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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 8/8/23
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AvatarJay Jaffe
3:23
Not really. Trout has about a 25-bWAR lead on Betts and was very clearly the best player in the sport for nearly a decade before the injuries really started putting a dent into his playing time and value. Betts has been great and may have more value going forward because he's been able to stay on the field but he has only intermittently risen to the level that Trout spent so long occupying.
Kevin
3:24
Which of these is closer to the truth: Russell Martin's 55 fWAR reflects that he had a Hall of Fame-type career, or Russell Martin's 55 fWAR reflects that fWAR's formula for assessing catcher value is flawed?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:25
The former. fWAR reflects the value of pitch framing, which was something we didn't have the means to measure before, but having discovered the meaningful differences between catchers and how they had an impact on value, we can't just ignore them.
Datt Mamon
3:25
Vague reports that the Cubs could be "in play" for Ohtani, but I don't see it. Assume you don't, either?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:25
Skeptical that they're willing to spend that kind of money
Rick
3:26
Now that Baty has been down, has his long-term outlook changed in your opinion?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:28
I'd say there's cause for concern but the reason you send him down is because you believe his issues are fixable. It wasn't long ago he was having a serviceable rookie season, but he's spiraling at a time that it's become clear the Mets are playing meaningless games and full of bad vibes. Worth giving him a reset
DetroitBeisbolKats
3:28
Woops! Hit enter by mistake.  When do you think Detroit can compete again? 2028? The front office taking Clark seemed to suggest it would be a while. Tork, Manning, Meadows, Rogers, Baddoo, and Mize havent really inspired.  Ironically Skubal, the least harolded seems the best of the bunch. Thought on this poor team?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:29
I honestly don't know. Feels like they need a full regime change in order to win because that's a whole lot of talent that's just not panning out
Scully, Carey, & Uecker
3:29
Dodgers AAA catcher is a one of the best fastball hitters in all of baseball. Even last year he had a 85.8% Contact, 66.0% ZSwing, 13.8% Chase, .497 xwOBAcon against fastballs, he’s always killed righties except for 2021 where he had extreme reverse splits. He handled the staff well in ST during the WBC, known for his glove. Why aren’t the Dodgers carrying 3 catchers?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:30
there's no reason to carry three catchers right now if you don't have playing time for one of them and don't want to cut into the playing time of your All-Star. As it is, I'm really not sure what the Dodgers do with Cartaya because Smith is such a stud. With Rushing behind him in the minors, it might make sense to deal Cartaya for something important.
Dave
3:30
Would you pay Cody Bellinger based on his last three years in LA or his year in Chicago?  He looks like the MVP version of himself right now.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:32
He's playing very well and has played himself back to the point where I think a nine-figure deal is possible but if you were going to write out such a deal for him based on his ages-21-23 seasons it would start with a 2 not a 1, and that ain't happening.
Nick
3:34
The Yanks not selling at the deadline is because Hal, like the Roy children, lives in the shadow of his dad and knows George would never sell at the deadline. Except is that true? Did George ever sell at the deadline?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:36
I haven't had time for a full review but the 1989 Yankees (the year before George was suspended) traded away Rickey Henderson in June and Mike Pagliarulo (and more minor bits) in July, and finished 74-88. I'd have to call that a sell-off
3:37
OK folks it's time for me to wrap it up. Thanks so much for stopping by today!
No chat from me next week as I'lll be on vacation San Diego. If you spot someone that looks like me at Petco Park, it just might be me.
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