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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/24/18
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Jeff Sullivan
9:57
I'll go with 150 and 0
adam
9:58
Is Cueto still broken.  so many homers
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
Cueto definitely doesn't seem right
His injury already made me nervous and I'm afraid we haven't seen the last of it
Noah
10:00
As a Pirates fan, what's the most optimistic reason I can cling to so I can continue to believe our streak is "for real"?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Took five of five from a wild-card team, and the pitching has generated just about a strikeout an inning
10:03
Incidentally, for the year, Andrew McCutchen has been worth 1.0 WAR, and Kyle Crick is at 0.9
I know that doesn't capture everything, but that trade looks pretty good for Pittsburgh already, provided you ignore, you know, the feelings
Justin
10:03
What is holding up the Britton trade that is inevitable? Are they just waiting for the underwhelming package they prefer?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Yes
10:04
When multiple teams are in competition with one another, the Orioles aren't the team that needs to be showing real urgency. It's not like they have a lot of other business to conduct
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
10:05
Fans hate when a player doesn't hustle, but extra effort is how players get hurt. Kiermaier always seems to miss 60 games for a dive, Ramos will be on the DL for the non-waiver deadline, Tatis Jr. is out because of his slide. On the other hand, Gary Sánchez's performance last night must have been infuriating to watch. Have teams tried to figure out the appropriate level of effort (probably as a function of leverage), or is it too messy an area of individual psychology and not wanting to mess with instincts?
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
For the most part it's just going to be instinctual. You can't program a player to hustle when the leverage index reaches a certain point. You're absolutely right that it's always a balance and it's worth noting that Ichiro might not have ever attempted a diving catch for this reason. He values his health too highly
10:07
The odds of getting hurt while hustling are low. At the bare minimum, players should demonstrate "false" hustle -- running at like 90-95%
Injuries tend to happen when you're going all out. Players definitely shouldn't go all out under all circumstances. Sanchez yesterday? Should've. Unless he was still feeling hurt, in which case he should've told someone ahead of time
Mac Gwire
10:08
Outside the NL East, who is the most likely division leader not to win at this point? Boston has a big lead, and the Dodgers and Cubs are so good.
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
I'll say the Red Sox. I don't think they're actually better than the Yankees, and they'll play another ten head-to-head games
carrotjuice
10:09
How can the league wide wRC+ be 97 rather than 100? It was 97 last season also.
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
It's scaled to 100 for non-pitchers. When you include pitchers, it gets dragged down
groucho
10:10
What should the cardinals do at the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
Stew
Tony Womack
10:10
Joakim Soria has been very solid this year. Why hasn't his name been mentioned in trade talks?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
It has
He'll get traded. He's the only White Sox player right now likely to bring anything meaningful back
Derek in Little Rock
10:11
Who wrote and sings "Today's Stat Blast"???
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
Ben's wife Jessie
Patrick
10:12
Why is Britton getting so much buzz when he hasn’t been all that effective as of late? Is it just #provencloser noise?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
Because of his previous peak. Because he was sidelined this year with a non-arm injury. Even last season, Britton kept his ERA under 3 while his forearm hurt. Not very many relievers proven to be effective over multiple seasons
Tyler
10:14
Since 2010 only 7 A.L. teams have ranked in the top 10 for team defense.  How is this possible that the N.L. has on avg more than 90% of the best defenses every year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
AL teams get dragged down by having the DH. The positional adjustment for the DH is big
Mike
10:16
Jeff I'm starting to really believe in Max Muncy. Is a 130 wRC+ RoS too high or too low?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
My previous true-talent guess was 130. I have since bumped that up to 135
10:17
This somehow isn't getting enough attention, even though it's getting a lot of attention
adam
10:18
are the yankees sooo concerned about Justus' control issues that they wont give him a chance before September?
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
He's not on the 40-man roster, which is one problem, and another problem is that his strike rates are indeed a few points below the league averages. Legitimate reason to believe Sheffield isn't ready, so bumping someone off the 40-man roster to make room could be hasty
They'll re-evaluate if they don't trade for a starter soon, but for the time being I don't think Sheffield is the best option
stever20
10:21
Can Colorado keep up this pitching run they're on.  Last 30 days they're 4th best ERA both starters and relievers?  Big reason why they're 15-6 last 21 games with a brutal schedule.
Jeff Sullivan
10:21
The Rockies don't have a top-five MLB pitching staff, but over the past month their starters are first in GB%, and their relievers are second
10:23
Tyler Anderson deserves more credit than the...zero credit he ever receives. And German Marquez's strikeouts have taken off since April or so
Just A Dude
10:24
Riley, Allard, Anderson, Muller enough to get deGrom and Frazier while Atlanta absorbs all salary?
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