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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 2/13/24
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Alby
3:36
Does Luis Tiant have any shot at the Hall of Fame?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:37
I'd call it a long shot. He hasn't fared well on Era Committee ballots but he remains very popular among fans, and that may mean another look sooner or later.
benjamin
3:37
tremendous hater energy by that first guy lol. do you think a strong final 5y with the twins puts correa into at least HOF convo?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:39
Correa's early start and success will keep him in play for the Hall of Fame for awhile but he's got to get back on track after a pretty disappointing 2023.
Mr. Burrito
3:40
Andruw Jones had one of the better age 20-something careers, and slipped (ate his way?) into an abyss shortly after turning 30. Jones' 20s were so strong, in fact, that I kinda/sorta believe he should be in the Hall, even though I'd argue he defrauded my beloved Dodgers... My question: Who, in your view, had the best age 30-something and age 40-something careers? (For the oldsters I'd argue Darrell Evans and Davey Lopes were weirdly great after age 40, but I'm sure you can think of others.) Thoughts?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:43
Most of the all-time greats were great after 30 as well as before. A look at the leaderboard for WAR from 30 onward is pretty much the usual suspects: Bonds, Wagner, Mays, Ruth, Aaron, Cobb. Adrián Beltré is only 19th on the list with 52.2 WAR (0.2 less than Jackie Robinson) but strikes me as a guy who really elevated himself into the pantheon from 30 onward. Edgar Martinez, just a couple spots below, is in that group as well. https://stathead.com/tiny/qtp1W
Guest
3:43
Hi Jay- can you give an approximation of how Witt’s career arc would have to go for his option to be picked up? I’m struggling to think of a scenario where he does well enough for the team to want the short-term extension that the option offers, but poorly enough where he wouldn’t opt out in any of the 4 years beforehand.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:44
This is a good question for Ben Clemens, who does a great job of modeling these thread-the-needle scenarios
3:45
ok folks, while there are still a ton of good questions in the queue, it's time for me to head off. Thanks so much for stopping by today. Hopefully I'll get back into a regular rhythm with these and we'll be back at it next week.
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