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Justin Mason
9:46
Chat will begin at the top of the hour as long as we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, mastodon, threads, post, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
Pedro
10:01
Hey Justin.  I can keep Bo Bichette at $25 in an AL only 5x5 league?  How much profit (if any) do you think he's likely to return?  Thanks in advance.
Justin Mason
10:02
I think a lot of his value will be tied up in whether or not he starts running again. Hard to see him get back to being a $30 player if he only steals five bases again. Im hopeful that he will but right now he is a power/average guy that has a nice floor but a capped ceiling.
Win Win Win
10:02
Thoughts on Keaton Winn for 2024? Seems like swing and miss stuff, good ballpark and maybe a rotation spot to start the season?
Justin Mason
10:04
I think as of now Winn has a rotation spot but that is dependent on what the Giants do the rest of this offseason. The stuff is pretty good and I think there is some really interesting upside in the profile. I think he is a really nice gamble at the ADP as long as they don't bring in multiple starters in the next month or two.
E
10:04
Have to keep 3 of the following in a 12 team, 5x5 auction format:  $14 Jhoan Duran, $1 Tanner Scott (already have $9 Devin Williams), $19 Yelich, $8 Josh Lowe, $1 Chas McCormick, $1 Kerry Carpenter. Thanks!
Justin Mason
10:04
Lowe, Duran, Yelich
Yaz fan
10:05
How good will the Bosox outfield youth be this year?  Rafeala? Abreu?  Will Yoshida put a whole year together? He seemed to wilt at the end.
Justin Mason
10:08
I am interested to see what the Red Sox do rest of the offseason. I think Abreu has a role right now, but Rafaela may be the odd man out which is disappointing because I am very intrigued by his upside. Yoshida is one that I am really interested in. I think of last year as a kind of transition year and he could really take off if given another chance to hit second
seth
10:08
steamer projections for the Reds are ROUGH, do you see any big values to be had? or staying away from the sophomore slump risk?
Justin Mason
10:10
I don't know if there are many big values because the ADPs on most of the Reds hitters are pretty high. The problem is there are too many interesting guys which means someone (or multiple people) is the odd man out or everyone loses some playing time to get everyone in. I really want to see them trade one or two guys.
Nick
10:11
What are your projections for Sean Manaea this year now that he has signed with the Mets?
Justin Mason
10:13
I really like Manaea in NY. If healthy, he could be a 150 inning guy that gives a lot of strikeouts and a decent ERA. I think he has a starting spot locked in and just needs to stay on the field.
Guest
10:13
Expectations for Torkelson in '24? What's the likelihood he winds up a top-10 1B?
Justin Mason
10:14
I am high on Tork this season. I have him for 32 home runs and a .251 average. I think he is a top 10 guy this year.
Illuminatti
10:14
Whats a reasonable 1-for-1 trade return for EDLC in a H2H dynasty league? Im worried the AVG will crater , Ks pile up, and he will not live up to the hype.
Justin Mason
10:14
I want a top 20 bat for him if not more.
MrMet
10:15
Is Isaac Paredes an example of a mirage where the counting stats aren't supported by the underlying Statcast metrics? Or, does he do something those metrics don't really capture? Curious about what you think of him in 2024 and beyond?
Justin Mason
10:16
I think there will be some natural regression, but I do not think that Paredes falls off. He is a pull guy that takes advantage of the dimensions of his home park. Probably more of a 25+ homer guy than a 30+ but I think he plays every day and hits in a good position in the Rays lineup.
Your Name
10:16
O/U on Trout's games played in '24?
Justin Mason
10:16
95?
Ohtani
10:17
Shohei is going in the first couple rounds of drafts.  Do we really think he is going to be in the lineup on day 1? Where is that info coming from? Must have missed it in the crush of Ohtani news…
Justin Mason
10:18
Sounds like he should be ready or close to before Opening Day. This wasn't a reconstruction and it happened in September so I think a 6 month timetable makes sense.
Colton
10:18
The Robbie Ray swap seems like an odd one without any other moves/signings to go along with it. Any thoughts or ideas as to who else they're going after if anyone? My initial idea was to pair it with Snell and then they'd have a three headed monster at the top of the rotation but who knows what Farhan is thinking
Justin Mason
10:20
The Ray trade tells me that the Giants may be more concerned with 2025 and beyond than 2024. Ray won't be back until the summer at the earliest so I wonder if they just decide to roll with what they have and use this season as another bridge year.
Be a Sport
10:20
May I use your forum to say that bad mouthing a trade offer is not productive.  Pre-season evaluators are all over the board.  Most offers are in Good Faith. Accept/Reject/Counter.  Thank you.
Justin Mason
10:22
I think the better use of a response is to ask why this trade offer benefits both sides. I think too often when someone offers a trade they do not think about the ramifications for both teams, just their own. I usually don't even send an offer until I have had a discussion with the person about what they want/need for their team because I don't want to offer something that may appear insulting.
Insert Witty Name Here
10:22
So my time commitment to fantasy baseball has taken a hit (hi Family!). Any tips on how to maximize intelligence gathering on a limited time budget?  Other than these chats of course, invaluable since forever.
Justin Mason
10:24
I think the best thing is to become very good at filtering your info. Focus on your very trusted sources of info as opposed to casting a wide net for your information. Then get organized. Spreadsheets and other programs to keep yourself streamlined help a lot.
Richard
10:24
Will you admit on the S&B pod that you were wrong on Elly starting at AAA when the season begins and he's starting at SS everyday?
Justin Mason
10:25
I said that I think there is a possibility that it happens. I stand by it until the Reds say otherwise or they make moves that declutter the logjam in the infield.
Jefferson
10:25
Just read longenhagen's write up for SDP. He sounded confident in Drew Thorpe getting starts in the rotation this year. Is he on your radar as a quiet prospect to draft and/or watch?
Justin Mason
10:26
I haven't gotten to my pitching projections quite yet but hopefully will in the next week or two. He is definitely one I need to do more work on. I trust Eric a lot so I would listen to him for sure.
Kingpin
10:26
How do you feel about Paul Skenes for 2024 & 2025?
Justin Mason
10:27
I think he could be up around midseason this year and could be in the top 25 SPs by 2025 drafts. There is a ton of talent in his arm. Just depends on how aggressive the Pirates want to be with him.
Chuck
10:27
It seems like the Pads want Matsui to close. Is that your read as well? Where would you rank him?
Justin Mason
10:29
I think he definitely could be the guy but it is probably an open competition to start spring. I think I will probably have him around RP30-40 right around Suarez until we see if one of them or someone else separate from the pack.
RGM
10:29
Dodgers unlocked Jason Heyward with a 2nd highest ISO and WRC+ of his career last year. How excited should I be for Dodgers finding a cheat-code for Teoscar?
Justin Mason
10:30
I am a little more concerned about Teoscar in LA just because I could see the price jump huge. Unless there is an approach change in spring, I don't know that this makes him as interesting as the ADP jump will suggest. He definitely gets a value boost, but the market may overreact to that as well.
Pat
10:30
What breakdown do you shoot for in a DC generally?  Bats v. SP v. RP?  How many MiLB players?  How many players at each offensive position?
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