Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/15/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:40
It would be one thing if the Mets were the only team dealing with fragile young pitchers. But, obviously, this is a bigger issue, and I don't think we have enough evidence to come down on the Mets by themselves
Last year, the Mets were extremely fortunate. This year is the opposite. Risk/reward of how they're built
mike sixel
10:41
Mount Hamilton was great! Plenty of views last week. Over under on Twins making 1.5 trades this deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
They'll make a couple moves, but you might not actually notice them
bpqa
10:41
What's the Mike Trout of volcanoes?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
Etna? Well known, frequently active, huge, beautiful, powerful, pretty much never endangers those in surrounding communities
It's the perfect volcano
J
10:42
Odds Myers is moved?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
Low
Mike
10:42
Keith Law said Mike Foltynewicz has ace upside if he can keep the home runs down, do you see it?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
I don't want to mess around with labels I don't understand but I do have an opportunity now to point something out:
Foltynewicz is currently one of the league leaders in rate of pitches thrown when ahead in the count. Great sign!
Guesto
10:44
Shelby Miller's failures and demotion to AAA is a reminder that being a Diamondbacks fan in this day and age is supporting eternal nothingness.
Jeff Sullivan
10:44
Paul Goldschmidt!
Guest
10:44
How much time does the average MLB trade take to make do you think? Like from the time a player is first discussed with a team until the time the paperwork is filed. A week?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
The "average" trade is pretty low-profile. Those can go quickly. The higher-profile deadline moves take longer, because of the build-up. Lots of teams circling back to previous conversations
Let's say a matter of days
FireDrayton
10:46
Why isn't Bregman in the bigs yet? At this point it just feels like Luhnow & co are just being stubborn/hard-headed.
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
Valbuena has been hitting, Reed hasn't had much of a chance yet, and Bregman just got to Triple-A
10:47
That all being said, I wouldn't be surprised if he's up within two weeks
Rob
10:47
Think the Rangers hold on in the West?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
Yeah, but only by a very narrow margin
JTT
10:48
Hill is 36, I assume whichever team trades for him is just going to run him into the ground and let somebody else worry about it next season
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
Hill last year started a total of I think 11 games. He's sort of already being run into the ground
Albert
10:49
Did you see 25-yr old Tyler Skaggs line yesterday in AAA? 7-IP, 1-H, 0-BB, 0-R, 14-K...woof!
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
At long last, some good news for the Angels
Stuafoo
10:49
To what extent are teams' records in one run games predictable? Can they be tied to bullpen performance etc?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
It's almost all noise. It's not worth trying to think about sustainable exceptions
Jim Lonborg
10:50
Now that Espinoza is gone (ave atque vale), your thoughts on Kopech, both in terms of value this offseason and future potential if he stays?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
I'm definitely not a prospect expert, but by the offseason Kopech could easily be right around where Espinoza was
10:51
Now, Kopech is of course two years older, but he won't have the same questions about his long-term frame
Scott Spiezio
10:51
Why is there a thumbs-up/thumbs-down system in the comment section? If people disagree with a post, let them construct and type out an argument. I keep seeing certain people get relentlessly downvoted just because they might have made a single questionable/confrontational comment a while ago.
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
We've talked about implementing a system where the ratings only show up beyond a certain threshold, like maybe 5 votes. I think that would be better
Luke
10:52
Any chance the Red Sox bring up Yoan Moncada in October like they did with Bogaerts in '13?
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
nah
_David_
10:52
If Ianetta really is below replacement when considering framing, should they start giving Zunino the majority of starts?
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
That'll be a conversation in the coming months, but they've tried really hard not to mess with Zunino's long-term outlook
happs on the craps
10:53
Hi Jeff. Curious what you make of 'pitch tipping' as excuse. Thinking about e-rod in specific. Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I definitely believe it happens. I know teams look out for it. But it's a difficult thing to investigate from here, because we don't know what to look for and we get just the one camera angle
10:54
If someone is able to demonstrate a specific way in which a pitch is being tipped, I buy it. I definitely buy it. But it's also used as an excuse to try to make a struggling pitcher feel better
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