Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 6/2/17
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Gary
9:49
Is it time to talk about Marwin Gonzalez?
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
Small part of me thinks this is the position-player version of Jason Vargas
Zeke
9:51
Who would bring back a bigger haul, Paxton or Quintana?
Jeff Sullivan
9:51
Paxton
CamdenWarehouse
9:51
I really like the idea of looking at the delta between a pitcher's Z-Swing% and O-Swing% from the Tillman article. Does a big difference there suggest that a pitcher is having issues with the movement/stuff on his pitches?
Jeff Sullivan
9:52
It can mean a few things. It can point to problems getting ahead, or it can point to a lack of quality secondary stuff, since that's usually thrown out of the zone
Sean
9:53
Do you reckon it would be (1) prudent; and then (2) feasible for the Rockies to dump CarGo for whatever they can get and insert David Dahl as his replacement?
Jeff Sullivan
9:53
They should've traded him before now, but they always overvalued him. I don't think he's someone they should just drop, but he could and should stand to lose playing time
Matt
9:54
Jeff. Derek Holland's K%, GB%, BB%, etc are in line with his 2013 numbers and before. Are we seeing him get back to his former self and being an interesting rotation option? Seems like those bad years were just plagued by injury.
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
His stuff is still pretty depleted when compared to his peak. Holland these days is playable, but I wouldn't expect him to ever be a No. 1 or 2
Erik
9:56
Do the Cubs' struggles this year change how you think about their previous season? Maybe that doesn't make any sense, but last year they seemed like an unstoppable juggernaut, and their collective slump this year makes last year seem more fluky. It's almost as if they have to win 95 this year to prove they deserved to win 103 last year.
Jeff Sullivan
9:57
There was an extended stretch in the middle of last season when the Cubs went 12-20. They were still the champions and the obvious best team in the game
9:58
I understand what you're getting at, but from a psychological perspective there's also the possibility that last year's success has in some way *contributed* to this year's slow start. Maybe some of the urgency is just missing. Maybe the players are more worn down since they played an extra month of baseball two consecutive seasons
It is somewhat changing the way I think about the Cubs' 2016 defense
Kevin
9:59
What's wrong with Aledmys Diaz :(??
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
For some reason his discipline has eroded. Was better in May than in April, but he's gotten too aggressive for what he is
Reginald Denton III
9:59
Are the Phillies losing patience with Maikel Franco? At what point do they give up on him?
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
Yes, but not very soon, given how little else they have going on
Gentry
10:01
Is Bauer doing anything special to fuel this recent run?
Jeff Sullivan
10:01
Curveballs. He's been throwing a million curveballs. But I still don't see much meaningful overall change between this Bauer and previous Bauers
Bryan
10:02
Jeff, how long do the Angles keep playing Espinosa? With a line of 151/240/270 a strike-out rate of 34% there has to be someone, anyone, in the farm system that could do this for less?
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
I hope you like Nolan Fontana
10:03
Espinosa isn't this bad, and he's still a fine defender, but the Angels wouldn't be the first team to lose patience with him
Q-Ball
10:03
The Angels, sans Trout, are the worst team in baseball. Agree or disagree?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
Disagree. The Padres and Phillies are terrible
greg
10:04
If the home team provides the bat boys, and the road team gets one of those bat boys in their own uniforms, does that mean that every team keeps 29 different tiny road uniforms hanging somewhere under the stands for their "visitors" bat boy?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
15 years of writing about baseball every day and I've never before given this a second of thought
Nate
10:05
If the Tigers start to rebuild in July, who do you see getting traded first after most likely J.D.?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
Justin Wilson would be out of there in a hurry
Erik
10:06
Miguel Sano has a BABIP of .452. Aaron Judge's sits at .404. What sort of BABIPs do you think they can actually post? It's clear they hit the ball hard, but it's also clear that no one can "deserve" a .400 BABIP, and if the two of them had more normal luck we may not be talking about them as much.
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
Well, hold on. Both of them have ISOs over .300. These aren't BABIP inflations making everything wonky
Giancarlo Stanton's career BABIP is .322. That's probably something like a reasonable target
Jake Arrieta
10:08
What batter do you want to see me fight most?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
Trevor Bauer in an interleague game
Jake
10:09
Would you say this season for the White Sox has been a net positive because of how good the bullpen has been, Abreu being solid, and the Luis Robert signing, or a net negative because of their most important trade piece Quintana struggling, Rodon not seeing the field, and other potential pieces like Frazier and Melky floundering? Or somewhere in between?
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
Definitely in between. Even stretches down to the minors, where Lucas Giolito overall has not been good
His strike rate is way down and he continues to look like a worse prospect than Reynaldo Lopez
10:11
But Yoan Moncada has a .390 OBP in Triple-A!
Kevin
10:11
Should the Astros try to extend Marwin Gonzalez and lock him up? He's been a 1.5 WAR player even before this breakout season. If the Astros offer 3/36 who says no?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
They already have a 2018 club option worth like $5.1 million
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