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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/23/18
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Mr.Marlin
10:11
What are your thoughts on D.Dietrich in 2018?  I think he’ll surprise
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
He's a perfectly adequate hitter, but I think he's a player without a strength. At least, in Miami, he knows he's going to play
The Man With No Name
10:13
Speaking of the Jays, reports are that Marco Estrada looks "unhittable."  What's your outlook for him this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
The last time Marco Estrada had a really good spring was 2014, when the Brewers turned him into a salary dump
10:16
I don't think his stuff got any worse last year. But it's also hard to trust someone who leans so heavily on BABIP suppression. I expect a slightly better-than-average ERA
Desperate, confused Marlins fan
10:16
who do you want to build your team around in 2020?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
Mike Trout
10:17
Are you asking about the Marlins?
Get Mike Trout
Jordan
10:17
How often do readers confuse you and Jeff Zimmerman each chat?   A. Very often. B. Not that often. C. Sometimes.
Jeff Sullivan
10:17
B
E
10:17
What are the odds Ender Inciarte makes the Hall of Fame?
Jeff Sullivan
10:17
0%
Talia
10:17
If the Yankees sign Machado will they have four 5 win players in their 2019 lineup?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
Right now the Yankees have one projected 5-win player
I know you can make arguments for Judge and Sanchez and whatever. But just don't underestimate how hard it is to project at 5+ wins
Mikka
10:19
Is Alex Wood really an injury threat compared to other pitchers? 171 IP in '14, 189 in '15, and 152 last year. Seems like he could be a consistent 6 IP guy
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
Big elbow problem in 2016, two shoulder-related DL stints in 2017. There's a little bias here because I think observers have just been waiting for Wood to blow his arm out, but it's not like there aren't some warning lights
Vegan Man!
10:20
Think Car-Go can get back to form this year? Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
Based on his September, sure. Based on the rest of his season, I wouldn't bet on it
10:21
I'm interested in this case, though, because if it turns out the problem really WAS just poor sleep, that's important!
What a lesson that could be!
Robert
10:21
How many labor problems would be solved if they simply switched the service time clock to start when players were acquired rather than when they make the majors?
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
Depends on how you'd manage it but if it's aggressive, then smaller-budget operations would complain about competitive balance
Nostradamaso Marte
10:22
Would you rather bet: (a) Heyward has another disappointing season on offense and the Cubs use his trade protection rollback to move him next winter, or (b) the field?
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
I'll take the field, because I don't know why someone would acquire a three-time disappointment
The Man With No Name
10:22
Suppose you're a team and can choose between Lynn's and Cobb's contracts.  Gotta be Lynn, right?
Jeff Sullivan
10:23
Absolutely
Even though I do like Cobb more, I don't like him that much more
Riyad
10:23
How many plate appearances does Jose Martinez finish with?
Jeff Sullivan
10:23
350 or so
Joe
10:23
The Orioles are gonna do it again, aren't they?
Jeff Sullivan
10:23
Doubt it. That division is impossible
Harristotle
10:24
Give me a real life equivalent to how bad the Orioles baseball ops decision making has been this offseason.
Jeff Sullivan
10:25
Look, I usually like the bargain hunting they do. Like, Colby Rasmus might work out great. Chris Tillman might work out great! The Alex Cobb acquisition was weird. They are so damn weird
But I get it -- they don't want to blow it up as long as Machado is around. Same reason the Rangers haven't blown it up, with Beltre around
Kenny
10:25
How long into the season before the Angels have to sit Ohtani down and say he has to focus on pitching bc of his 9.33 ERA and .098 batting average? Once he feels comfortable pitching then they can allow him to get some ABs.
Jeff Sullivan
10:26
I imagine the Angels wouldn't make any changes to the plan for quite some time. Part of the agreement of getting Ohtani in the first place. No one expects him to be this bad during the season. This is kind of the whole point of spring, isn't it?
Sam
10:26
When looking at Manny machados stats last year it seems he may have just had one of the unluckier seasons in recent memory... increased his BB% and Hard%, decreases K%. BABIP over 20 points lower than career average. Only thing I can see that was negative was a slight increase in GB%. Poised for a bounce back season?
Jeff Sullivan
10:27
He'll be very good, although he still hasn't made the leap that I've been expecting. With his approach, he might never reach elite batter territory
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