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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 8/9/18
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:31
More concerned about the glove given the metrics (-9 UZR, -14 DRS in 2/3 of a season) than the .324 OBP. That will play so long as the power is there, and brother, the power is THERE
silvpak
1:32
elvis andrus on the vizquel/smith path? 29 years old and over 1500 career hits already, seems to have a decent shot at 3k.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:34
His defensive numbers — and his WAR7 — are much more Omar than Ozzie. He'd have to maintain his current league average-ish offensive production for me to believe he has any real shot at getting to 3K.
Humpty
1:35
How is Bumgarner a No "obviously"?  He's only 29.  Lots of baseball in that arm I suspect.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:37
please reread my answer. The "obviously" was connected to his postseason credentials. My basis for suggesting he's not going to have the staying power is what I wrote about his fastball here https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-giants-are-going-nowhere/. Felix Hernandez is yet another reminder that heavy use in 20s does not portend strong 30s for a pitcher, especially once that fastball declines.
James
1:38
Simmons a potential HOF? averaging 5 WAR (2013 - 2017) and already has 5 this year, plus he is an elite defender who's offense is getting better each year
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:39
I think he's got a real shot. His WAR7 is already at 33.7, and that is with fewer than seven full seasons played!
Woad Raider
1:40
Trevor Story is hitting for average and not striking out as much? Is he now one the NL's best SS now? That power and his speed are amazing!
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:42
He's shored up his game nicely. His 3.4 WAR is tied with Trea Turner for tops among NL SS this year, so I think he's at least in the discussion. I'd put both of those guys behind a healthy Corey Seager, but since Corey Seager isn't healthy right now...
CubbieBlues
1:42
Hey Jay, many thanks for chatting. Are there any managers or front office execs who you think are going to make the HoF?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:44
among execs, Cashman and Epstein are quite likely and likewise for Bochy and Francona among managers, and Scioscia has a shot
1:46
OK, the Felix piece is out https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/exile-for-king-felix/ and I'm about to go have leftover instant pot chicken tacos (https://lifemadesimplebakes.com/2017/07/instant-pot-shredded-chicken-t...) for lunch. Thanks for stopping by today!
Roman Numeral Three
1:46
Where do you stand on Bernie Williams?  If Jim Rice is a HOFer, why didn't Bernie get more love?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:46
Dreadful defensive metrics, different electorates.
1:47
and with that, good day!
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