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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 1/13/17
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Graver
9:53
Did you know that humans have explored less than 5% of the Ocean?
Jeff Sullivan
9:53
Not specifically, but, generally, yes
Rb
9:54
Quintana straight up for meadows and glansnow? Who says no?
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
I don't know how the White Sox feel about Glasnow, since he has a bunch of unanswered questions, but they did take the similar Giolito. So there's precedent. I think you have the bones of a deal here
D
9:56
So now that the offseason is so deep, how do we view a lot of the moves that seemed likely to happen at the beginning of the off season? For example, the Dodgers trading one of McCarthy/Kazmir, and Dodgers trading for a 2B. Do we see these types of deals as less likely? Or is this off season unraveling slower than most?
Jeff Sullivan
9:56
A little less likely, but if the Dodgers have demonstrated anything, it's that they can pull off a flurry of moves at a moment's notice
NatsFan
9:56
Instagraphs idea: Quantify what percentage of trades this offseason involved the Mariners, what percentage of articles written by Fangraphs this offseason involved the mariners, and what percentage of Fangraphs readers would have wasted away from boredom after this weak excuse for an offseason if not for the mariners
Jeff Sullivan
9:58
Give Jerry Dipoto one thing: like his moves or not, he makes an awful lot of them, which earns him an A on the entertainment scale. His hyperactivity might be a little out of control, but it's never boring
Pip
9:59
Espn has the Cub's, Met's, and Red Sox rotations ahead of the Nationals. Largely in part to the "injury risk" they have. Don't all those club's especially the Mets have just as much risk? There's no reason to believe Strausburg and Ross will be effected by there injuries next year (not to say they can't be injured again). There is a chance though that Matt Harvey may never be the same again, plus Zach Wheeler hasn't pitched in over two years.
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
First of all, the rankings don't really matter -- the Nationals have a good rotation, full stop. But the risk is legitimate: after Scherzer, Strasburg and Ross are probably their best two starters, and they both just dealt with injuries. That's always been the best predictor of a future injury. And the Nationals have also subtracted from their own supporting depth
mtsw
10:02
What would be a reasonable price for the Orioles to bring Mark Trumbo back on?
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Something like 3/$30m, maybe. Less than what Trumbo will actually get
Dan
10:03
Still buying on Hosmer as a top 10 first basemen?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
What do you mean "still buying"?
Am I a big Eric Hosmer fan?
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:04
What's the optimal strategy for a team like the Brewers, who are a year+ beyond initiating a rebuild - basically stand pat, take high upside FA flyers, and just let the player development machine do its thing? Obviously, it makes sense to flip a Braun or Garza if someone comes up and makes them a good offer, but does it also make sense to actively try to trade guys like Guerra who might only be medium-term Brewers?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
The Brewers have more or less been doing everything optimally. I love how their rebuild has gone. They're still not close, but you can see how they could field a respectable club as soon as 2017. There should be any urgency to further subtract; they don't have any more assets like Lucroy or Gomez. I like the upside shots they've taken
Jeff
10:05
Any prediction as to which team Jose Quintana will start the season with?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
I'll be boring and say the White Sox
and then he'll be at the top of the market in July
Jack
10:05
Will there be a more boring team in 2017 than the Oakland A's?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
Their rotation, at least, could be exciting. The Padres look boring and dreadful
Zonk
10:06
I am travelling to Iceland in May. The whole country is a volcano! You been?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
Not yet but it feels inevitable
CamdenWarehouse
10:06
Do you expect another gear from Edwin Diaz this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
Same gear
It was an awfully good gear
Curtis
10:07
Can Michael Feliz pull an Aaron Sanchez in the next couple of years?
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
I like Feliz a lot, and he's gone by underappreciated, but the Sanchez turns are the exceptions, not the norm
Terry
10:08
Can Jurickson Profar be similar to Dustin Pedroia?
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
Pedroia runs half the strikeout rate. There's still that Profar upside and his contact rates have been strong, but I haven't seen enough life in the bat. Profar's stock is way down for now
Moltar
10:09
Arbitration avoidance season! The best part of the year!!
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
This might be what Jon Heyman actually believes
Hank
10:09
Robert Gsellman or Lucas Giolito and why?
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
Giolito because he's better
Bob Pollard
10:10
Which is least interesting to you: fantasy baseball questions or the breathless tweeting of arbitration numbers?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
I can't actually answer this because I've never once been interested in either
I guess the latter leaves the door open to make a few jokes. There's no joking about fantasy baseball questions
Ed in Iowa
10:11
Welcome back! Hope you had a lovely trip..... Given their apparently great start to their rebuild do you suppose the White Sox would soften their stance about not trading with the Cubs, i.e. Quintana to the Cubs is something Cubs fans could at least daydream about?
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
Clearly I don't think it's something the White Sox would rule out -- it would be stupid for them to ever rule out any potential suitor -- but I don't even see the Cubs as being the best match, so Quintana in Wrigley feels unlikely
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