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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/1/16
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Jeff Sullivan
9:59
You're in love with your mother
Joe
10:00
Right or wrong (wrong) do you think Kershaw will get penalized in MVP voting for this DL stint? The thought being SPs are already penalized for playing fewer games and now he will have at least 3 fewer starts.
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Yeah, it's going to heavily damage his case if he misses a number of starts. Now, if he misses just three or four turns, and he comes back and looks like Kershaw again, and the Dodgers keep doing what they've been up to, Kershaw probably still wins
Frank
10:02
Which rookie pitcher impresses you the most...Fulmer, Taillon, Giolito
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Probably Taillon. I like his superior ability to throw strikes
Michael Brantley
10:02
Will I ever return to an all-star form like my coach thinks I will?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
I'm optimistic. I mean, I'm always optimistic, but Brantley is absurdly good, and 29 years old. Doubt he has another 6-WAR peak season, but I love the skillset
Dae-Ho Lee
10:03
Plans for the long weekend?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Owyhee area in the most remote part of Oregon imaginable!
10:04
Which is another way of saying "driving a lot"
Maxamuz
10:04
Thoughts on Sonny Gray in the 2nd half? He's disappointed thus far for the most part.
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
Seems to me like he's back to normal since returning from the DL
10:06
His fastball is a mile and a half better, and he's throwing first-pitch strikes. Welcome back, Sonny Gray
J
10:08
The Yankees have a 102 ERA-, 90 FIP-, and 84 xFIP-. Which do you think best fits their actual performance. Also why is xFIP- park adjusted? Isn't it 3 things that are independent of park factors?
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
I think the 90 FIP- is the best reflection of the ability level
A year ago, a very similar Yankees team had a 99 ERA- and a 95 FIP-
10:10
As for the xFIP, Yankee Stadium definitely has a home-run park factor. You see the balls that Gregorius has hit out lately? It's silliness. So you can't expect Yankees pitchers to allow homers with the same frequency as, say, Giants pitchers
Dave Mc
10:11
What can the Orioles do at the trade deadline? They are poor in prospects and probably maxed their budget this winter. What low-cost target would help?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
I could easily see them adding someone boring, like Andrew Cashner or Jeremy Hellickson
10:12
The kinds of arms that could help the Orioles are arms that might not really be able to help other teams. Funny how that works!
JD
10:12
What is your favorite article you've written for fangraphs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
I don't know, I don't keep track of that, but I do remember being excited to write about Jarrod Dyson stealing that base in the playoffs a couple years ago
coach
10:14
Jeff, if a reliever comes in the game and picks off an inherited runner at first does that out (.1 IP) go to the reliever or the departed pitcher? Seems like it should go to the pitcher that was replaced much like if the inherited runner had scored...
Jeff Sullivan
Check out Ryan Webb. 0.1 innings pitched, 0 pitches thrown
It goes to the reliever. The reliever did the work!
Jaack
10:15
Thoughts on Bumgarner batting for himself in an AL game?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
Kind of silly, a whole lot of fun
james
10:16
Jeff, do you think if MLB goes the DH route for the NL too they would consider changing the substitution rules, so that batting a guy like Bumgarner (which the Giants did last night in an AL park) wouldn't result in the team losing the ability to use the DH for the entire game?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
I doubt it. I think MLB would want perfect consistency between leagues, in that case, and there are maybe like one or two pitchers in the game you would consider batting over a DH. Teams could always just choose to do what the Giants did -- you can pinch-hit for pitchers with your bench later on, after all.
And if the DH ends up in the NL, pitchers will abandon any batting practice anyway, and then in a short while they'll all be terrible
Tony
10:19
Any tips for buying a new car?
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Wait until the car is a year old and buy it then
Meowmix
10:19
Whats a fair return for Andrew Miller?
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Two legitimately good prospects, assuming you aren't getting someone from a major-league roster
Matt
10:20
If the Cubs opt not to pay the price for Miller/Chapman, who should be the next target with Doolittle on the DL?
Jeff Sullivan
10:21
Go get Will Smith if he looks healthy, or Xavier Cedeno
Mike
10:23
Is it time for mlb.com to update that Chapman filter and make it the Chapman/Mauricio Cabrera filter? Also, thoughts on Cabrera? Is he another Juan Jaime?
Jeff Sullivan
10:24
Cabrera's velocity is obviously exciting, and it gives him a hell of a margin of error. But that's kind of all he has. I don't love the movement of the pitch, and historically he hasn't been a huge strikeout guy, nor has he limited his walks. He seems more like a Joel Zumaya than an Aroldis Chapman. Hard to square up, but surprisingly reasonable to make contact against
mtsw
10:25
Should the Rays look at dealing Chris Archer? Could possibly get a king's ransom from Boston or LA given how hard up both teams are for SP right now.
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