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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 4/25/19
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:02
Who says I only drink IPAs? I love stouts, porters, lagers, pilsners, and the occasional saison as well. Recently consumed: Three's/Burial collaboration Backways, a Dark Mild session ale, Cigar City Guayabera Citra Pale Ale, and the Five Boroughs Hoppy Lager — all worth pursuing.
supatroopa
1:03
Are the Yankees quietly one of the deepest teams in the major leagues?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:05
It would appear that way. Brian Cashman seems to have unearthed a real keeper in Luke Voit, has gotten decent work out of Mike Tauchman so far, and the DJ LeMahieu signing looks a lot better than I thought so far. Plus there's the work of the homegrown Domingo German. Few saw those guys as key contributors at this point, and while a soft schedule has helped the Yankees look good, it's the depth that's keeping them above .500.
Austin
1:05
Are you one of those folks who wait in line at Other Half then sell it online for double the price?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:07
I think I've stood in line at OH once since Emma got pregnant (2-3x prior) and that was in part to meet a reader who happened to be in town and wanted to give me a Dark Lord stout. Not a big believer in standing in line for beer, and I don't have the patience or the gumption to sell beer to random hopheads at a markup.
Balked
1:07
Why are wins a HOF benchmark at all for pitchers? Degrom went 10-9 last year.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:09
Cy Young voters have largely come around on using wins as a yardstick but HOF voters as a group are older (a significant % is retired) and more attached to the W's. When they look at HOF candidates, they're looking at a much broader selection of seasons, where the weird things like what deGrom went through last year tend to even out with seasons of good run support even if their run prevention isn't as strong.
Blastin
1:09
The Yankees are doing this and it's not a mirage. The differential is very, very good. They're 1.5 games out. If you're the Rays are you upset you didn't bury them?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:10
If you're the Rays, you're pretty happy to be 16-9 instead of 12-13, which is where they were at the 25-game mark after starting the season 1-8.
Janus
1:10
Silver Unicorn Bookstore in Acton, Mass FTW
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:11
that's FanGraphs alum Paul Swydan's joint. Hoping to pay a visit later this summer.
Bread Gardner
1:12
Jack Curry says the Yankees just picked up Cameron Maybin from the Indians.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:12
He's a warm body, and they need 'em.
psweeting
1:12
I am partial to Grimm in Brooklyn. Zonk IPA is an all time favorite.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:13
Grimm's does a lot of sours, which aren't really my bag (though I'll have one here and there). But yeah, they're good
Something
1:13
My IPA comment was in response to Pat Borders Patrol, if you are coming to NY try some of our better beers rather than IPAs
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:14
The thing about IPAs is that freshness matters, and so distribution tends to be more limited, which is why taking advantage of being local matters more with regards to that style than others.
Ragecashing
1:14
hey Jay quick question, is there anywhere on the site where i can find projected or confirmed starting lineups and batting order? thanks
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:16
Our team pages have game-by-game lineups and orders, but not before the games have actually happened. https://www.fangraphs.com/teams/dodgers/player-usage/batting-lineup
Not sure how quickly those make it to the live scoreboard, if it's before first pitch or what.
Matt
1:16
CC’s HOF chances? He is close to 3000 Ks. 300 wins seems like a stretch at this point, but possible. He’s got a ring and 6 all star nominations. But only one Cy Young.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:18
Not gonna get to 300 as he's announced this is his final season, but stronger on the trad stats front — and, i think, the less tangible facets of a HOF case, kind of the anti-Schilling — than on the advanced stats front. He's been a huge favorite of mine (no pun intended) dating back to the days before I could populate a press box, and I'd say it's more likely than not that I will vote for him come the time (I get my ballot for 2021, he will be first eligible for 2025).
Tacoby Bellsbury
1:19
Not a fan of Jack Morris I take it? You don't buy the "pitch to contact when you're ahead" philosophy/excuse? Great pitcher for some crappy Tigers teams.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:20
Man, that horse has been beaten to death. Touched upon it here https://www.si.com/mlb/2017/11/15/jack-morris-hall-fame-modern-basebal..., and took a closer look in The Casebook.
Hello
1:20
Where did Swydan go?
AvatarJay Jaffe
D
1:22
Is Raimel Tapia a thing? I'm intrigued.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:23
Eric Longenhagen included him (along with Frazier) on his short list of post-prospect guys in whom he still believed. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/prospect-limbo-the-best-of-the-post-prospe... I know he's not alone, though I wouldn't think he can carry a .496 SLG let alone a .596 one, as he currently is.
Billy
1:24
is there a way to look up league wide hard hit data?
AvatarJay Jaffe
D
1:25
Would a healthy and effective David Price be attractive to teams at the deadline?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:25
I can't see the Red Sox eating enough of the $100 million-plus to make that happen.
kevinthecomic
1:26
Live Scoreboard has lineups well in advance of first pitch, FYI -- it is dependent, however, on when teams publish -- for example, the Reds (for whatever reason) lineup is usually posted 5 or 6 hours before first pitch when playing an evening game -- other teams are usually up at least an hour before start time
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:26
sharing this for those who asked.
D
1:26
Should the Red Sox reach the deadline and remain below .500, should they make their best offer to Mookie, and then trade him if he doesn't sign?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:28
No, because a) it's hardly a guarantee he's willing to negotiate in season, and gun-to-the-head tactics are horseshit; b) because the Sox presumably have enough talent to compete next year, with some tweaks, even if this isn't their year.
Something
1:28
Should pitches a batter sees be incorporated to WAR? Theoretically the more pitches you see the quicker your team gets to the opposing teams lesser pitchers.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:30
If somebody can quantify it with some reliability, then it might be worth including, but IIRC, long ago somebody who researched it suggested it was a very, very small effect that mostly gets captured in the form of a player's OBP, since seeing more pitches will generally lead to more walks.
Matt
1:30
Are pre-orders a big deal when releasing a book? **trying to preorder MVP Machine though a Fangraphs related source**
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:31
Yes, they are. If you want to support an author, that's the best way, because robust pre-sales increase the likelihood of landing on best-seller lists (ha, not a problem for the Casebook) and of getting picked up by other stores and libraries
Pat
1:32
Morris did not pitch for crappy teams. The 80's Tigers won 1 WS, made the playoffs in 87 & were over .500 pretty much every year & they had a really good lineup with great up the middle defense (Tram, Whitaker, Lance Parrish & Chet Lemon..Add in Gibby & Darrell Evans in RF/1B). Then he played for WS Minnesota & Toronto. He played vast majority of his career on good to very good teams.
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