Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 11/11/16
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J
10:28
Your thoughts on Hill's worth?
Jeff Sullivan
10:28
I'd give him something aggressive, like $45 - 50m over two years
groucho
10:29
What should the cardinals do this offseason?
Jeff Sullivan
10:29
Try to turn Adams and a starter into a center fielder
And they should also work to build out the bullpen
10:30
Maybe Wacha would make the bullpen a lot stronger but for the time being they still see him as a SP
Dustin
10:30
Is there a such thing as a bad one-year contract?
Jeff Sullivan
10:30
There are better and worse one-year contracts, but the bad ones are nothing compared to the bad multi-year types
JR
10:31
Let's say the Mariners sign Brett Cecil, a MOTR arm like Hammel or Fister and a goodish but not great OF like Jon Jay...is that enough to put them in contention for the AL West?
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
Sure. They're not bad
Jordan
10:31
Who do you want/settle/fear at 1B for the Mariners in 2017.
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
I'm still hung up on the idea of Taijuan Walker for Josh Bell. I'd settle for Napoli, and I'd fear a full season of Dan Vogelbach
J
10:32
What is Gardner's trade value? Pretty small with the contract but above negative?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Very very very slightly positive
The club option for 2019 helps
Mary
10:33
Would the Mets trade Wheeler or Matz for Inciarte? If not, would they do it for Gsellman?
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
Just so we're clear, Wheeler hasn't pitched in the majors in two years, and Gsellman isn't good. They don't at all compare to Matz, who is a quality cost-controlled starter
10:35
And I'm not sure the Mets see Inciarte as being sufficiently better than Lagares to justify losing one of the starters they need
Matthew
10:35
Assuming Hellickson declines the Phil's QA, do you see them trying to add vets like the Braves have with Dickey/Colon (or somebody like Hellickson was last year) or do you think they're now inclined to roll the dice and try and piece together 1000 starter innings from the young guys? Thx.
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
They'll get at least one veteran to stabilize the staff and yield predictable innings. Doesn't have to be a free agent; they could trade for a guy with a year or two left
10:37
Maybe they could make the very uninspiring Colby Lewis addition
Yanks4Life
10:37
Now that Atlanta has added starters, would they be open to dealing Folty? Would McCann and cash plus Frazier be enough to get him?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
They love Folty. They're not going to let him go
Ricky
10:37
Hard for me to see Chapman getting 6 years, that's a long comittment from a team. How many years do you think he gets?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
At least four, and possibly five. Maybe a fifth-year option
Jay_B
10:38
If Rich Hill is gettable on something like a 2/$40 deal, should the Cubs get involved?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
Every contender with money should get involved
Scott
10:38
What are the plans for the Pirates and Cardinals over the next year or two, given the Cubs are in a prime position to run the NL Central?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
There are still wild cards to win, and there are still a bunch of rebuilding teams in the NL who aren't there yet. The Pirates might be more inclined to sell quality pieces, but the Cardinals don't have to operate in the same way
JT
10:39
Jeff, what's the point in anything anymore?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
What's ever been the point?
10:40
Live and love, and do more good than harm. Leave the world better, but mournful for your loss
Q-Ball
10:41
I look at the Orioles roster, and just can't figure out how they even made the playoffs last year. Machado, Britton, and a whole pile of meh. Am I off base? Are they about to become bad? If they start to look terrible, should they consider dealing those two stars for prospects?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
Britton, yes. Machado, you try like hell to keep
nbgardn
10:42
Seems like the Cards will need a middle of the lineup bat. Also sounds like the infield is fairly well sorted. Any thoughts on who would be a good fit for an OF/middle of the order guy in St. Louis?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
2016 wRC+, National League:

1. Cubs, 106
2. Cardinals, 104
3. Pirates, 99
They could use a center fielder, but their offense looks fine. Healthy Matt Carpenter is fantastic
Q-Ball
10:43
Despite the Cubs playoff experience, they seem against a big payday for a top reliever. They are prioritizing the acquisition of young pitching via trade, and more bargain FA. Surprising, given the playoff run and available cash?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
This is a pretty good winter to sit out the FA closer feeding frenzy. They don't need to be desperate for anything, since they literally just won, and it's worth noting that before the DL stint, Hector Rondon was as good as pretty much anyone. 1.70 ERA, .462 OPS, five walks and 51 strikeouts. If Rondon is healthy, they have their impact closer
Scott of Linconshire
10:45
Which team is going to really regret paying a closer $80-100 million dollars instead of looking for a failed starter (Cashner the obvious answer) and turning them into a closer for $10 million?
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