JotCast | Justin Mason Baseball Chat

Justin Mason Baseball Chat

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Justin Mason

10:33

3-4 catchers, 6-8 CIs, 6-8M MIs, 8-10 OF. 14-16 SPs, 5-7 RPs.

10:35

I tend to go less risky early on and throughout the draft because you can't replace injured guys. No more than 5 rookies or injured players. Plate appearances and innings win these leagues. It might feel sexy to take a young prospect over a guaranteed 500 plate appearances, but if you load up on risk, the chances your team hits altogether is slim.

Kingpin

10:35

Is Sale really that much worse than Glasnow? They seem similar enough to me that Glasnow shouldn't go so many rounds (or, in auction, for so many dollars) more than Sale.

Justin Mason

10:36

I am not a big Glasnow guy but at this point in their careers, Glasnow is a much better overall pitcher. I think the risk you get little to nothing is about the same for them though and I would not pay the price on Glasnow and I would on Sale because he is so much cheaper.

Alex Fast

10:36

Who will be the most fantasy viable pitcher for the Orioles in '23? What closer tier will Craig Kimbrel be in?

Justin Mason

10:36

Hi Alex!

10:38

I think that both Bradish and Grayson are studs and should be treated that way heading into 2024. I am also pretty intrigued by Kremer especially if you can stream him for home starts. Kimbrel will probably be in the third tier of RPs with guys with jobs but shaky skills.

Oj simpson

10:38

O/U combined 60 HR for judge/soto

Justin Mason

10:38

OVER

Fe Ral

10:38

Which Giants players would you be willing to draft this season and which round(s)?

Justin Mason

10:40

Doval round 5, Estrada round 10, Lee round 16, Bailey round 25, Cobb, Winn, Yaz, Matos at the end of my draft

Jefferson

10:40

I've got the number 1 pick in a shallow keeper league, standard 5x5 categories. Both ohanti and acuna are available, I get to keep them for 3 years (they become free agents again after 2026 season). I'm leaning acuna because of the unknown future for ohtani pitching, but it really seems like a toss up

Justin Mason

10:40

I think I go Acuna but if it is a daily lineup league then I completely understand taking Ohtani.

Chuck

10:41

Which player do you expect to rise the most in drafts between now and Opening Day?

Justin Mason

10:43

Probably a guy that could have a huge spring that is young. Oneil Cruz? If he hits like 8 spring bombs all of a sudden he starts going in the top 40. Jackson Holliday, Wyatt Langford and Jackson Chourio could if we get news that they are breaking camp.

AL Central Casting

10:44

Question about using an auction calculator for preparation in a keeper league where all the kept players are revealed at once. How do you account for other managers' keepers, especially when making decisions about your own borderline candidates? Do you make a best guess at who will be kept and take them out of the calculation? With an unknown number of players being kept at (presumably) below market salaries, there will be some inflation, but hard to say how much.

Justin Mason

10:45

In keeper leagues like this, I often do a mock keeper list so I can try and figure out the in draft inflation rate. Then I adjust once keepers are announced.

Fe Ral

10:46

Have any of the signings during this offseason changed your rankings of a player and which one was the most dramatic?

Justin Mason

10:47

I don't think any of the moves have drastically changed much for me. Definitely like some more than others. For instance, I am pretty excited about Lugo and Wacha getting to pitch in KC. I am mostly out on Nick Martinez and Frankie Montas now that they are in Cincy.

Fe Ral

10:47

Which player do you think your wife is most likely to leave you for?

Justin Mason

10:47

Kevin Keirmaier

Or Bryce Harper

or Kris Bryant

10:48

or any SF Giants

10:48

expectations for Josh Jung this year?

Justin Mason

10:48

I love Jung. He just needs to stay healthy. If he does, I think 30/100 isn't out of the question.

juan pierres mustache

10:49

Deciding on last keepers from a group of Ober, Wacha, Reese Olson, Maeda, Taj Bradley. Prices all similar, can probably hold 2, focused heavily on this season, FGPts.

Justin Mason

10:49

I think I lean Ober and Wacha. Ober for sure

Miguel

10:49

Dynasty sim league, using last year's stats to play the games.
A.Abbott, B.Woo or R.Olson?

Justin Mason

10:49

Woo

diadem

10:49

What is Lawler's path to regular ab's this year?

Justin Mason

10:49

Either an injury or he just destroy AAA to start the year. He will be up early.

Guest

10:50

Nolan Gorman's ADP seems fairly low with 2B eligibility. 27 HRs in 464 PAs. Also wasn't nearly as bad against LHPs as his reputation suggests (130 WRC+). Would you think about pushing him up at all given the power upside?

Justin Mason

10:52

I like Gorman, but there is risk to the swing and miss profile. His BABIP versus lefties was a bit high so I do think there is some platoon risk too. I think the price may be a little low, but there is a ton of risk built into it.

Lindor

10:52

Who are some SP (or range in rankings) you would consider for Lindor in a 10-tm H2H dynasty league? Lindor cost is about 11% of cap.

Justin Mason

10:53

Maybe like the Bibee, Miller, Eury tier of pitcher.

Nick Pollack

10:53

Let me tell you about the dumbest trade offer I just got from this idiot in my league...

Justin Mason

10:53

I am still mad at you for this