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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 9/20/18
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:41
by my math, x = ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Will
1:42
Do you expect Newcomb to continue to develop, or this is more or less who he is?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:44
Seems like a pretty sharp fall-off since the start of August (3.23 ERA/4.04 FIP before, 6.52 ERA/4.60 FIP since), and I'd imagine at least some of that is fatigue. I expect him to be better than a league-average guy based on what we saw earlier in the year
Conner from AZ
1:45
What does Goldy need to do to have a legitimate HoF case? His career was a late starter so the counting stats will never get there, but like 4 more 5 WAR seasons?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:47
He's not far off the peak standard (40.1 WAR for him, 42.7 for the HOFers) and has some low-hanging fruit within that — three 5.0 WAR seasons would get him to that and about half the distance remaining to the career standard (which is 66.8). Like everybody else, remaining healthy and productive past his mid-30s is key, because guys who fade before then don't make it.
David
1:48
Do you think the Dodgers would be serious contenders to resign Machado and sort out the positioning later with Seager coming back?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:48
No, I think it's more likely they go for Harper, even though there's a much larger spread of uncertainty in his future performance.
Eric
1:49
Can you make a case for Baez being NL MVP.  While his OBP is lacking, and from an offensive perspective, Yelich may be having a better season, to me, he provides so much more in the non-offensive categories of the game
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:50
Baez has defense, versatility and an incredible highlight reel. He may win this, though I think if I had a ballot I'd strongly consider deGrom ahead of any position player given how tightly they're bunched.
1:51
With that, it's time to bring down the curtain on today's chat. Thanks for stopping by, and we'll see you next week.
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