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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/29/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:30
Like Greg Maddux vs. Randy Johnson
I can buy Griffey as sort of the hitter ideal, but I'm a complete sucker for guys who can literally obliterate a baseball
and a scoreboard!
jeff
10:30
judge the AL MVP, right?
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
It'll be Altuve
I think Judge is no less deserving, but I think it'll be Altuve
Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs
10:31
Please rank these young Braves starters in order of future ceiling: Gohara, Folty, Newcomb, Fried, Sims
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
Can't do it! Evaluating ceiling is impossible
The ceiling for everyone is No. 1 starter. Anyone who says otherwise is lying to you
TXC
10:32
Are there any stats on passed balls vs pitches that have the potential to be passed balls?
There are articles being written that the yanks should bench Sanchez for Romine in the WC game.  Please tell me they are 2000% over reacting.
Jeff Sullivan
10:32
lol
10:33
That argument is bad
10:34
Baseball Prospectus has a bunch of numbers for everything
Indeed, Sanchez has been one of the worst blockers. But he's been one of the better framers and throwers
10:35
And so, in the end, Sanchez actually shows up as a better defender than Romine does
And Romine has slugged .296
Massey
10:36
Would someone like Rafael Bellliard (two (2) career homers) be a threat to hit double digits nowadays?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
Probably not. There are still limits. Belliard was a ground-ball hitter. And over the past two years, Ben Revere has three home runs, combined
You still need *some* power. You just need less than ever before
hayden
10:38
is there a word for what rajai davis did to aroldis chapman last year, a heroic effort that is ultimately forgotten due to subsequent events? it would be the same word for what marcus paige did for UNC in the villanova title game.
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
Maybe I'm just speaking for myself, but, outcome be damned, the Davis home run is still one of the most unbelievable baseball turns of events I've ever seen
10:39
It didn't ultimately win the game, but that only matters for narrative. Anyone who was watching can recall how the Davis homer felt with perfect mental clarity
Raindog
10:40
Astros have shown a lot of faith in Beltran, but he's just gotten worse through the year.  Gattis gonna DH every game in playoffs, or they too worried about losing the DH if he has to catch?
Jeff Sullivan
10:40
Wouldn't be surprised to see Beltran vs. righties and Gattis vs. lefties
I know that Gattis doesn't have much of a career platoon split, but I don't think this faith in Beltran has been for show
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
10:40
Have you ever done a fantasy baseball camp with a team before?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
No. But I would enjoy the experience of pitching to a major-league hitter once, just so I could get annihilated and put any thoughts in the back of my head officially to rest
Andrew
10:41
Jeff, do you think Kris Bryant has a realistic chance to repeat as NL MVP?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
Yes
Shuck Bowalter
10:41
What's the biggest thing we'll be surprised about this post season that we really shouldn't be?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
Starters will still be leaned on too heavily, and no team will run its pitching staff like how the 2016 Indians did
Alternate answer: given the opportunity, the Diamondbacks will have Fernando Rodney close
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:43
Pretend MIL ties COL for NLWC2, and has to go two "play-in" games. What's their starting pitching strategy for the two games (have to imagine that Chase Anderson's getting the ball vs ARI if they beat COL, but Johnny Wholestaff vs. COL?) and are the Brewers allowed to assemble two totally different rosters for each game?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
I imagine it would be Davies, then Anderson. Or, depending on scheduling, Anderson, then Davies. And heavy, heavy bullpen usage
10:44
I *think* they'd get to use different rosters for each
And you could expect a lot of Josh Hader
Guest
10:45
I wonder what the most career hits is for a player to have > 50% XBHs? Right now, Stanton has 955 career hits, 477 singles, 478 XBH, which seems insane to me. Instagraph?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
Stanton is in second place all-time! From 2 through 5, it goes Giancarlo Stanton, Russell Branyan, Chris Carter, and Khris Davis
But while Stanton is second at 955, Mark McGwire is first, all the way up at 1,626
10:46
McGwire finished with 52% extra-base hits, mostly because, by the end, he could hardly leg out a single
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