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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 8/29/23
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AvatarJay Jaffe
3:21
more or less the divide between Windsor Terrace and Kensington, between Prospect Park and the baseball-famous Greenwood Cemetary
Further out than I ever thought I'd go but I was pleasantly surprised at the property we found
Brotz13
3:21
I know that the Orioles were projected to be sub-.500 this year because they'd already jumped from 52-110 (2021) to 83-79 (2022), and teams typically regress after such a leap. They just won #82 last night, with 31 left to play. Is this an unprecedented run of improvement?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:21
That's a better question for Dan
glt4dc
3:22
Why is Schwarber this year considered to be barely a positive WAR-producing player (0.5) compared to last season (2.7)?  His defensive metrics are a little worse(r), his AVG is 30 points lower and his SLG has also dropped.  But he's on track for a similar # of HRs and R with last year?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:23
HR and Run totals don't matter. What does is his park-adjusted production, and he's dropped from a 129 wRC+ to 111, with worse fielding metrics and worse baserunning too. Total disaster of a season
Tiger Fan
3:23
Would it be possible for Shohei Ohtani to be considered the best baseball player ever without putting up the counting statistics of past baseball inner sanctum HOF players (Babe Ruth, Hank Aaron, Willie Mays, etc)?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:26
it depends on what we're talking about when we use the word "best." He's an unprecedented combination of pitching and hitting skill deployed contemporaneously, and he's doing it to far superior competition than Ruth (segregated) or the offense-only guys (Aaron, Mays, and even Bonds). But if one values longevity, that's not unreasonable, and he's not there yet
RAGBRAI
3:27
Are SBs way up or about what’s was expect? Do you see this trend continue next year? Will these changes and SB numbers be looked at like the “juiced” ball era HRs?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:28
I don't know that there was a universal expectation for where SB would head but SB per game is up 39%, which is a pretty big jump, and I don't see anything with imminent rule changes that makes it likely to cease. it's tough to guess how this period will be perceived one year into what may very well be an open-ended period that last years
3:29
OK folks, time go to tell the 7-year-old kiddo she's getting a yard. Thanks so much for stopping by today!
3:30
Whoops, this is a really good question I'm just gonna leave here with a very brief answer:
El Tim
3:30
Since your last chat Mookie has passed Shoeless Joe and Frank Robinson in RF peak value. He should get by Mel Ott for 5th in the next few days and his ROS projection puts him ahead of Clemente. Those are sure some names. He's also now the betting favorite for MVP. He's never quite received the "we're lucky to be alive to witness this" reverence of Trout or Ohtani, but my word. Assuming he hits those milestones, how much would this season affect your perspective on his place in baseball history?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:31
Whether or not he wins MVP, I think we're starting to see Mookie's legacy come into focus. He's been a superstar in two places, playing MVP-caliber ball and driving his team in the direction of championships, and if he's not at Trout/Ohtani levels, he's really working towards becoming one of those slam-dunk first ballot guys
OK, signing off for real now
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