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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 1/3/19
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guess it doesn't matter anymore
1:54
How many more years would Simba need to play at his current level to get into the HOF? Would he go in as an Angel? He would have 3 full years with ATL and 5 full with LAA
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:55
I'm sorry, I don't know who you're talking about because Simba is Ted Simmons, Cardinals catcher, known for his long, leonine mane.
Ariel White
1:56
Why is the average WAR/WAR7?JAWS at each position weighted with average HoFers until reaching a total of 25 (the number of enshrined right fielders)? I could see benefits in comparing to all HoFers or all HoFers at a given position, but I can't think of a reason that an adjusted average could be helpful. If it's for sample size purposes, 25 seems like quite a random cut off and adding average HoFers seems like a pretty arbitrary way to deal with that.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:57
it's based on the most HOFers at a given position (RF, which is now 26 with Baines' election), designed to decrease the position-to-position gaps. It's a very minimal impact. See for where the numbers were at the start of this cycle https://www.baseball-reference.com/about/jaws.shtml
1:58
I just didn't like the fact that there was about a 6-point gap between the JAWS standards in LF and CF. It's closer to 4 points with this tweak. I like it better, but YMMV
Ariel White
1:58
Why aren't median and stdev presented in the JAWS charts? Median is about as relevant as mean for something like this and those numbers would each have a lot more context if they were presented with an stdev.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:00
KISS — keep it simple, stupid. I think part of the reason JAWS has gained traction is that I've avoided making people feel like they're in math class. I've considered medians, and percentiles and indexes and various alternate means of presentation, and I always return to leaving well enough alone on the theory that the last thing somebody needs is a few more numbers — beyond what I've already added — thrown into the mix.
2:01
whoops, i'm out of time, went right up to the deadline! Fun stuff chatting with you folks today. Looking forward to it again next week!
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