Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/9/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:28
Mainly I'm happy to see more James Hoyt and Dario Alvarez
I know those aren't just September guys and I know their results have been mediocre but I like them a lot
Evan
10:29
Yesterday in his chat, Eno said Neil Walker would be a good candidate for accepting the QO. Do you a.) Agree with this? B.) Say he turns down the QO, what kind of contract do you think he gets?
Jeff Sullivan
10:30
It definitely feels like it could happen. Walker a year ago was almost a giveaway and though he had a good season, now he's in his 30s and he's got back trouble. You can never discount someone coming in offering two or three years, but Walker at 1/$17m or whatever feels reasonable
Bork
10:31
So what you're saying is, if the Mets don't make the playoffs we can laugh at them even harder?
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
If they don't finish well, that's going to be kind of embarrassing for them
LA
10:32
Is there any excuse to how poorly Profar has played the last few months?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Statcast doesn't love him. He's a groundball hitter and his average batted-ball speed on flies and liners is around the bottom of the league. Makes him out to be like Andrelton Simmons without the defense. There's more power in there, I have to think, but Profar this year looks a whole lot like Profar in 2013, before all the injuries.
10:34
Tons of people in the industry believe that Profar was greatly overrated. He might not be much more than this
Gregory
10:35
clay is back
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
If I know one thing about Clay Buchholz, it's that you can always rely on him to be effective and consistent after you see him show a few positive flashes
Alex
10:36
The Mariners are a neverending fountain of deep sadness. It feels like their already narrow window is closing even more. Is there any hope?
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
Maybe they've actually managed to turn around the farm system?
Injuries kind of devastated the pitching staff. There's still a decent club in there somewhere; 2017 doesn't have to suck
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:37
What happens first, an expansion MLB team, or either of the Reds or Padres winning a World Series title?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
Expansion
Jose Canseco
10:37
Assuming Josh Bell is a full-time starter for the Pirates in 2017, do you think he achieves an .800+ OPS?
Jeff Sullivan
10:37
You know what? Sure!
Aaron
10:38
How would baseball change if it followed one-pitch softball rules? So a strike/foul is a strikeout, a ball/hbp is a walk, and balls in play go as normal. I think contact hitters would be amazing and high velocity fastball pitchers with command would also be amazing.
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Team executives would literally kill one another to get Ben Zobrist
termel sledge
10:39
Hypothetically if the Strasburg injury is of the severity to keep him out roughly a month medically, do you think the Nats chance it after that or shut him down?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Not hard to see how they could try to bring him back as a playoff reliever
Erik
10:41
In light of NFL opening weekend, what is one thing the NFL does well as an organization which you'd love to see MLB learn from?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
MLB could stand to do whatever it is the NFL does to prevent people from talking about how every single player in the sport uses steroids
Irving
10:43
Between Steven Brault, Trevor Williams, and Chad Kuhl, which of those three do you think has the best likelihood to become a respectable starting pitcher?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
I trust Kuhl the most to throw strikes for whatever that's worth
If I had to guess right now, I'd say Kuhl has the best chance to be a starting pitcher, and Brault has the best chance to be a pretty good one
Brett W
10:46
How are the Pirates going to improve their rotation next year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
That Rivero question from before looms potentially large here
10:47
Though it's not going to happen I'd really love to see if the Pirates could make something out of Taijuan Walker
To throw an idea out there: Walker for Josh Bell? Would need some more parts but you could have the skeleton of a trade
Tom A.
10:48
When both outfielders can catch a lazy fly ball and one calls the other off, they get credit for one run saved?
Jeff Sullivan
10:48
I believe those plays are basically thrown out since they don't mean anything
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:49
Assume Joey Votto ages fairly gracefully. At what point does that contract become palatable for a team to take on and give up something of value, or will it require the Reds eating a significant portion of it no matter what?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
Votto, through 2023, is due something like $179 million. Running some quick math based on his 2017 projection, we have him worth around $200 million through the end. That's if he ages gracefully
10:51
So already, a bigger-budget team could and should be willing to acquire Votto while also surrendering a prospect or two
The Reds, in turn, could get a better package back if they chipped in some money
A. Reitz
10:52
Why are the Mets playing Granderson, and not Conforto. Please for the love of god explain this. Please, I need to know. Conforto hit over .400 in the minors this year. Over .500 in his last stint. Granderson is hitting .220. Collins. Is. A. Joke.
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
Because Granderson has been a league-average hitter, more or less, whereas Conforto has been a complete disaster in the majors ever since his hot start
Kristen
10:53
TEX is 60-31 vs. teams above .500 this season with a +72 run differential. Also, 3 relievers responsible for a collective 88 earned runs allowed - Wilhelmsen, Tolleson, and Ramos - aren't on the Rangers any more. We also added Darvish, Beltran, and Lucroy for the 2nd-half of the season. So, how is TEX merely "lucky" exactly, and why do people ignore the 3rd point when projecting TEX's performance down the stretch?
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