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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/22/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:29
You guys!!!
awwwwwwwwwwwwwwww
9:30
But seriously, it's the no commute. Having no commute is wonderful. Just wonderful. And I love working for Appelman. I've had few bosses, but he's easily the best of them
Xolo
9:30
Do you see more players raising their launch angles next year or will players who already did but didn't get much boost in their production go back down?
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
Going to be a continuing general trend toward more line drives and fly balls. I do think we're eventually going to see a decreased emphasis on changing the swing path, and an increased emphasis on just looking for fly-ball pitches
9:32
Changing swing path can be destructive. Changing the approach can be simpler to implement
Ben
9:33
Is there a top tier of free agent relief pitchers this year? Davis, Swarzak, Neshek, Albers, Reed, Petit, and Kintzler have been some the best results-wise, but which will teams buy into going forward?
Jeff Sullivan
9:35
The top of the market is probably going to be Reed, Davis, and Holland, and they'll all sign moderate contracts for multiple years. But there's going to be nothing like last winter's frenzy. Those pitchers just aren't out there. And as much as I like what I've seen from, say, Swarzak and Petit, think about what those guys were a year ago. They were nothing! Teams see new relievers breaking out all the time. So they're going to assume they can do that with their own internal options
Bork
9:36
How do you know which Bork is the true Bork?
Jeff Sullivan
9:36
I feel it in my gut
mtsw
9:36
Everyone knows that the Orioles need starters. What many do not know is that reliever Mychal Givens has small platoon splits despite his side-arm delivery. Is he a candidate to get stretched out next season?
Jeff Sullivan
9:37
This year he's topped out at 42 pitches, he's never started a game as a professional, and his career platoon split is 98 points of wOBA
I like Givens, and I'd like to see more of him. But he's maybe more of a Chad Green type, potentially, than a starter
9:38
Not that the Orioles are necessarily unfamiliar with starting pitchers who last about three innings
churchill's black dog
9:40
Jeff:  can you explain to me why the Orioles haven't shut Bundy down yet?  I checked the schedule of games last night and I was surprised to see that Bundy was pitching this weekend.  His 169 IPs are a lot more than the 109 IPs from last year, which in turn is was more than all four previous years.  It's distressing for an Orioles fan like me.
Jeff Sullivan
9:41
The Orioles would probably say they've seen no signs of imminent injury. And for a while they've been hanging around the distant periphery of the wild-card race. Me, I'd probably just give Bundy a few innings this weekend and call it quits there, because I'm conservative. Let him start, but don't tax him
Striker
9:41
Any plans to chart or list WAR by week or month? Tim Anderson's cumulative WAR is bad but he's dug himself out of a whole the past couple of months.
Jeff Sullivan
9:41
You can look at monthly WAR splits on our leaderboards
9:42
Provided you care only about the actual calendar months, and not WAR from like August 22 - September 21
Jeries
9:43
Lucas Giolito is a hall of famer.  Agree or strongly agree?
Jeff Sullivan
9:43
He'll probably be in the Harvard-Westlake hall of fame some day
Phil
9:44
This has nothing to do with anything, but I wish to apologize for trolling the LL comments 10 years ago. Sorry. I miss that quality of LL
Jeff Sullivan
9:44
Every soul is redeemable
Well maybe that's not true. But yours is!
Well maybe that's not true. But it probably is!
Ted
9:47
Is there any discernible pattern in teams that drastically underperform their pythagorean records? The Yankees all-over-the-place season has me thinking about this
Jeff Sullivan
9:47
There's not really any "sustainable" skill to under-performing run differential. There are common reasons, like poor clutch hitting, but that's not the sort of stuff you expect to keep up
9:49
By our leaderboards, Yankees hitters rank fourth-worst in baseball in Clutch, and Yankees pitchers, interestingly, are dead last. Been that kind of year. But I'm not worried about them moving forward at all. They're just fortunate to be good enough to still be leading the WC1 race
martin
9:49
Jeff my man... saw you posting on twitter about hitters swinging at pitches way above zone. Being the person you are, it would be absolute perfection to do a fangraphs post on "science" of hitters(haha mostly Trumbo) swinging at those pitches this year, with gifs. I would die to see this.
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
Nearly did a post yesterday, inspired by Trumbo. Backed off because I didn't think it was worth it. Might re-visit in the offseason. Seems like a January kind of topic
9:50
The best thing about the Trumbo swing is it wasn't in a two-strike count
(Also known as the worst thing about the Trumbo swing)
anonymous liger
9:52
who's the most overrated player this year?
Jeff Sullivan
9:52
I really don't have a good sense of this. No single name stands out. Maybe that's just because I closely monitor what I choose to read, and I know which writers to avoid
9:53
I mean, I can't even say it's Eric Hosmer, because Eric Hosmer has been fantastic!
Prince S. Leia Fielder
9:54
If your life is on the line and you need one of the following three pitchers to come through with a quality outing in the last week who do you pick between Josh Tomlin, Martin Perez and Luis Perdomo? Yes, I realize your chances of survival are slim but give me a name!
Jeff Sullivan
9:54
What the hell kind of crime did I get involved in
Who is this criminal
9:55
Why are his methods so stupid
Josh
9:55
What do you think of Travis's idea of altering the wild card round by having the higher seed advance with one win and the lower seed needing to win twice to advance?
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