Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 6/3/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:17
Seems that way. Although Dae Ho Lee spent four years in Japan. I think it's a respectable league, and the majors have selected from the very top of it. Kind of like Cuba -- the range of ability is enormous, and lots of players there suck, but the best ones are legit.
3_2count
10:19
Should the Dodgers keep Urias in the majors or should they send him back down to AAA? Doesn't seem like they have any better options.
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
They probably don't have any better options. They do have *other* options, but Urias was going to see the majors at some point this year, and they might as well give him an extended chance to see how he handles it and adjusts
He's very obviously not a 9 ERA starting pitcher
Bork
10:20
Is Eric Thames gonna get paid or is he gonna get PAID?
Jeff Sullivan
10:21
He'll probably actually be penalized for his mediocre big-league record. That can be held against him, where the other players who've come over have been relative unknowns. But Thames could get a job, I bet
Sir Nerdlington
10:22
This CBA negotiation should be fascinating and provide significant changes. But it won't. If you were head of the MLBPA for what would you fight hardest? Seems to me that finding a way to better distribute the wealth between team controlled players and free agents would eliminate team friendly deals, making more free agent money available, since the first million comes sooner. Win, win or feeling the Bern too much?
Jeff Sullivan
10:26
I don't know exactly how much the union cares about underpaid young players vs. overpaid old players. That's how every union is shaped, more or less. They'll probably fight hard against the QO. Worth reading this Dave article from the past winter: http://www.hardballtimes.com/the-coming-fight-why-the-next-cba-wont-be-so-easy/
(Sorry about the hiccup, lost connection again)
10:27
Something that's gotten a lot of visibility is the seeming decrease in the rate of revenue going to the players over the past 10 or 20 years. If that were actually true, then that very obviously becomes priority No. 1. However to my recollection Tony Clark hasn't actually voiced that concern, suggesting the public numbers aren't accurate. It's quite possible that, in reality, the player share *hasn't* meaningfully diminished
10:28
Nevertheless, the game is making insane money. So just generally speaking, the union will do as much as possible to ensure receiving as much of that money as possible
Max
10:29
is a Swihart for Teheran with lesser minor league pieces on each side reasonable for both teams?
Jeff Sullivan
10:29
If Boston has really soured on Swihart as a catcher, then the Braves should try to get all over that
Billy
10:30
Did you see Nathan Bishop's offer for you to return to Lookout Landing and recap the game if the Mariners win the WS? Would you take him up on it?
Jeff Sullivan
10:30
Clever ploy on his part because if the Mariners won the World Series who would want the role of designated recapper?
Mustfah Alli
10:31
Does Taillon make an impact this year if so how much? Season savior? Playoff darling? Bridge to Glasnow?
Jeff Sullivan
10:32
I think they'll both be pretty effective, with Glasnow struggling with control and with Taillon struggling with innings limitations. Don't expect any season-saving -- that's too much pressure -- but the Pirates have rotation depth knocking on the door, and they're going to be playing more high-leverage games
Ray
10:32
% chance Jays takeover the AL East by the end of the season?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Maybe 20%? I pretty strongly prefer the Red Sox
Dull Ryan
10:33
The A's are .500 at the All-Star break and no one else in the West is running away with it. Any chance they hang onto Hill?
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
If other teams are too skeptical to offer much, then Hill would probably stay, in that situation. But it seems he might be lined up to be the best starter available in July
It'll be fascinating to monitor that -- Hill is proving his effectiveness, but he hasn't really proven his stamina. How much would you trust him as an add for the playoffs?
mike g
10:34
now that will smith is back, will he the 2nd most wanted LHP?(after miller, of course)
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
Yeah, as long as he looks like himself
Jeff
10:35
Why are Dodgers fans panicking on Julio Urias? He's 19 years old. And thus far in his minor league career, he has shown the ability to make adjustments after poor outings. The Dodgers and their fans need to be patient with him or they'll ruin a great prospect
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
Fans are irrational, which is why teams try their hardest not to listen to them
Brett lawrie's Empty Redbull Can
10:35
Jeff, please give me some reason for optimism about Sonny Gray when he returns
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
Everything Sonny Gray has ever done in the major leagues before this year
Sung Min Kim
10:35
Heard there was a Padres scout that attended Eric Thames game few days ago so you never know!
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
It begins!
Kylo Ren
10:38
I can't figure this out and I know it's a straightforward answer--if you sort by team DEF, why are so many NL teams higher than AL teams? Is DEF normed for league?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Gotta just be that AL teams are having a DH positional adjustment folded in, while NL teams aren't. League-wide fielding has been mostly the same
Cruz!
10:41
Is Fulmer actually good? He seems like a worse version of Garrett Richards - which is still plenty good.
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
Good in Double-A, good in a little action in Triple-A, good in the majors. The record says good! Now, repertoire-wise, I'd like to see him improve his changeup, which is a pretty generic criticism, but even if he runs into occasional spots of trouble with lefties, he strikes me as a big-league starter. Good get, good asset
Zonk
10:43
Is today's Jacoby Ellsbury pretty much what we can expect moving forward? Diminished speed, OK defense, not much power. Overall pretty average.
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
A few years ago, Jacoby Ellsbury signed for $153 million. Now it's 2016 and every so often I have to be reminded that he exists
10:45
He's not a bad player at all. He's actually remarkably consistent. He puts the bat on the ball and he plays an adequate center field. But he's a high-priced player who kind of looks a lot like David DeJesus, and in his day DeJesus was totally forgettable just because of how consistently boring he was
Fliam
10:47
Thoughts on Dylan Bundy's stuff in 2016?
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
The strength is there, but he hasn't had a real good breaking ball, so that's been easy to eliminate. And then that makes his fastball easier to hunt and hit, hence the numbers he's sitting on
You see the reasons for the hype, but this isn't a complete pitcher
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