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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/23/18
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Jeff Sullivan
9:52
Not so much of a fan of Domingo Santana's 50% strikeout rate
9:53
Lucas Sims, Reynaldo Lopez, and Carson Fulmer have sort of let me down
Keep an eye on Chris Stratton
zach
9:55
I'm not sure if there's a way to find this number, but a stat I've always been curious on is RISP conversion rates for hitters i.e, you come up to bat with 300 RISP over the course of your season, and knock in 75 of them (be it on hits or sac flies), you'd have a 25% conversion rate. Any insight on how to find these numbers?
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
Baseball Prospectus tracks a stat like this https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=2529099
9:56
Adam Lind batted with 195 actual runners, and he generated 45 RBI, not counting driving himself in. So he had a league-leading conversion rate of 23%
9:57
Tyler Saladino brought up the rear
austin, texas
9:57
Do you believe the home run rate will continue to rise in 2018?
Jeff Sullivan
9:57
Yep
It's way up again this spring, which provides some foreshadowing
Steve
9:58
I've been visiting this site for almost 10 years now, can we please stick to analytics instead of SJW clickbait?
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
The front page is absolutely full of deep and timely baseball analysis
Why, I can't even believe how much analysis there is!
It would be impossible to read it all
Dan
9:59
MATT KEMP IS GOING TO BE PLAYING FOR THE DODGERS IN 2018, ON PURPOSE
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
I'm so confused as to how to manage the Dodgers' depth chart, because I have stubbornly refused to believe Kemp will actually get that much of a chance
10:00
Even now, with Kemp having done what he's done, I've read all the praise as the Dodgers trying to push an agenda. They're trying to build him up so that someone else gets sufficiently convinced to trade for him
There's almost no way the Dodgers can look at Kemp and think, yeah, he's a good fielder now
Bean Smuggler
10:01
Was Jason Bay elite?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
Briefly
Vegan Man!
10:02
Underlying numbers seem to project a bounce back from Kinsler, you buying? Thank you!
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Yeah, he's better than a .244 BABIP
10:03
Kinsler just posted the same expected wOBA that he did in 2016. Two years ago, he overachieved, and last year, he underachieved
Drew
10:03
Is every player in the Yankee lineup above average?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
I don't think Neil Walker or Brandon Drury are above average
Zlatan
10:04
Much has been made of Joey Gallo's minor league adjustments. Should Rangers fans be optimistic his K% will go down? FB% also went down in second half
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
I suspect Gallo is always going to strike out at least a third of the time. But because he walks and hits for so much stupid power, that's not so big a deal. He's coming off a contact rate of 59%; don't know how that can improve very much, given his swing mechanics. George Springer did it, but it's not like Springer is that much better than he used to be. Just different
Justin
10:06
FanGraphs desperately needs to hire a copy editor/proofreader. Please and thank you.
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
Ehh, it's never been great. Dave was the typo king!
10:07
Carson is the primary editor but I'd give him a break for this week and next, because editing the PPR posts, on top of everything else, is a laborious chore
10:08
The cost of paying for a full-time editor would not be worth the benefit of avoiding an occasional typo here and there. Just doesn't make sense for our budget
Jacob
10:08
Is the gap between 1 and 2 in the CF positional rankings this year the biggest gap fangraphs bas ever projected?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
I can't think of a bigger one. Trout used to be somewhat threatened by McCutchen, but obviously that's no longer the case
Dustin
10:09
Will I be able to watch the Braves this season without crying? I just don't want to cry anymore.
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
That depends. What are you crying about? If you're crying about something independent of the Braves, then the Braves aren't going to make that any better
Hannah Hochevar
10:09
Remember when Chris Davis was a free agent and no one wanted to sign him and then the O's (always the favorite) swooped in and gave him even more years and money than anyone expected? Trying to remember how that worked out...
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
The Orioles might have the most unusual front office in baseball
As every other team has coalesced, the Orioles are an outlier
10:11
Doesn't mean they don't have their strengths. But they do have their weaknesses
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