Not certain offhand how serious his injury is/if it'll affect his performance when he returns.
Dale Murphy
12:40
Garrett Whitlock is still going to be important to my team, right? Hopefully, he throws a couple of innings per game.
Brad Johnson
12:41
Well, probably not per game, but he should sit in the back of the bullpen with Houck. I'd guess they use 'em like the Cardinals use Gallegoes/Helsley
So there should be a few saves in there for Whitlock. And they probably absorb 3 IP combined in tight games.
Tim
12:41
Jhoan Duran - will he be the closer for the Twins the ROS?
Brad Johnson
12:42
Can't rule out a trade acquisition. That's the spot where they have the most need.
Also fits with the types of prospects they want to trade for upgrades.
They could add a David Robertson or Michael Fulmer to close
12:43
They're using Duran as a fireman and will continue doing so. With their current composition, that means he gets most of the saves. But I get the vibe that they'd love for him to be shutting down the toughest hitters in the 7th/8th.
Alex
12:43
Michael Harris II or Riley Green? Who's the better play ROS? Better for Dynasty?
Brad Johnson
12:44
Greene doesn't seem fully actualized at the moment. Selling out for contact a little too much. I might still prefer him in dynasty, but it's a near thing.
That said, Harris is playing above his peripherals. I keep expecting a slump. It hasn't come, but he'll need to reckon with his overaggression eventually.
12:45
Greene gets a nudge in OBP (I'd call it a coin flip) but Harris is safely the better play in AVG
Chris Marotta
12:45
What do you expect from Marcus Stroman ROS.. he was cut in my 10team 5x5 obp league. Is he worth adding to help with ratios?
Brad Johnson
12:46
You can speculate on him but I wouldn't go out of my way.
He really needs to be locked in to contribute in fantasy since he offers negative value in K (assuming an IP cap in your league)
Degrom
12:46
If I were to try and trade Degrom, what value should I be looking for in a trade back?
Brad Johnson
12:47
With him nearing a return, I'd ask for a first rounder. Tucker, Betts, etc. You might have more success focusing on players who match your category needs more explicitly. Like Alonso or Judge/
Jaxon
12:47
Is Alex Kirilloff a top 10 first baseman entering 2023? Thanks
Brad Johnson
12:48
I wouldn't have him there today, but that's partly a function of the position. It's deep.
Kirilloff looks more like a good late-round flier. He's demonstrated interesting traits but hasn't quite passed the proof of concept stage of his career.
Connecting…