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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/29/17
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Hadji the Cat
10:46
Poor Terry Collins. He's been so bad for so long, only to be shielded by the Wilpons and then dragged through the mud when they've had enough of him. He deserved to be fired like a normal ineffective manager a year or two ago.
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
I don't know how you fire a manager after a playoff appearance
10:48
I'll say this: there's a reason why you're seeing managers around the league getting younger and younger. This is one of the reasons why Dusty Baker catches too much shit, incidentally. The evidence suggests Baker remains a very good players' manager!
Alex Reyes
10:48
Do you think I end up making 20-25 starts in the Cardinals rotation next year, or have I been surpassed by Weaver and Flaherty?
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
Every team ends up needing like 8-10 starting pitchers. Reyes will have ample opportunity
10:50
All but four teams this year have had at least six guys make 10+ starts
v2micca
10:50
Currently at work.  The guy sitting next to me just had a meltdown and quit on the spot.  So, if Simmons just played 8 positions and skipped catching, would you be down?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
I'd like to watch it, although I'd also like to just watch Simmons play shortstop like regular. I'm not sure he'd be capable of more magic in other places
Nick
10:51
Did the astros have the best team offensive performance ever this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
Close, at least. Not that they were good on the bases, which somewhat hurts the case
The 1976 Reds also happened to lead the league in steals
10:52
Those Reds were like 20-30 runs better than average on the bases. The Astros are somewhere in the negative. So the Reds are still the single-season offensive champs
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:53
Hader - is he a starter in 2018, or an Andrew Miller-type fireman?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I don't know how you don't see what he can do as a starter
Even if you just give him half a season, you have to find out
Kris Bryant
10:54
Jeff, why am I getting no love for MVP consideration? How can people put Nolan Arenado over me?
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
Because he has 56 more RBI
10:55
RBI, of course, aren't a great measure of value, but Arenado also leads Bryant in RE24 by nine runs
10:56
At the end of the day, both Bryant and Arenado have been great, but Arenado has hit with better timing. It does matter
v2micca
10:56
So, if Vlad Jr. continues to push for a big league promotion with stellar play and Josh Donaldson bounces back to his MVP years, what does Toronto do?
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
Win
Spreadsheet Scout
10:57
I'm kinda surprised we aren't hearing more Albies hype. His batting line looks so much like Lindor's! Pre-homer spike, of course.
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
Albies makes the worst contact, but some small margin, but yes, he's had a great debut, especially for a freaking 20-year-old. Very quick hands. I imagine I'll write about him soon
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:58
How does the Brewers rebuild continue to progress in 2018?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
Hopefully -- hopefully -- Nelson is able to come back and look something like himself. They're going to start having to make room, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a blue-chip outfielder traded for an arm
10:59
Keon Broxton will probably end up the fourth outfielder :(
Show Hey O'Tawny
11:00
Does mainstream media underrate the Indians pitching staff? Fangraphs is the only place I’ve seen call them the best pitching staff of all time, even though most of the WAR says so
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
I think, in general, people don't have a great mental grasp of how pitching has evolved. When you think about the best staffs ever, you tend to focus on the starting rotations. The other thing about the Indians is they're so deep they *never* give the ball to a bad pitcher
11:02
For the sake of argument, let's compare the Indians to the Braves from 1993 - 1999
That is, combining all those years
11:03
Braves starters had an ERA- of 77. The Indians starters have an ERA- of 79
But Braves relievers had an ERA- of 87. Indians relievers have an ERA- of 65
Maybe the Braves had more Hall-of-Famers. The Indians are better from top to bottom, because every pitcher on the staff counts
11:04
I plan to revisit this early next week with a post
Bryce
11:04
Is this the postseason that Kershaw finally gets it?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Probably not
_David_
11:04
Assuming the alternate universe exists, what does a 90 win 2018 Mariners look like?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Most importantly, Paxton would make 33 or whatever starts, and Felix would have a full healthy year as some kind of No. 2
Al
11:05
JS... Does Javier Baez blast 30 homers next season?
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
Doubt it
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