Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/12/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:43
I personally agree. For the 2011 Phillies, I don't hold Halladay and Lee against Hamels
Lazy Dodgers Fan
10:43
I live deep behind enemy lines, in Eureka, CA famous for its marijuana, redwoods, and being the hometown of one Grant Brisbee. I got into it the other day with a coworker about why the Dodgers are *slightly* better off heading into this season than the Giants, but it didn't go well. Please help.
Jeff Sullivan
10:44
The Dodgers are super deep and more than anything else you should bond over your shared love for baseball than fight over your particular loyalty conflict
joey mads
10:44
will jorge soler ever reach his full potential or just strike out a ton and look awful doing it
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
In between? I try to never bet on these toolsy players reaching their ceilings
jay
10:45
What's the best realistic Soler and/or Baez trade out there?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
If something were to happen today, Soler for JBJ
I don't know about Baez but I want him in Colorado
Jack
10:46
Do you think Castro will succeed in NY? Not sure how is style plays in NY and even though still young, will he be anything more than replacement value type player? Thanks
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
I think he'll do enough -- he's already coming from a high-pressure environment, and it's a new start in New York, where he's not being counted on to be anything more than what he is. He's not a symbol, he's not a disappointment; he's just a pretty young second baseman. I think he'll perform like an average player
Matt
10:47
Expectations for Corey Dickerson in Tampa?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
I'm a big fan of the bat. Doesn't do a lot else but he'll conquer that ballpark
The Average Sports Fan
10:48
Law has the Brewers as a top 5 minor league system, after being bottom 5 just last year. Impressed?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
They've quietly done an excellent job of initiating the rebuild. Lucroy's going to make things even better
And keep an eye on a potential Will Smith trade
AS
10:49
Does it annoy you that the "Scores" link on the menu at the top isn't in caps while all the other links are?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
Well now it does
hindsight
10:50
Howie Kendrick, Gallardo and Fowler's Agents should all be fired.. why would they think rejecting a 15M contract was a good idea knowing that would tie a draft pick to thier client
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
Did you see what Ian Kennedy got?
The money was out there. It just almost all went to pitchers
Bob
10:52
Is there a player that you believe will have a true breakout season ala AJ Pollock last season?
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
I'm not banking on it but I could see Bogaerts consolidating his skills and getting up to 6 wins
Bork
10:53
Does your hockey fanhood call your baseball fanhood a nerd?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
They both try not to call attention to themselves because their respective favorite teams have not been very good
Gabe
10:53
I was always a huge Ackley booster (and I'm not a Mariners fan). What do you think the M's actually did wrong with him, such that he would have thrived in another system?
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
I suspect Ackley was given very inconsistent instruction, and I'm not sure the Mariners identified that he's a player who lets a lot get into his head. A lot of this is just speculation on my part of course
Sim Sam
10:55
Did the Tigers get what they needed as far as relief pitching goes?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
I like what they did. They might still be one reliever short but Lowe/Rodriguez/Wilson is a pretty good trio
e
10:58
Say there was a 2 outcome hitter, strikeout or home run, how many HRs would he have to hit to have positive value at the plate?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
Roughly two home runs every 13 plate appearances (one per 6.5)
So his batting line would look like .154/.154/.615
10:59
That would make him slightly better than average
Momo the Monkey
10:59
Can you write something else about the "reverse Coors effect"? Every time a Colorado slugger gets traded some doofus says "but look at his road splits" as if those road splits are indicative of how he'll perform when he's traded. I don't have the resources at hand to correct them all.
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
It's been written about a few times. Petriello just did it most recently on MLB.com. The problem is the limited sample size of players in recent history but, yeah, there's not really anything to worry about
Kimball
11:00
Did you, Brisbee, Miller and Lindbergh make a pact years ago that each of the others had to be the people you list when asked who you read? Or did one of you do it first, and now the rest of you feel guilted into doing the same?
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
We mostly have similar interests and personalities and I suspect we all decided we like each other a while ago and now we're too threatened by new talent to think about them or want to advertise for them
11:01
It's pathetic, really. We're all cowards
Oooh ooh that smell!
11:01
with his low walk rate, is Odor going to continue to improve or does that 5.1% number ultimately doom him?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
It won't doom him, because he's pretty good at making contact, and he'll force pitchers out of the zone more often. But it will put a limit on his upside
Troy
11:02
If every FG writer had their own focus-- 'prospects guy,' 'projections guy,' 'finance guy' etc-- what would yours be considered?
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