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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Reggie
10:24
Does CJ Abrahams break out this season with Washington?
Justin Mason
10:25
I think there is a break out of sorts. I think he could hit for average and steal a ton of bases.
Joey
10:25
I am struggling with my last keeper. Who would you taken between Jazz (2 keeps left), Vargas (3 keeps left) and Jordan Walker (4 keeps left)? 10 team hth with obp.
Justin Mason
10:25
It is Walker for me.
Guest
10:25
more likely bounceback this season Austin meadows or jose berrios
Justin Mason
10:25
Berrios. At least he is healthy
Colton
10:26
Justin, why do I keep talking myself more and more into Jack Suwinski? His home/road splits have been stuck in my head for weeks. I know you said you liked Bae more for the season but I'm not sure if he's got enough thump to carve out and everyday role
Justin Mason
10:26
Suwinski is a strong side platoon power hitter. I can find that off the wire. Bae is potentially a good hit tool guy with speed. Much harder to find later.
Mickey Rivers Cuomo
10:26
Playing time for NYY's LF-DH-3B seem like a zero sum game. Let's assume Stanton stays relatively healthy and gets 550 PA.  How do the rest of those PAs split between Cabrera, Donaldson, Hicks, and LeMahieu?
Justin Mason
10:28
Josh Donaldson and DJ LeMahieu will both get 500+ PAs if they are healthy. I think Aaron Hicks gets like 300 PAs and Oswaldo Peraza gets around 400.
Old Prospector
10:28
pablo
Justin Mason
10:28
Picasso? Escobar? Lopez?
Mickey Rivers Cuomo
10:28
How many PA does AJ Pollock get?  The GM says he will platoon with Kelenic in LF, but they do not really have a DH (assuming Teoscar plays RF) and Kelenic seems likely to flame out.
Justin Mason
10:29
400?
Guest
10:29
with all the hate being piled onto tatis jr's injury (seemingly well deserved) how nervous should a dynasty owner be with his long term outlook? where on the spectrum of try and move him after the first hot streak nervous vs reassess at the end of the year
Justin Mason
10:30
I would not move him for less than full market value. The upside is too great and he has generational talent. If I could get J-Rod, Acuna, Vlad or guys like that, I could be swayed, but I think you have to roll with him and hope for the best.
Jeff
10:30
Over/Under 20 saves for Kimbrel?
Justin Mason
10:30
Under
Danny
10:30
Can you make any sense of what is going on with Lucas Giolito?
Positives: FB velocity is constant, Barrels have stayed constant, Max EV relatively constant.
Negatives: K%-BB% down 3 years in a row, hard hit % way up, and a FIP over 4.00, Z contact up, FB spin way down (spider tack?)

Did he just get babip'ed to death last year or is there something fundamentally wrong with his pitches?
Justin Mason
10:33
I think he was tipping pitches. I also think he had poor sequencing. He definitely got a bit unlucky, but it was more about how he reacted to when he fell behind in the count. He would make bad mistakes in the zone when he fell behind allowing hitters to take advantage. I think an approach overhaul is needed and I don’t know that I can buy in on him this season given that.
Old Prospector
10:33
Pablo Lopez was unhittable to start 2022 then below average for the rest of the year. What do you expect this year? Does his final results I’d the year in total and the 3.7-3.85ish ERA most project feel appropriate for 2023?
Justin Mason
10:33
Yeah, that is about what I have him projected for this year. I also worry about the health as he usually misses big chunks of time.
Mickey Rivers Cuomo
10:33
How would you rank the following trio who seem bunched up on most projections and rankings:  Bieber-L.Castillo-Gausman?
Justin Mason
10:34
Luis Castillo, Kevin Gausman, Shane Beiber
but it is close on all three
A.
10:35
i Have a keeper decision in a 12 team 6x6 (obp instead of average, batter k is the sixth category; normal pitching plus holds):  need to pick 2: Logan Gilbert (10th rd), Nate Lowe (16th); Jake McCarthy (16th); Brandon Woodruff (5). My other two definite keepers are Vinnie Pasquentino (16th) and Zac Gallen (16th). If I keep multiple 16th round eligible guys, I can push them down a round (if I have two 16th round keeper, one becomes a 17th). Thank you in advance.
Justin Mason
10:36
Lowe and Woodruff for me.
Nick
10:36
In a 12 team points league what side of this trade do you prefer: Tatis in the 13th and Ray in the 20th or Wander in the 18th and Rodon in the 22nd round?
Justin Mason
10:36
Tatis side
Oaktown Blues
10:36
Do you think Esteury Ruiz gets enough playing time and gets on base enough to rack up a significant SB total this season?
Justin Mason
10:37
I do think he can but I also think the average could potentially be atrocious. 30 SBs and a .220 average is in play
OF cliff
10:37
Who have you been getting a lot for your last couple of OF spots?
Justin Mason
10:37
TJ Freidl
Brandon Marsh
Jarred Kelenic
10:38
Kyle Isbel, Leody Tavares, Edward Oliveras.
Lots of options.
Kate
10:38
How would you rank these relievers in a league that uses sv+h/2: leclerc, alzolay, floro, Lange, Evan Phillips, estevez, ginkel, Brandon hughes
Justin Mason
10:38
LeClerc, Lange, Esteves, Phillips, Hughes, Floro, Alzolay, Ginkel
Jeff
10:39
$90 to spend on 16 keepers: how much should I budget for a starting 3B?
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