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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 5/31/18
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Rick
1:38
The fact that two of these guys are made of glass aside, what is the NL going to do when the Nats are sporting Murphy again with a Soto, Eaton, Harper OF???  Scary.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:40
They've done a great job weathering the storm with a less-than-full complement of players, but the Nationals are bound to regress, just as every team eventually does. The good news for them is that they're back in the drivers' seat in the NL East.
Marshall
1:40
Can we call Ross Stripling The Stripling Warrior?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:41
his nickname of "Chicken Strip" — which he wore on his players' choice jersey last year and which according to Joe Davis is self-imposed, cracks me up. I'm not sure you can top that.
Big Murph
1:41
While on the topic, Syndergaard or Degrom?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:42
deGrom. Less in the way of raw tools, but seems to be the wiser of the two.
Matt
1:44
Jay, what do you think the Nationals do about their impending roster crunch? All four of Daniel Murphy, Adam Eaton, Ryan Zimmerman and Brian Goodwin are set to come off the DL in the next few days, and some of their replacements (Soto, Reynolds, Adams, etc.) have been raking. They can't keep all of these guys on the 25 man, so do they end up sending Soto back down to avoid having to release someone?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:48
Good question. Goodwin's out of options, but he's clearly the expendable one from that group (sorry, Brian). Eaton you probably push back to center field because Taylor isn't hitting. Soto is hitting too well to farm out, but I think in a short-term roster crunch they have to. I don't know how to solve 1B other than to concede that Zimmerman is no longer guaranteed playing time.
Phil
1:48
Just something interesting about Ross Stripling... here are his ranks among SPs with at least 35IP: 4th in K%-BB%, 3rd in SIERA, 8th in DRA, and 4th in xwOBA. Those are 4 very good stats in which to be ranked in the top 10.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:49
Yup. The fact that he's carried such great K and BB rates into the rotation tells me this is a guy who deserves a regular starting spot. Given the number of injuries the Dodgers have had, it appears they'll get a longer look at him
John
1:49
Is it time we start mentioning Aaron Nola in the same category as Jacob Degrom, Severino, Thor??
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:51
he's an excellent pitcher who's working his way towards the top, but he doesn't miss as many bats as those guys, so I'm not sure he belongs in that rarefied air.
FS
1:51
If player A has higher WPA but lower WAR than player B, then is there any specific difference between either numbers where you would covet player A more than player B?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
Sure. I want to know both players' positions, ages, and track records beyond those numbers. I also want to know how big a sample size I'm dealing with.
Austin
1:52
Should Toronto trade Josh Donaldson
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
Yes. This isn't their year and it's time for Vlad Jr.
GERB
1:54
Did you know theres never been a 3rd baseman with a 10WAR season? Jose Ramirez is on pace for 11.7. What are the odds he does it?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:56
Al Rosen did get 10.1 rWAR in 1953 (I still prefer that flavor for historical discussions given JAWS), but yeah, other than that, it's pretty weird that we've never seen a 10-win season at third.  I love Ramirez but also think he'll cool off some, though even then, he's got a shot. Worth a closer look!
Gatsby
1:56
I can't help but think the Yankees and Mets are perfect trade partners on paper. What kind of package would the Yankees have to open with to make the Mets interested in moving Degrom?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:56
The Wilpons will never trade a star to the Yankees. Full stop.
1:57
OK folks, i think we've flogged this horse enough for one week. Thanks for stopping by, and we'll do it again, oh, in about six days and 22 hours.
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