You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat – 3/11/25
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat
War2d2
12:47
Hi Jay! Last week I mentioned I’d be going to Scottsdale for spring training and asked who I should be looking out for. Just wanted to put in my scouting report that PCA looks like a legit all star and Matt Shaw is a bust. (I saw a Cubs game and PCA homered twice and Shaw went 0-3)
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:47
Well, I'm batting .500. I'll take it!
Jamin
12:47
After Morris, Baines, and now Parker, who is your best guess for the next completely unworthy induction to the HOF from the 70's-90's?
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:51
Maybe Steve Garvey if BBWAA voting shares are anything to go by; his is the highest from that era of anyone yet inducted and my God, the Hall keeps putting him on ballots like it wants him there. Barf
deGrom
12:51
How confident are you in my elbow after my second TJS
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:52
Less confident than the guy who got it up to 98 in his spring debut
David
12:53
Why is Guerrero looking at such a high payday while a less heralded player like Nico Hoerner would almost certainly command far less - even though Hoerner has amassed more WAR over the last three years?
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:55
A fair question. I'd say it mostly comes down to demonstrated ceiling and age. Vladito has hit for a 160+ wRC+ twice, with about 6 WAR in each of those years., and he's only about to turn 26. Hoerner's already 27 (28 on May 13) and hasn't had a 5-WAR season
Reds Enjoyer
12:55
Hi Jay. Was wondering if you ever find time to consume any YouTube baseball content? Jamin's mention of Jack Morris got me thinking about the four part Dave Stieb documentary on YouTube that is genuinely one of my favorite sports documentaries I've ever seen
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:57
I don't generally watch much of any substantial length on YouTube, but I made an exception for Secret Base's Captain Ahab: the Story of Dave Stieb, and enjoyed the hell out of it. Had a great time talking to Jon Bois on a FanGraphs Audio podcast when it came out https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-audio-jon-bois-on-dave-stieb-lou...
drplantwrench
12:58
not that Vladito is gonna get traded, but would the angels offering Caden Dana, Nolan Schanuel and Joswa Lugo move the needle?
AvatarJay Jaffe
12:59
let's see, based on Eric Longenhagen's prospect grades that's a 55 FV, a former 45 FV who looks like a 45 big leaguer (Schaneul) and a 40 FV. Even if you're trying to get him at the deadline I think that's so light that nobody is even returning your call.
drplantwrench
1:00
do you think that the Yankee's would take Tyler Anderson off of the Angels hands considering their pitching needs?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:01
Eh. He's a cromulent innings eater who hasn't come close to the All-Star caliber form he showed in his lone year with the Dodgers. Why give up talent for him when they could sign a free agent like Lance Lynn or Spencer Turnbull? I think the bar has to be higher for them to make a trade.
Reds Enjoyer
1:02
Had no idea you had Jon on to talk about that, thanks for the link! Would also highly, highly recommend their series on the Mariners. Truly incredible storytelling that is right up your average FanGraphs reader's alley
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:02
I missed the boat on the Mariners doc, so to speak. Will check it out when I get a chance
1B is a Wasteland
1:04
Early rounds, roto, you need a 1B. Are you taking the metronomic Freddie Freeman and his injured leg at 35, but in one of the best lineups in history, or the highly variable Matt Olson at 30, coming off a down year and still with a strong supporting cast? What if the league counts OBP? Or doubles?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:04
I'll never bet against Steady Freddie.
Insert Witty Name Here
1:06
Since everything is a remake this day and age, if you could redo Ken Burn's Baseball, what would you like to see done?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:09
you know, i don't even remember seeing his 10th Inning follow-up, which addressed the strike, the Torre Yankees dynasty, and the PED era. I think the next places to go beyond that would be the Asian baseball influx, Moneyball and the analytic revolution, maybe something about women in baseball that picks up after the AAGPBL
comish4lif
1:10
From the dumb as a potato question about Pete Rose: he accepted a penalty of a permanant ban from MLB - not lifetime. #2 he did 5 months in jail for income tax evasion. #3 he admitted to a "relationship" with a 16yo while Pete was in his 30s.

Why anyone supports him is way beyond me.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:15
Given how often I've pointed out that yes, it's a spot on the permanently ineligible list and not "a lifetime ban," I should have parsed the question more carefully, but you're correct. As for matters #2 and #3, there's nothing in the Hall bylaws regarding either (HOFer Orlando Cepeda served time in prison for drug smuggling and he's not the only one with a criminal record; I imagine there are other players who crossed the statutory rape line as well (ugh ugh ugh) that we don't know about. All distasteful but not officially disqualifying.
drplantwrench
1:17
just read the Rangers article.  i think the AL West might be more up for grabs than people realize, but are you concerned about their age? Seimen, Seager, Garcia, Joc are all on the wrong side of 30, and their SP rotation average age is about 34
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:19
I mentioned age several times in the piece, and as for those hitters, they're countered by a group of 20somethings including Carter and Langford.  The rotation is open to contributions from Rocker and Leiter as well — those guys can probably nudge out anybody besides deGrom and Eovaldi if their performances merit.
1:20
Ok folks, short day from me here — I've got a belated Hanukkah gift to put together, a new bike for my daughter, complete with gears and handbrakes — but we'll do this again soon. Thank for stopping by, and have a great week!
Connecting…