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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 6/13/19
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:15
.600 is a 97-win team, which is garden variety excellent, not a superteam. .650 is probably a better line for that, but I have a hard time anointing anyone that at a time when we've got so many teams not competing — quite possibly at least 5 with 100 losses.
Dave
1:16
Recs for activities on the Cape with a toddler?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:17
Good question. I guess we're about to find out. Having a devoted mother-in-law/grandmother certainly helps.

My 2 1/2 year old daughter loves sand as if it were gold itself, so a lot of beach time is in order on this front. Sand castles, digging, shell/rock collecting, crab chasing... we've got a lot of that in store.
troke
1:18
Travis Shaw contact rate plummeted this year, which seems to be the source of his problems. The player pages don't seem to show splits for plate discipline. Any idea if his contact rate is up after his return from the IL?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:19
He's 4-for-21 with a 34.6% strikeout rate in six games since returning. I'm gonna guess that's NOT an improvement.
1:21
I do wonder how long his right wrist has been bothering him given that he had to deal with it last year, too.
Stroman
1:23
When am I traded and what do I bring back?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:25
Sometime in July and a top-50ish prospect plus a lottery ticket. His lack of durability and inconsistency, not to mention having just one more full season of club control, will limit the return.
Corey Kluber
1:25
Will I be an Indian on August 1st?  And if so, will they exercise my option for 2020?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:26
yes and yes. I don't see the Indians selling low on Kluber or passing up another chance to pinch pennies by holding onto him.
STL Cardinals
1:26
If only we had a cheap, controllable, middle of the order first baseman.  Y’know, someone like Luke Voit.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:28
Those 14.2 innings of Chasen Shreve were totally worth it, man.I mean, they still have him in the minors and could maybe get another 14.2 out of him this year.
Usage Police
1:28
You use "given" a lot. Sometimes correctly, but other times in place of "because," which isn't correct. Just FYI. I would want to know this type of thing, so that's why I'm telling you.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:30
Given that you seem to be paying attention to something very strange and minor, I'll publish your observation. not that i'm givin' a shit about word choices in this informal context.
John
1:30
Was looking back through Nomar's career and his peak was even more impressive than I remember.  How close did he come to realistic HOF chance?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:31
His 43.0 bWAR is right at the peak standard for shortstops but he fell way short of 2,000 hits and never really had a chance.
1:32
Ok folks there's a break in the weather which means the rest of the Jaffe-Span clan wants to get lunch. That's it for me today. I will probably break my vacation silence to chat next week, though. Until then, thanks for stopping by!
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