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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/13/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:52
Presumably closer to 100 than 51
Bort
10:54
What do you make of Dereck Rodriguez? Is there a top-60 starter in there?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
I think he's pretty interesting, and he's been a quick riser, but there isn't yet a putaway pitch. Probably needs some more depth on his changeup. For now, he's a big-league No. 4
Bo
10:56
Where can the Braves realistically boost their lineup? Ender and Dansby are the two "black holes", but their defense seems to make up for their lack of hitting.
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
You could turn Camargo, Swanson, and a third player into a SS/3B job share, assuming you aren't actually the world's biggest Charlie Culberson fan
But the Braves' easiest upgrade would be on the pitching side, for sure
Mike
10:57
What does the return for a prospective Whit Merrifield look like?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
Versatile, cost-controlled, but already heading into his age-30 season. Merrifield would probably get something kind of similar to what Gennett could get, even though they're different players under different circumstances
Klint
11:00
What possible adjustment do you think pitchers can make to Gleyber Torres? He's looked pretty good at the dish in his debut so far.
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
Fastballs up and breaking stuff away
Nothing too crazy, but this is a guy who's already struck out a quarter of the time
11:01
I like Torres and I like where he's going, but he's not an unbeatable player
Bo
11:01
Will the Braves and Phillies remain in the NL East race to the end, or will Washington start playing to its capabilities?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
It's a big gap to make up, right? So even though I assume the Nationals will improve as they get healthier, the Braves and Phillies are right there several games up, and they're all going to be in the mix at the end
Fun race!
Nate
11:03
Who wins AL Cy Young for the 1st half of the season?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
Sale
11:04
Been the best pitcher even before you factor in opponent strength
2-D
11:04
Do you think Dan Vogelbach is going to get an extended look in the bigs this season?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
No, but he should
11:05
Ryon Healy is just not a good everyday player
Fat Matt
11:05
Having gone to school with Jordan Zimmermann, I keep close tabs on him.  Do you think he's pitched well enough this year after the DL stint to possibly get moved?  Assuming the Tigers eat some/a lot of his contract
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
I don't know how you begin to move that contract, but Zimmermann is definitely back to being a pretty good starting pitcher
11:06
But he's still due like $62 million through 2020
Tigers would have to pay him down dramatically
Jackson C
11:08
Is there any reason to believe that Trevor Bauer's 4.6% HR/FB isn't just an anomaly? His career mark is 11.0%.
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
It's an anomaly
Over the past decade, out of all starters with at least 500 innings, the lowest HR/FB% is 7.4%
11:09
Clayton Kershaw's career mark is 8.0%
Klint
11:10
How do you utilize SIERA, and what's the difference between FIP and SIERA?
Jeff Sullivan
11:10
I don't
2-D
11:10
Would you rather see the Rays get their proposed stadium built or the team relocate entirely?
Jeff Sullivan
11:10
I would like to see them get their stadium built, provided they pay enough of the cost (which they will not, because they are a baseball team)
11:11
I get why relocation happens sometimes, but I don't like it. I don't think it's good to the old city, nor do I think it's the preferred origin story for the new one
Gary Sánchez
11:12
What was wrong with me before my DL stint? Unreported injury or mechanical/mental struggles?
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
Just a straight-up BABIP problem. Not saying there wasn't anything mechanical going on, but I wouldn't say it's anything to worry about. Sanchez will be fine
Drac in Transylvania
11:13
What are your thoughts on Jesse Winker ROS and long-term?
Jeff Sullivan
11:13
Good hitter, bad fielder. Just in those general terms he's like an NL version of Nick Castellanos
All right, I need to get rolling
So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I'm sorry for what I didn't or couldn't address. We'll do it again next week at the same time, and until then, be well and have great days
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