Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/4/16
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Mark
10:33
Jeff, How much of an upgrade in outfield D is Schwarber-Fowler-Heyward over Schwarber-Heyward-Soler? Also, how much do you think that outfield D is worth to the Cubs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Schwarber is held constant
10:34
Let's say Fowler is a -5 CF, and Soler is a -5 RF. Let's say Heyward is a +5 CF and a +15 RF. This would give the first arrangement a 10-run advantage
Zonk
10:34
I thought of Brandon Wood for that prospect question
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
Legitimate, but he always had that contact red flag
Struck out a ton in the high minors. Ultimately it's what killed him
somedudefromitaly
10:35
Jeff, do you think it's possible the Dodgers actually call up De Leon/Urias in the 1st half? Zaidi said so after the Anderson news, but I can't see it happening
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
Definitely possible. Not the first thing they want to do, but the pitchers are just about ready, and they're already down a few starting pitchers from what they accumulated
TF Fredrik
10:37
Hypothetical: How much better would you be able to write about teams and players if you had all the information teams do about their own players?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
I'd be the best sportswriter in the world, and through some combination of means I'd make a damn fortune
10:38
And along the way any number of teams would reach out and offer me money to try to get me to stop
The Decadent Moose
10:38
You guys are killing me (or saving me). I play Diamond Mind Baseball and rebuilt my bullpen. It's now stocked with Keone Kela, Mychal Givens, Corey Knebel, and a trade brought over Blake Treinen. You may as well just draft for me. I suppose I need a question: Any news on Lucroy?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
No news. Other teams will watch and make sure he's okay before revisiting talks
Mike
10:39
I see a lot of questions about "what if Dustin Ackley had been drafted by X organization" - I understand that the Mariners development system has been wretched compared to others, but what exactly about it has been so bad? What is so good about the Cardinals, for example?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
I can't really speak to the Cardinals. But from what I've learned about the Mariners, it sounds like the biggest problem was coaches at every level giving conflicting information. They never quite had the whole organization on the same page, and that can make things confusing for young players, who don't know who to listen to
10:40
It's a freaking miracle Kyle Seager emerged as he did
TF Fredrik
10:40
Speaking of weird career paths, Jurrickson Profar still could be very good right? Seems like that would be taking quite the long road.
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
There is a line of thought that Profar was always overrated by the scouting community, but he's still clearly talented, he sounds like he's healthy now, and he's a full year younger than Jorge Soler
Josh
10:41
Do you think expansion is a likely subject of talk for the next CBA?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
No
Justin
10:41
Over/under on season wins lost by Dodgers due to Brett Anderson's injury: 1.5?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
I'll go with 1
Paul
10:42
Where do you stand on Billy Hamilton this year? Is he what he's been, or is there hope that he can keep his head above water and steal 80+ bases?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
He's been terrible offensively for a season and a half. I'm not a believer, but I do know that Hamilton is very inquisitive and eager to learn how he can improve, so that's one plus, I suppose
mtsw
10:45
I get that people get upset when broadcasters, coaches or executives say dumb shit about analytics, since it's their job to know better, but why are people upset at Anthony Gose for saying something ignorant? Seems misguided to me.
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
It's an opportunity to dogpile. The same thing happened some years ago when Raul Ibanez said basically the same stuff as Gose did. It's a chance for people to say "haha this person is stupid" and people love seizing those chances. It's ugly and dumb. Gose has issues with how defensive metrics are calculated. Newsflash: every smart person does.
Of course Gose would be a little less likely to trust a metric that rates him as a below-average outfielder. Especially if he's been hearing the opposite of that from his own employer
Shawn Spenstarr
10:48
Just based purely on speculation. Which manager do you think gets fired first, if their team doesn't do as well as expected?
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
John Farrell?
Raindog
10:49
Have you ever considered the Mt. Rushmore question for the Mariners? Really hard for me to stop at four. Griffey, Edgar, Ichiro, and... I can't decide between Unit and Felix. And that's not even considering Arod.
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
I think Felix gets the advantage over Randy
10:50
Felix has 400 more innings in the uniform, and while Randy is maybe a bit more iconic, Felix has narrowed the gap over time
CamdenWarehouse
10:50
Will Zunino be the Mariners starting catcher at some point this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
Not for long, I don't think
Marc
10:50
Who gets signed first, Lincecum or Alvarez? Where do you ultimately see both of them ending up?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
I'll say Lincecum signs first. No idea where yet; more pitchers could get hurt between now and then
Selfishly I'd love to see him go to the Pirates
mtsw
10:52
Zach Britton for Jorge Soler, who says no?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I'll say Orioles, but it would be different midseason if the O's drop out of contention
forest
10:55
Why have Matt Thornton's K/9 tanked all the way to 5.01 when his fastball still has respectable velocity?
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