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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/20/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:45
I honestly wouldn't be shocked to see Boras try to get him back on the market next winter
Maybe that's a one-year deal, or maybe it's more like a three-year deal with an opt-out or two
With a player like this, Boras probably feels like the timing could be a lot better
Guest
10:46
What is a decent return for Zach Britton?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
I don't trust him that much anymore. He'll get moved, and I think he'll get a real prospect, but not a *special* prospect. There's more name value than real value right now
Kolbe
10:47
So I feel like I can fix the three true outcome "problem" in two easy steps. Move back the mound 18 inches and move back the fences about 20 feet. k% goes down and guys like Joey gallo don't exist because putting the ball in play becomes so much more valuable with the rise in babip from more playing surface.
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
You could probably get away with just doing the first one
10:49
You'd also arguably be creating *more* Joey Gallos, because his own strikeout rate would drop with the mound move, and with the fences pushed back, suddenly Gallo is one of a smaller crop of players that can consistently hit the ball out
I do think baseball could benefit from moving the mound back. Based on precedent, though, it's probably more likely they'd just trim the mound's height, at least first
J
10:50
If you were a team in need of a Corner OF bat would you rather try and trade for the cheaper, more team control, older, less track record of Jose Martinez or the more expensive, less team control, but younger and more track record Nicholas Castellanos?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
All things being equal, I'd take Castellanos, but I don't know what the Cardinals would settle for to move Martinez. Castellanos would be moderately expensive
Johnny5
10:51
Pick one for the rest of their career - Devers or Andujar?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
Andujar, slightly
Bobby Bradley's 40-time
10:52
Can the Mariners really continue to play .600 (or even .550-.575) baseball with a 0 run differential. That 26-12 record in 1-run games has to catch up with them at some point, right
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
You could argue it's already catching up. Their WC lead is beginning to vanish
10:53
But I would call your attention to the 2016 Rangers. First half: .600 winning percentage, +16 run differential. Second half: .569 winning percentage, -8 run differential
Sometimes the pixie dust sticks around
Erik
10:56
If someone was, say, an above-average but not incredible starting pitcher, but they had a demonstrated ability to throw the full nine innings without a drop in performance, would any team give them a chance to be an old-fashioned workhorse? Would that allow them to save the bullpen and perhaps carry one fewer pitcher? Or would they just cut that guy off after 5 or 6 innings like they do with everyone else?
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
It would take a while before the pitcher developed a rubber-arm reputation
10:57
In the minors and as a young big-leaguer, the guy would be treated like the others. Then, eventually, someone would realize, hey, it's Mike Leake! We can probably squeeze out an extra inning or two every so often
10:58
Don't think it would get taken very much further. I doubt the guy would constantly be finishing games. You might see the team carry one fewer reliever, but even that is debatable
Raider
11:00
Yankees deal frazier and a low a pitcher for raisel and matt Harvey? who says no
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
I think the Reds could probably deal Iglesias for someone good but less polarizing
I don't think it's so far off, though
Jkim
11:00
How will the Dodgers work with that crowded outfield?
Will they try to package someone like Toles + forsythe for a guy like Oh?
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
I wouldn't be surprised to see an outfielder traded
11:01
Don't think it would be Toles. Could be Pederson
54
11:01
Preller says they are gonna eval Mejia for two weeks at AAA but they believe he's just about ready to catch in the show. Padres blogosphere think Hedges could get moved... but is there really a market for him?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
There are teams that would like Hedges' defense and occasional power. The market is not...very active
David
11:02
Vogelbach, Call up or trade?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
I'd rather have him than Healy
mmddyyyy
11:03
How many of your articles would someone have to read to get a really good idea of who you are as a person?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
About 25 now, and about ten when I was younger
Bo
11:03
Seems Atlanta is interested in Zach Britton... I'd rather have Brach. What would either of them cost Atlanta? Would a top-100 prospect be necessary?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
Shouldn't be, and if that's the demand, I'd look somewhere else
Lonestar
11:04
Who is your favorite obscure relief pitcher at the moment?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Ryan Pressly
11:05
34% strikeouts. Previous career high: 24% strikeouts! His contact rate has plummeted. Interesting breaking ball
Hague
11:05
Are the A's as likely to be buyers as mild sellers? They have a good shot at a WC2, but it seems unlikely with their payroll/glut of pre-arb talent that buying a rental for a shot at a play-in game best fits their title chances vs. a young ~powerhouse in a year or two.
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I think they'll make little additive tweaks. They're not going to sell anything unless they drop super fast
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