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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 8/18/20
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AvatarJay Jaffe
3:48
it's a huge bummer
Red
3:50
If you could pick one characteristic as the most salient for what makes a good hitter, what would it be - hitting the ball hard (EV or Barrels), making consistent contact (SwStr%), or distinguishing between balls and strikes (O-Swing%)?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:53
they're all important so i guess it depends at least somewhat on sample size. For EV, a single instance of an extreme one (108+  mph) tells you a lot about a hitter's capability.
YardGoat
3:53
Hello Jay. I hope you are doing well this week. I apologize if you have already written about him, but I'm curious about DeGrom's chances at the Hall with his late start and having a prime year cut short this year. Would he have to average 4 WAR for the next 5 years to have a shot?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:54
answered similar q two weeks ago. He's got to do a lot better than 4-WAR seasons. four 5.0-WAR seasons gets him to something like 56/43/49 JAWS, which is slightly ahead of where Cole Hamels is, but with a much higher peak. From a JAWS standpoint, he needs Cy Young-caliber seasons in the 7.0 vicinity to really make up for lost time.
stever20
3:54
Re MLB playoff format- division champs are 1-3 seeds, 2nd place are 4-6 seeds, and then 2 WC teams are 7-8 seeds.  Straight 1/8, 2/7, 3/6, 4/5- teams don't pick opponents.  https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-announces-expanded-playoffs-for-2020
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:55
I've seen conflicting information regarding the picking opponents — thought it hadn't gone through but then a Buster tweet and one from somebody else suggested it had. This looks more correct
Mike Ortman
3:55
Do you keep score at games? Or rather, did you keep score pre-child? Any ballpark traditions for you?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:55
I do, in general, yes
3:56
though i have not in the games where I've taken my kid
Thunderclap Jackson
3:56
The ludicrous amount of young talent, much of it concentrated on a handful of teams, made me wonder if you have any guesses/research about what teams in history have had the most projected HoF-level guys under a certain age (say 25) over a certain playing time threshold on the roster at one time. I guess going back in history would require using some of Dan's time travel ZiPS projections to project old guys futures from a specific point?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:56
I'd have to think about this one!
3:57
ok folks, the clock is running out on me here, so i'll have to call it a day. thanks for stopping by, and let's do this again next week!
Stay safe!
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