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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 8/1/18
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Perennial Ballboy Tryout
9:31
Did Mariners do enough at the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
9:32
Not much they could afford to do. Their farm system sucks. The bullpen is deeper now, and they will already have Cano coming back for like a month and a half
9:33
Their competition is the A's, and the A's weren't so busy, either. I imagine Dipoto will continue looking for a starter in August
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
9:33
I have two questions. 1. What does "zero-tolerance" mean? 2. How dare Jeff Luhnow?
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
Luhnow would've been better off not saying anything at all
9:34
Twisted himself completely into knots. We all got the message as soon as the move itself happened
Kvn
9:34
I can't believe the O's had the balls to actually blow it up. 4 weeks ago I'd have put decent odds on them not executing a single trade successfully.
Jeff Sullivan
9:35
I'm not saying the Orioles are fixed, but they have at least started to behave like a normal organization. They're even collecting international bonus-pool money. A new era is beginning
It's going to be dark for a while, but the hardest part is already over
In a weird way, the ugly development years can be sort of exciting
9:36
The ugly development years are when the Astros discovered Jose Altuve and Dallas Keuchel
Purple Mays Haze
9:37
Has the causality of 'third time thru order' been fully attributed? Is it because the pitcher is 'tired'? Or is it because hitters have seen the full arsenal? (Or is it because there is a detected pitch sequencing pattern?) My suspicion is a little bit of all of it - but was wondering if there were definitive studies...
Jeff Sullivan
9:38
"...the TTOP is not about fatigue. It is about familiarity. The more a batter sees a pitcher’s delivery and repertoire, the more likely he is to be successful against him."
9:39
"I believe that I have shown fairly strong evidence that the penalty that we see pitchers incur as the game wears on is mostly or wholly as a result of the TTO and not due to fatigue caused by an increasing pitch count."
kevinthecomic
9:40
Do Verlander's results over the last month or so indicate an injury and/or fatigue?
Jeff Sullivan
9:40
30 innings, 2.70 ERA, 3 walks, 46 strikeouts
9:41
There was a four-homer game against the Tigers, but otherwise, he looks fantastic
Tony Womack
9:41
How do you evaluate the Yankees deadline deals? Seems like a rare instance where Cashman may not have come out on top.
Jeff Sullivan
9:42
I don't really get the Lance Lynn thing. Admittedly, I haven't examined it for a closer look, and I don't think Tyler Austin is important, but Lynn is bad
9:44
Was also interesting to see the bullpen depleted, losing Warren, Gallegos, and Shreve
Now, from the Yankees' perspective, they added Britton *and* they added international spending money, and they've been good in the past about converting that international money into assets pretty quick
9:45
And with Britton, there just won't be many high-leverage innings to go around for other pitchers, so the Yankees might've figured they could afford to sell from the bottom of the pen
9:46
Happ was a modest overpay, but I don't think McKinney is special, and the Yankees have long wanted to have his lefty arm pitching in New York
Hard to meaningfully improve a team as good as the Yankees. If they're right about Britton being back on track, they're going to be a force
James
9:47
Are you buying that the change of leagues/divisions, better defense behind him, and having “better pitching coaches” will make Gausman pitch better for Atlanta than he did for Baltimore?
Jeff Sullivan
9:47
I don't believe anything here is a lock, and I'll point out that Gausman's career interleague ERA is 6.33
9:48
But he *has* pitched in baseball's toughest division, and Baltimore *does* have a spotty track record of developing arms. I think there is a legitimate chance that the Braves make Gausman 5-10% better
Moltar
9:49
A dude at the bodega near my office told me today he was too ashamed to wear his Mets hat. It was the first time I've seen him without one during the season.
Jeff Sullivan
9:50
I like how after that game it was a *Nationals* player who got designated for assignment
James
9:50
What three teams had the best moves at/around the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
9:50
I think the Indians did well
I liked the Rays getting Pham
9:51
And for a bunch of reasons I liked the Blue Jays' side of the Osuna swap
Tony Womack
9:52
Are you surprised that the Rockies stayed quiet at the deadline? They are firmly in the hunt
Jeff Sullivan
9:53
They could've used another position player. I bet they could've lured Jose Martinez
I get starting Ian Desmond *or* Gerardo Parra. I don't get starting them both
v2micca
9:54
How is J.T. Realmuto still a Marlin?  Catcher is a black hole for half of the teams with play-off aspirations.  How could the Marlins not make a deal?
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
For one thing, I think the Marlins really do want to keep Realmuto around, and they want to make it clear to him they're done blowing it up
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