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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 4/4/19
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Taylor M
1:51
Hey Jay! Thanks for the chat. If you could change the way Wins are awarded for pitchers, would you and how would you?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
My change is to ignore the win. It's about as interesting and relevant as who serves as witness to a signed legal document — somebody's name has to go there, I guess.
Sluggo
1:53
Ozuna is likely headed to DL for a while.  My feeling is that Jose Martinez is 30 and likely not going to get any better.  Tyler O'Neill is the better defensive OF and needs an opportunity.  What say you?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:53
I suspect both figure into the Cardinals' plans, which is why they're still around.
Matt W
1:53
Is the Eovaldi deal the biggest head scratcher of the offseason? I get that he had a great postseason, but he still seems like a #4-type starter.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:54
Seemed like a bit of an overpay at the time, but that there's some upside that's yet to be tapped; maybe the Sox think he can be a #3.
Taylor M
1:54
How much less likely would it be for a player like Vlad Jr. to make the HOF if he played 1B rather than 3B. What would their overall JAWS need to be/their 7year (per position). I'm trying to understand why they are so content to play him there when he clearly looks like he won't make it there. Note: I'm not suggesting Vlad Jr. will be a sure thing, just using him as an example.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:58
No team is planning for their prospect, even the son of a HOFer, to make the Hall of Fame and designing his career with that goal in mind.

That said, the JAWS averages are about the same for 1B and 3B (54.8 and 55.7). The difference is how players at the two positions accrue value. At 1B, the bat has to do all the work because there's not a lot of credit to be had even for good defense. At 3B, even average defense has significantly more value than it would at an easier position.

The thing about defense is that it's easier to improve there through hard work than other aspects of the game, which is why it's fine for the Blue Jays to challenge him and see how long he can hold out — particularly at a time when there are fewer balls in play.
OK folks, I'm out of time. Blanket advice: no, the first week of the season probably hasn't given us clear clues about what ______ is going to do. Hang tight and wait for the sample sizes to increase!
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