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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Justin Mason
9:52
Will start once we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
Pappy
10:02
If you had to guess longterm who is the better player: Gunnar Henderson or Wander Franco?
Justin Mason
10:03
Kind of depends on what you are looking for. Franco has a really high floor, but Henderson has a higher ceiling.
Nick
10:03
Do you have a date for your's and Paul's SP ranks?
Justin Mason
10:03
Mine is already available on the sleeper and the bust patreon, but will be available next week on the site.
PSUEds
10:03
Are we getting a Beat Justin Mason Online Championship this year?
Justin Mason
10:04
Yes! I am just waiting for it to get set up, but it will be 3pm EST on Monday Feb 20 which is President's Day weekend. I will also be live streaming it.
Mickey Rivers Cuomo
10:04
How much are you discounting Rodon's projections for injury concerns and home ballpark concerns?
Justin Mason
10:05
I don't think the park hurts him as much as it would seem. He only gave up two home runs to lefties last year so the short porch is somewhat neutralized. It all comes down health for him. I have him downgraded a bit for that, but still think he is an elite option.
Matt
10:06
NL-Only Keeper Auction Strategy (260/Unlimited keepers): What do you prefer to do with players who might be below-average-performance but below-market-price? I've got a bunch of them and am trying to decide who to lock in and who to let go: Josh Rojas (7), Hae-Song Kim (8), Lane Thomas (5), Luis Garcia-WAS (6). They would be in addition to about 6 other bats I'm already keeping, plus 5-6 pitchers.
Justin Mason
10:07
For me it always comes down to playing/upside. Sometimes I am willing to keep guys that are a little more expensive because I know their production will great and they will cost more in draft because of inflation. That being said, all these prices are good, but I wouldn't keep a guy like Garcia over a market value priced stud.
Mickey Rivers Cuomo
10:07
How many starts does Domingo German make?
Justin Mason
10:08
17? So hard to tell, but with Frankie Montas hurt, I think there is a good chance German gets a good amount of starts.
CO Soutpaw
10:08
Keeper question. 12 team H2H OBP league. Is JoeRam too expensive at $58 this season ($260 budget)? Rankings still favor him as Top 3B & top 10/15 overall
Justin Mason
10:08
Yes.
10:09
That is way too much of your initial budget. You can always throw him back and then try and get him back, but I can't rationalize spending a fifth of your budget on one guy.
Peter
10:09
In a 15 team mixed roto league your thoughts on starting with Alonso and Riley despite the lack of speed? If so where would you go next?
Justin Mason
10:11
I don't have an issue with it per se, but you just need to fill up your roster with strong avg/speed guys. Guys like Steven Kwan, Starling Marte, Nico Hoerner, and Amed Rosario should be targets later.
Guest
10:11
Most of the blog posts that rank players are based on 5x5 roto.  Any good suggestions or "Moneyball tricks" or web sites for adjusting them to a points league?
Justin Mason
10:14
Ok, so I would take your favorite projections and run them through the auction calculator or a like program. The problem with points leagues are non have the same point system so it becomes really difficult to do content on them. That being said, I am going to do points leagues ranks/dollar values based on my projections for the four major sites (ESPN, CBS, Yahoo, Fantrax) and it will be available on the sleeper and the bust patreon)
Yuniesky Betancourt
10:14
What part of draft and hold league strategy do you think is most often overlooked?
Justin Mason
10:15
Being risk adverse. I think people see the 50 rounds and think they can take a ton of gambles and then in August they can't field an active lineup because of minor leaguers that never came up and injuries. The teams that do well in draft and hold leagues are the ones that lead their league (and the overall) in plate appearances and innings pitched.
Post Injury Big Deal
10:15
Better odds to have a 3+ WAR season:  Sale or Peralta?
Justin Mason
10:15
Chris Sale
Matt
10:16
Since my TGFBI Satellite is just starting (thanks for running those again!), which side do you tend to identify with: is the time allotment in a slow draft a convenience for people with scheduling conflicts, or a means to gain a competitive advantage by holding out for player news to pop up? Or something else entirely?
Justin Mason
10:17
Allotment for time and the differences in time zones and schedules. I know some people want to gain an advantage from milking the clock, but for the most part that is unnecessary.
Steve Saxual Healing
10:17
10-teamer, daily moves, but deep bench auction/roto league. I'm one of the better budget-ers so I should have my pick of the following group for Util/CI, all $2-5 range. Do any stand out above the rest for you: J. Naylor, S. Brown, R. Tellez, and, to a lesser degree, J. Meneses?
Justin Mason
10:18
Probably Rowdy Tellez or Seth Brown. In a ten team league, I want guys that are going to play a lot. Naylor is a decent option but you have to sit him against lefties so it depends on the size of your bench.
dezre
10:19
HUGE THANKS for organizing the TGFBI. Drafting for a satellite league now...so much fun! Who ya like in that format between Xander and Dansby? Do you expect the change in either player's environment will affect his value much? Or can we expect more of the same from both? Their underlying skills have been very consistent...
Justin Mason
10:19
Definitely prefer Dansby Swanson over Xander Bogaerts. I think Xander will be hurt a ton by the park and could end up batting like 5th or 6th once Tatis returns.
Reggie
10:19
Where do you see Kyle Lewis fitting in at Arizona ?
Justin Mason
10:19
On the IL
laughing 1
Foolsrushin63
10:20
Just picked up an abandoned team in an Ottoneu points league. No catchers worth keeping and few options in upcoming draft. Thoughts on differentiating between Stephenson, Moreno, Langliers, Heim, Bart, Garver?
Justin Mason
10:21
Tyler Stephenson has a ton of upside if he can stay healthy. Gabriel Moreno has long term upside but probably won't be very valuable this season. Jonah Heim is a second tier option I like.
Guest
10:21
in a 14 team keep forever roto 6x6 my last keeper is down to bard (its a sv/hld league), Bellinger (I don't have a cf), lux (I have gleyber but would fill my mi) or jose miranada (young upside? I have 3b & CI covered)
Justin Mason
10:22
I think it is between Cody Bellinger and Miranda. I might shoot for the massive upside of Bellinger, but Miranda is much safer and has decent upside as well.
Steve Saxual Healing
10:22
And same league, 10 team, deep bench, auction. Should comfortably be able to afford 2 of the following as my aces: Nola, Woodruff, L. Castillo, C. Javier. Are you especially Bullish or Bearish on any of them?
Justin Mason
10:23
I like all four, but I am highest on Woodruff and Nola.
NBP
10:23
Yoshida had the 2nd lowest K rate and 2nd highest BB rate in NBP.  That is insane - are you drafting him this year or is he going too soon/$$$ for your taste?
Justin Mason
10:24
I could grab a share or two, but I don't usually draft guys coming into the league from international leagues unless I think they have game changing upside and Yoshida Masataka doesn't appear to have that.
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