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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/29/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:09
Sure, he has a chance. There are like 10 or 11 guys who have a chance. It's impossible
Brett W
10:10
Mike Montgomery was able to significantly improve his hitting this year and now has a wRC+ of -2 for his career compared to Vogelbach's career 0 wRC+. I know Vogelbach is 3 years younger, but Montgomery plays an up-the-middle defensive position. If Montgomery can build on that improved batting line next year, is there still a chance the Cubs win that trade?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
Cubs already won that trade
brad
10:10
Why was there never a RA9 vs ERA revolution in the mode of OBP vs BA? Too small a difference or a moot point with the advent of FIP and such?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
Not much to be gained, and much of the difference between RA9 and ERA comes down to team defense. With BA and OBP, it's all about the hitter skill
t
10:11
Hi Jeff! Kluber is scheduled to pitch the next to last game. Sale the last. Do either of those things actually happen? And if not what's your take on the AL Cy?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
I don't know how Kluber doesn't win, at this point. I think there's still an argument to be made in favor of Sale, but Kluber is the safest course for every voter, and that'll win over the majority
SadSadMetsSadSad...sad?
10:12
Who do you  think does MLB views as more valuable asset going forward, Severino or Syndergaard?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
Syndergaard is more marketable. He has more of the traits you look for in a league-wide superstar. But Severino is a little over a year younger, and he has an extra year of team control. Yankees are happy to have who they have
Marshall
10:14
Why is Scherzer's WAR so much better than Kershaw's is this mostly due to Kershaw's enourmouse spike in home run rate? Scherzer has pitched 26 more innings, but has given up 16 additional runs too.
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
Scherzer is better by FIP, which is what our WAR is based on. Kershaw is better by ERA
Raff
10:15
Jeff, I'm staring at a long, cold, six months without Trouty.  Any advice for dealing with the pain?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
At any moment, you can watch old highlights
It's freeing, too, to do it during the offseason, when you don't have to worry about the context of wins and losses. You can just pull up specific Trout plays and appreciate them for the majesty they reflect
October baseball
10:16
What will Giancarlo's final 2017 homerun tally be?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
60
stever20
10:16
did Stanton lock up NL MVP last night?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
A 60th home run would probably give voters the mark that they need
MLBTR Juggalo
10:17
Last night Mike Matheny said it was the "first time" he had to say the Cardinals didn't do what they wanted to achieve.  Do you think he's not only bad at bullpen management, handling young players and using stats, BUT HAS ALSO forgotten about the outcome of every single season he's managed the Cardinals?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
This will be Matheny's worst record of the six years. In the first four years, the Cardinals made the playoffs. Last year they missed by one game
buttlord
10:18
Is there any SP for the Red Sox who you would trust in the playoffs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
There are maybe one or two starters on the planet better than Chris Sale
Raindog
10:19
Should the O's extend Schoop this offseason, or assume that they'll be trading him when they go full firesale next July?
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Wouldn't be a bad idea to at least get a free-agent year taken care of. You can still trade an extended player
Show Hey O'Tawny
10:19
When I say Chris Young, who pops into your mind first?
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
The pitcher, just because he's more unusual
That is, pitcher Chris Young has more distinguishing characteristics than hitter Chris Young
Now, I can't play this game with Bobby Jones
Kosch
10:21
Astros have 63 hits the last 4 games...Can you do a post on the historicness (I made that word up) of their current wRC+ of 122?
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
Let me run some numbers real quick
10:24
So the gap between the Astros and the next-best team -- after eliminating pitchers -- is 10 points. That's one of the larger gaps ever
By z-scores, the Astros are 2.8 standard deviations better than the mean
10:25
Only better lineup: the 1976 Reds, at +2.9 standard deviations
10:26
If the Astros can somehow lift their team wRC+ to 124 over the weekend, then they'd be the best ever, by this measure
MLBTR Juggalo
10:27
Nightengale saying that the Cards will pursue Josh Donaldson this offseason.  If the Blue Jays sell, what sort of return from STL would they expect?  Flaherty or Weaver?
Jeff Sullivan
10:28
Weaver would be too high a price. Donaldson has one year left, at $17 million
Flaherty, I could see
10:29
I'm not convinced, though, that Donaldson will actually be available over the winter
Ham Bone
10:30
Preferred HR swing: Griffey-like smooth as butter or Stanton-like violence?
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