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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 10/7/16
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Jeff Sullivan
9:50
Every hitter goes up looking fastball-first, and at the end of the day, Estrada does still throw more fastballs than changeups
9:51
You can, of course, start to sit on the changeup, but then that's where Martin and Estrada come in. They can read the swings, and if they get the sense the hitter is leaning, here comes the high heat, 88 that looks like it's 98 because you're expecting 78
J
9:52
Are the 3 best relievers in baseball lefty? Who is the best one?
Jeff Sullivan
9:52
Kenley Jansen would like a word
Spooks
9:52
Screw these post-season jerks. How do you see Ichiro's role moving forward in comparison to this year?
Jeff Sullivan
9:53
He'll remain a pinch-hitter who slides right in whenever Giancarlo Stanton makes his annual trip to the disabled list
Erik
9:54
After the NL wild card game, the Dodgers had a 3.8 percentage points better chance at winning the WS than the Cubs. Now the Cubs' odds are 0.1% better. What could have possibly changed, since neither team played a game?
Jeff Sullivan
9:56
Could have to do with a few things. There might've been some adjustments made behind the scenes to the depth charts. Maybe the Cubs are mathematically helped out by facing the Giants instead of the Mets. And then, also, these simulations aren't *that* precise and I think we run just a few thousand of them, so the numbers will move around by a few points day to day naturally
9:58
Fun fact/observation: given the loss yesterday, the Red Sox' World Series odds on FG dropped from 18% to 11%. Big deal!
Ryan
9:58
Tell me something to ease my anxiety about the Cubs besides that we're all just temporary beings who's lives really don't matter.
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
Why would I want to do that? The anxiety is part of the whole experience. Savor this. Feeling nervous is how you know you're alive
Chuck Burly
9:59
Think Miller's success last night maybe shifts the idea that your best reliever absolutely has to be your closer?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
He's not changing anything with one game, no. But this isn't new for him, either.
AFan
10:00
What do you expect from LAD vs WSN NLDS?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Very little hitting
Corey Kluber
10:00
Will I win the Cy Young?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
I'd bet the field
Britton is likely to get a lot of support
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:00
Now that the regular season is over, which of the clearly rebuilding teams covered the most ground towards future contention?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Brewers have had the best 12 months
Erik
10:01
Are the 8 remaining teams the 8 best teams in baseball this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
I'm not convinced the Rangers are better than, say, the Cardinals, but we're close enough
Scott
10:02
How the hell do you get to the lower left field section in Safeco? I went to a game last month (was just in town visiting) and genuinely couldn't figure out how to get in left field where a homer might actually land. Cool stadium though.
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
I believe you need to go into Edgar's Cantina
KIRK
10:03
What player would look most goofy with glasses?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
The answer to these questions is usually Bartolo Colon
Gabriel
10:04
I know Francona did the right thing yesterdat and he is hoping Kluber goes 7IP today, but if the Indians are 3-2 up after 7, does he go with Miller and Allen again? Or will he burn them using them today?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
I think you could still squeeze out a few outs, with the off day tomorrow. But it's also worth remembering that Dan Otero this year was shockingly good
Steve
10:04
Do you see Coppy actually getting real starting pitching help? A Chris Archer or Sale?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
They really shouldn't be aiming that high
Steve
10:05
Thoughts on Ian Desmond not making that catch yesterday?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
Looked bad. I don't know what he saw, or what he thought he saw. You don't really want to take those catches for granted, but clearly something in his brain misfired. Announcers might've been right when they speculated about the shadows. Could've messed with Desmond's peripheral vision
David
10:06
Should I be nervous about the Red Sox? Some bad, bad, fundamental baseball last night.
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
Lost a one-run game on the road. Shit happens. Don't be nervous because of how they looked. Just be nervous because it's the playoffs, and now you're an underdog
Odds of winning the series, hosted on FG, dropped from about 60% to about 40%
Jake
10:07
Thoughts on Alex Bregman going into next year.
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
Good
Bork
10:08
Any word if Zach Britton has been located yet?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
He's probably still sitting in the bullpen, staring and silent
Steve
10:08
Do you think Hamels might be injured or is something else wrong with him?
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