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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 5/18/18
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Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
11:00
When a player hits a ball on a bounce, catching it shouldn't count as an out. The ball already hit the ground!
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
Order of operations?
Dan
11:02
What do you think the Orioles can get from the Cubs for Machado?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
Talks probably start with Alzolay and go from there. I understand the obvious link to Russell but the Cubs surely view Russell as too valuable a player to give up for a few months
11:04
Maybe it would turn into a three-way trade, where the Cubs lose Russell and gain Machado, but also gain a longer-term value, probably a pitcher
YKnotDisco?!
11:04
Has anyone looked at the time between pitches after a batter has swung vs taking the pitch? I'd imagine swinging would be a longer break in action.
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
The real drain comes after a foul ball. It's not that uncommon for 45 seconds or so to elapse
Confortobly numb
11:06
Corbin's velo with a (slight) bounce back, should we still be worried?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
Very slight bounceback, but no bounceback at all in terms of his peak velocity reached in the game. Something still looks very weird
11:07
Corbin hasn't thrown a pitch at 92 or higher since April 28, when he threw 28 of them
kevinthecomic
11:07
Has Matt Carpenter's shoulder injury relegated him to his current level of performance?
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
Here's the interesting thing about Matt Carpenter
2017: .383 xwOBA
2018: .379
Obviously the strikeouts are up and the contact is down, but he's still hitting the ball hard when he hits it
11:10
Because of Carpenter's various injuries, you do have to worry a little bit. At the same time, he played through shoulder pain last season and hit, right? So it's complicated
Rockie Dangerfield
11:10
If the Rockies were to send Dahl back down to Albuquerque, would you rather have Albuquerque's lineup or Colorado's?
Jeff Sullivan
11:10
Colorado's, but barely
Trout Brigade
11:11
If you are the Angels, what do you do with Albert Pujols?  Is he worth rostering, or is it worth pursuing an upgrade?
Jeff Sullivan
11:11
I very gradually begin folding in more Jabari Blash
And at some point Pujols would end up on the DL with something
Mark
11:11
What do you think happens with the Padres outfield?
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
Cordero will play most days, and when he's healthy, Myers will play most days. Renfroe will be in Triple-A
11:13
Jankowski will take more time from Margot, but also, Jankowski seems like exactly the kind of player the Padres should just trade to the Mariners now or something
Reyes won't get his opportunity now, I don't think, but he'll get a more extended cup of coffee later on
Ted
11:14
With Statcast data making it clear that certain pitchers can consistently generate soft contact, is it time to tweak the FIP/xFIP models? Or at least reevaluate how much they tell us? I think they work extremely well for the vast majority of pitchers, but there does seem to be a small but noticeable class of pitchers who are either underrated (soft contact pitchers) or overrated (pitchers who have an unusual penchant for turning fly balls into home runs) by FIP and/or xFIP. Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
11:14
FIP and xFIP have always been valued for their relative simplicity. We've known all along that they leave some things out, but that's the trade-off for not over-complicating them. They still get you most of the way there
11:15
That's where Statcast can come in to fill in the void. Most of the time, a soft-contact pitcher won't actually be much of a soft-contact pitcher in the end. But for the guys who give up a lot of soft or hard contact -- we'll know who they are, and we'll be able to measure that
Justin
11:15
Slugging percentage has its flaws. I know it. You know it. We all know it. So why are we obsessed with OPS? Wouldn’t OBP + ISO be better?
Jeff Sullivan
11:16
Because it's simple
That's it
Why talk about OPS at all when we have wOBA, or, even better, wRC+?
OPS is there because it's very easy, and it's useful
Urena Esq
11:16
If Trout were to ride this 0-for-19 slump through the rest of his career, would he still go to the Hall?
Jeff Sullivan
11:16
Well no
Ichiro for CEO
11:17
Is it reasonable to believe that the Dodgers can win the NL West with 87 or so wins? Every team in that division has its flaws and with the Dodgers weak start, its hard to see anyone running away with it.
Jeff Sullivan
11:17
Yeah, with the Diamondbacks' depth catching up to them, that division remains very winnable
All right, I need to get rolling
11:18
So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I'm sorry for what I didn't or couldn't address. We'll do it again next week at the same time, and until then, be well and have great days
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