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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat – 8/27/24
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Dirk Funk
3:36
The Brewers are an MLB best +58 wins versus the Depth Charts over the seven completed full seasons in the database. They've beaten their FIP in each of those seven seasons to the tune of a -0.21 cumulative differential from 2016-23. It's not just the last two years, it's been going on for over 1,200 games now.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:37
that's still only one team (but yes, thanks for digging out the longer-term comparison). I suggest asking Dan about the FIP/ERA projection stuff but my hunch is that the two are closely coupled for projection purposes.
Travis
3:38
Why not a Randy Johnson or Greg Maddux for greatest living hall of famer? Do you put pitchers under a different category?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:40
I was thinking more in terms of position players but you're right, it's fair to include the pitchers as well, and both are right in that 100-ish WAR ballpark with Schmidt and Pujols.
NotMyName
3:40
Is it feasible for the Astros to keep both Bregman(FA after this season) and Tucker(FA after next season)or will they have to pick one?  If only one, who do you prioritize and why?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:41
I'd go Tucker, primarily due to age and secondarily because Bregman hasn't been close to what he was during the period when the Astros were stealing signs
MxCokoko
3:41
This is a rather absurd question, but as a Sox fan, what's your opinion on Andrew Benintendi, and the potential that the next three years for him may hold? I know ZiPS projects him to be a 1.5ish WAR player on average for that timeframe, but do you place your faith in those projections (and those kind of projections as a whole)?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:42
I think it was a bad contract then and it looks worse now. I'd consider chewing a limb off to save that kind of money.
Ray Manzarek
3:42
You can't hide in Brooklyn forever.  The Lizard King will find you.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:42
legit LOL
3:43
Manzarek is the best Door.
NotMyName
3:44
Should the Astros consider playing Yanier Diaz more at 1B in the years ahead to preserve his body?  His framing is literally graded as garbage but he can clearly hit.  Seems like a dual role as a 1B/C/occasional DH might be the best route for him and the Astros
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:45
We've seen enough swings in framing value to know that players can be trained to improve so I wouldn't shut the door on him catching full-time yet. The Astros do need a full-time 1B but that should be regarded as a separate issue.
Smiling Politely
3:46
Re: Dodgers not developing hitters, Corey Seager would like a word, as would Michael Busch (heck, Luke Raley might even count). Now with Lux, I want to be optimistic, but he's still not starting against lefties, so my excitement has a lower ceiling than it otherwise would
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:46
the timeframe point from Steve O rules out Seager, but you're right about those other two in that they were major league ready but the Dodgers didn't have room for them
Not Sure
3:47
Jay how long do you figure the trio of Verlander, Scherzer, and Kershaw keep pitching?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:47
i bet 2025 will be the end for at least one of them and probably more
Ok folks, thanks for stopping by! That was fun and I'll try to stretch my streak to two weeks in a row next week. Enjoy the long weekend and stay safe.
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