Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/9/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:54
I don't think people are ignoring what the Rangers are today. But it's also very easy to look at them and recognize that they achieved the record they have now through some unusual means. Doesn't mean they project poorly for the playoffs. It's just been a crazy regular season for them to this point
britishcub
10:54
why do people try to ding Bryant's mvp case by saying Rizzo is a good player but no one mentions rendon when they talk about murphy's case?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
Because Anthony Rendon is wildly and mysteriously underrated
Slew
10:55
Isn't a lot of the defensive variation due to opportunity? If a higher proportion of balls hit to an OF are lazy fly balls he has less opportunity to bank 'plays that an average defender wouldn't have made'
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
Yeah, opportunity is basically everything
James
10:57
Xander Bogaerts has been... not good in the 2nd half. Just a slump or something deeper?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
It looks like pitchers are finding more success getting him to chase out of his own zone. The meaningful indicators haven't collapsed but it's fair to say that Bogaerts is slumping. He's just about earned the benefit of the doubt to the point where it should be assumed he'll recover
Kanye
10:58
Is Ivan Nova fixed? As a Pirates fan, should I be in favor of a reasonable contract this offseason?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
He's not fixed. He's just thriving in an easier situation
Turns out it's easier to convince a pitcher to be aggressive when he's facing NL lineups in places that aren't Yankee Stadium
Kristen
11:00
JD has built a decent bullpen on the cheap over the last 2 seasons, but it has been ineffective lately. Think he bites the bullet and shells out for a proven closer like Jansen or Chapman this offseason?
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
Honestly I'm not convinced the Rangers have the money to contend with the other teams who'll be bidding there
Jim
11:00
Are we still sleeping on the Dodgers? Kershaw/Hill with that bullpen and a lineup that has rounded into form looks terrifying compared to late June.
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
FanGraphs has always liked the Dodgers more than the average media outlet
Justin
11:01
Ichiro's career BABIP is .340. Would it be a decent rule of thumb to consider .340 the upper bound of true-talent BABIP?
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
Joey Votto's at .358 and he doesn't run all that well
If you had some freakish blend of Votto's bat skills with Ichiro's legs, you could push .380 I bet
Brett W
11:02
The Reds are not in a good position to have a winning season between now and when Votto retires. Tell me why I am wrong.
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
Because Votto won't retire for a long time
That's basically it
Chris
11:02
Javy Baez sits around 2.1 WAR on this site, 2.8 on Baseball Reference. if he got 500pa's, what do you think is peak WAR would be? over 4? even higher?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
*Peak* WAR? Over 4, for sure. Homers move the needle awfully fast
CamdenWarehouse
11:03
I understand you're going to do a road trip podcast with Cameron. Will it be more like your podcast Carson or Dave's?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
It will ramble more than the usual Dave podcast just because we won't be watching much baseball on the road. But Dave will also presumably rein it in when it goes too far off the rails
Erik
11:04
Would a team as oddly constructed as the Orioles play below their true talent in the playoffs, because teams can go all out to tweak their strategy to beat them? Or is there really not that much adjusting that can be done?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
On the contrary, I'd think they'd be a little better since they could lean on the starters less and on the best relievers more. Can't really adjust to that very well as an opponent
Roadhog
11:05
The A's will need to sign a lefty-hitting OF this offseason - so, Reddick?
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
Or Reddick's Canadian equivalent, Michael Saunders
Roadhog
11:05
Odds on a Sonny Gray extension? Word is both sides are interested again.
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I'd be surprised if Gray were willing to sign now with his value in the tank but maybe he's starting to fear for his long-term career and security
Royals Fan
11:06
How disappointed should I be that other team's fans feel my team won a championship with luck and dark magic?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
Who cares? You won a championship
Every championship team gets lucky
All right, I need to get going
11:07
So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I'm sorry for what I didn't or couldn't address. We'll...try to do it next week? Around the same time? And until then, be well and have great days
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