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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/20/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:28
Brett Gardner, for example, has a $2-million buyout for 2019. Unless I'm mistaken, that would count against the Yankees for 2019 should they elect to not pick up his option
Bubba
10:29
How often are 3 teams projected to finish with 100+ wins at the ASB?  I feel this is unusually uneven.  Should make for exciting playoffs though!
Jeff Sullivan
10:30
Looking over the past decade, this year has three of the top five first-half team winning percentages
Last year had the other two!
That doesn't directly answer your question, but it's close enough
Dustin
10:31
Jeff, I don't have a question. I just want you to know I enjoy it when you decide to curse a little on Effectively Wild. I just like to imagine Ben getting slightly visibly uncomfortable when it happens.
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
It's one of the little things that bring me warmth
Mark
10:31
Do you think it was a good trade on the Padres end if Mejia ends up in left field?
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
If that happens, it will not look very good, I don't think
Broseph
10:32
Any reason for optimism for Jake Junis? He started so well and the BOOM - terrible.
Jeff Sullivan
10:32
His problem is mostly that the home runs spiraled out of control. Then he got injured. I'm not so worried. He's not an ace, but I still like him enough as a starter
Mountie Votto
10:34
Decent chance the Reds make a Mat Latos-style trade for a controllable starter this offseason? Any groundball-heavy guys that would be especially valuable at GABP?
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
Not sure what there is for them to do in this regard, assuming they don't find a way to end up with Marcus Stroman or Aaron Sanchez
10:35
They still have so many of their own young pitchers to try to sort out
They also need to learn how to, you know, develop them
Sandy Eggo
10:35
Could Mejia and Austin Hedges give the Padres one of the best catching duos in MLB?
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
They could, but they probably won't
PTBNL
10:36
I know there will be a lot of questions like this one in the chat,  but curious to get your take. The returns for Hand and Machado were

A) Light
B) Reasonable
C) Overpays
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
I think the Indians underpaid, and I think the Dodgers overpaid
Lou
10:37
How is defense taken into account for WAR for historical players?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
Worse...ly?
tb.25
10:37
How to fix cubs pitching?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
Make Willson Contreras a better catcher
And go find a starter so you can try Tyler Chatwood in shorter stints in the bullpen
Sandy Eggo
10:38
What role do you foresee Hand and Cimber playing in the Indians pen?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
General high leverage. Allen and Miller can't handle everything, so Hand and Cimber will handle the rest
Ketel Marte
10:38
Are you amped that I'm making good on your breakout prediction now? Will I continue this rest of season?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
While I like the recent progress, at the end of the day, Marte's wRC+ has gone from 89 last year to 92 this year. That doesn't make me look very good
SteveTheMotivator
10:39
Hey Jeff, the Mariners would likely benefit from adding a starting pitcher. But they would likely benefit from adding relievers as well. Would bullpen-days be a potential sollution to getting their current staff rest? Should Amir Garrett and Javy Guerra be on their radar? Thanks
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Don't know why the Reds would give Garrett up right now
10:40
And, wait, Javy Guerra?
10:41
0.9 career WAR, 32 year old Javy Guerra?
I see that Guerra strung together some impressive games this season in Triple-A, but it doesn't appear like his repertoire has changed
Gavin
10:42
Could you see a scenario where the Pirates decide to move Marte or Polanco at the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
I assume that's more of an offseason thing. Hardly strong demand at the deadline for non-elite outfielders
Not like Meadows has been pounding on the door, either
Andrew
10:43
Would you give up two of Almora, Happ, or Russell for DeGrom? Is this a case where it's a perfectly reasonable ask from the Mets but a little too rich for the Cubs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
Just as a general rule, I hate subtracting from active rosters to add to active rosters
10:44
The Cubs, in this example, would be getting better but also getting worse, which somewhat defeats the purpose of the exchange
brood550
10:44
If the season were to end today, what kind of contract would you expect Harper to get?
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