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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat –11/19/24
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Colton
1:25
Any thoughts on the report that Boras and Bregman are seeking Machado money? Feels like they're going to run into the same mistake the Boras guys had last year by doing so
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:28
Yeah, I raised my eyebrows at that one. Bregman ain't Machado, which is to say that for as much as Manny has played the villain, sometimes for valid reasons (the slide into Pedroia, for one), and sometimes for bullshit ones, I don't imagine an owner or a clubhouse viewing Bregman as a transformative player the way that the Padres did with Machado.
Bob
1:29
I've read several article making mention of the ways in which the upcoming changes to Camden will benefit the current Oriole roster. Are these changes a one-off or could modifying the park to suit the roster eventually become part of teams preseason strategies?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:29
I suspect the league would say "cool it" if this became so routine that things changed annually.
MikeD
1:29
Do you think CC's election might help Pettitte, forcing a re-eximination of recent starting pitchers?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:30
Maybe a little but not enough to move the needle (no pun intended) by the time he falls off the ballot.
Jaded Nats Fan
1:31
Predictions on % vote Ichiro will get?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:31
99.5% (two holdouts)
Soto-less Success
1:32
I think any team that gets Roki Sasaki can argue they had a successful offseason on that alone.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:32
given how little he'll cost, yeah
McGraw45
1:33
I pointed out one of Steve Garvey's campaign poster to my wife and she had no clue who she was... baseball fame just ain't what it used to be
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:33
you're saying his baseball career didn't father stronger expectations for his Senate candidacy??
Florida
1:33
....so how is playing outdoors in Florida in midsummer going to work?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:34
Outfielders will be allowed to carry umbrellas but after one is struck by lightning, the league will rescind the rule.
Datt Mamon
1:34
So as a Cubs fan, I want them to sign Soto and I know they can afford it. But the one thing I don't see discussed is the impact it would have on the payroll overall...again, they can obviously afford to pay whatever, but how much can we blame a team for not wanting to comming $50-$60 million a year on one guy? Or should they just do it regardless?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:36
I don't think a team can be players for Soto without also budgeting for some other significant contracts. If you're not already committing large money to a core of viable players in their prime, he ain't considering your team
Doc
1:36
What's your prediction for next year's Committee election?  Does this year's ballot indicate another debate over Don Mattingly and the steroid folks?  Any chance we get Keith, Cone, and Randolph, who certainly deserve their day on a ballot?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:37
what, being preoccupied by the two upcoming elections isn't enough? I have no thoughts on next year yet except to say we're probably going to see recycled candidacies and frustrating omissions that will make us roll our eyes, because both of those things are constant within this process.
Guest
1:37
If a guy like Wright falls off the ballot because it's a crowded ballot, it's just more evidence that the process is flawed and sucks.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:38
Not at all. He's going to fall off the ballot because he didn't have a complete career due to injuries. That's sad, but there are literally hundreds of players in the same boat and it's not evidence of a flawed process.
Spend Uncle Stevie's Money
1:38
If you were David Stearns, what would be your Mets plan for the off-season?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:40
Sign Soto, one of the frontline starters, bring back Severino, and find an upgrade for right field. Get some insurance for Baty at third base, shift Vientos to first.
Florida
1:40
...that's not that much worse than the catwalk rules then
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:40
LOL
mmddyyyy
1:41
Will expansion teams also mean expansion minor league teams?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:41
They'll need affiliates, won't they?
I'd expect there would be a reshuffling ripple that would take multiple years to unfold.
1:42
OK folks, tons of good questions today and more I can't get to. Thanks for stopping by. not sure yet about next week as it's just before Thanksgiving but we'll do this again soonish.
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