JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/15/20

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gcarter

12:54

Did you ever or do you currently collect any baseball cards? Do you have a favorite card or player you collected?

Kiley McDaniel

12:55

Yeah used to do it a lot then just kinda stopped and gave them away, same with video games. Held onto the handful of cards that have some value and actually found them recently. It was kinda funny because some of them were like $15-20 cards that were Bowman rookies of top prospects when I valued them/put them in protectors, but I don't remember when that was. Don't think that Jason Stokes Bowman Chrome is still worth that much, but the Greinke one is probably doing okay. Have Griffey and Peyton Manning rookies that are probably my favs?

Cito's Mustache

12:56

What do you predict Manfred's punishment will be for Cora? It has to be more than what Hinch got, right?

Kiley McDaniel

12:56

Yeah, I'd guess it's probably 2 or 3 years with a nonzero, but very unlikely shot at a lifetime ban

Fangraphs Reader

12:57

Do you think MLB will/should investigate sign stealing for organizations beyond Boston, or does this end with them?

Kiley McDaniel

12:57

I don't think they want to announce investigations to other teams and continue the bad PR, hoping everyone is scared and stops now, so I think the media may drive that happening. I'm certain it wasn't just two teams doing this.

1:02

If we use the Red Sox version of this, that is something that I'd bet the majority of teams have done at least once.

You've got a guy or two in the replay room with not a whole lot to do most of the game other than to pay attention. Decoding signs is a pretty logical time-passing thing to do, even just using the normal TV feed or whatever and doing it as a game to keep you engaged, tying to guess the pitch.

That's not illegal to do until they pass it along to the dugout. Even if you know and follow the rules but make one stray comment about how you knew what was coming two games ago and someone is gonna ask for advance word and you do it once and now you're crossed the line. You're telling me no other teams did that (a casual version of what BOS did) over the last five years? I'd bet at least 20 have done that at least once, even just one video guy telling one hitter one time during one game to see if it worked.

1:03

Surprised the Astros penalties didn't include int'l bonus pool money?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

Yeah it seems really weird to take draft picks for a scandal that had nothing to do with that department, and not touch the J2 money. It sorta indirectly implies that MLB thinks the draft is more important than the J2 period. That's especially weird since both are tied to FA compensation now, so there's no logical way to land on not including pool money in the punishment. Pretty small issue, but weird nonetheless.

Parts and Gleyber

1:05

Welp...the Mets unsurprisingly find themselve in another quagmire. They have to fire Beltran, right?

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

I don't think they have to, but you certainly have to consider it. And they have some messaging around why they chose to keep him, if they do.

Desperate Times

1:06

Saw the Cards list. Fantastic work. What are your reservations on Dylan Carlson? Is he more like Stephen Piscotty than superstar?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

Lack of big raw power/exit velos for a corner guy. That's really it. He's still young and has some projection, but the data matches the eyes thus far.

Billy Beane

1:07

Hey Kiley, we can do font stuff now. I think you're going to get harassed by idiots really like it.

Kiley McDaniel

1:07

I only consent to font stuff with a significant list of preconditions

Henry

1:07

Still thinking Bryant over Arenado for Atlanta?

Kiley McDaniel

1:08

Just fits what they're doing so much better in terms of term/cash/certainty/flexibility

1:09

If the Arenado price is low in trade and the contract is paid down a good bit and the Bryant price is comparatively sky high, I can see why they'd pick Arenado, but I don't think any of that is true

Ralphie

1:09

The astros are not prohibited from the international market . Whats to stop them from going huge there as a way to mitigate the loss of picks

Kiley McDaniel

1:09

It's hard-capped so going huge would be their pool plus however much of 50% over that they can trade for

1:10

and HOU doesn't spend at the top of the market, so they'd run into roster spot issues at some point

Afternoon Delight

1:10

I can't believe I'm sticking up for the Dodgers, but I'd be pissed about Manfred's gag order. "Yeah, you got beat in the WS in consecutive years by a bunch of dirty rotten cheaters, but if you could go ahead and not comment on it, that would be great" (In Lumberg voice)

Kiley McDaniel

1:10

Yeah it sucks for the Dodgers and it broadly sucks for baseball but also if you're the commish, what would you do?

1:11

Finally the national media talks about baseball regularly during the offseason and it's only about the biggest scandal in some time

1:12

It's easy to bag on the commish and I did that yesterday and he earned it, but he had an impossible task with this since continuing to be employed for 8 figures a year by the 30 owners is pretty high on his list of things to accomplish

1:13

That's what you get with $11M/year. Goodell seems to think it's still worth it. After the China thing, Adam Silver seems to think it's still worth it.

to quote Don Draper: "That's what the money is for."

Ball Five

1:13

Anything less than stripping Houston of its title is insignificant. Cheaters still win. Why won't MLB go there?

Kiley McDaniel

1:15

I mean who cares if someone vacates titles or wins? It's such a waste of time and it's a nothing punishment. You have an asterisk now and aren't part of that trivia question anymore and take down that banner but also keep the tens of millions of dollars and other ill-gotten gains. Now you've learned something!

ResumeMan

1:16

Sheehan raised the question today as to whether Hinch, Lunhow and eventually Cora will be considered as serving their suspensions after they're fired. That is, will they need to serve the period of their suspension *after* they've been re-hired, as players do?

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

I understand it as "can't work for a team for x amount of time, then you're free and clear"

it wasn't a games suspension, it was a period of time

SpicyBoy

1:16

I have a question about the prospect EV data. Most of the data so far has everyone below a 92 avg EV and a 110 max EV, which is approximately average for major leaguers. Would you think this is because of difference in machinery, smaller sample sizes, minor leaguers not being at max physicality yet, or something else? My assumption is that looking at a prospects EV data in relation to their age and level is probably the best way to interpret it

Kiley McDaniel

1:17

Yeah teams will casually quote stuff like "the best average EV in this league/level/age group" because the physicality is the issue

1:18

That's why when I saw 18 year old Acuna hitting it over 110 mph while playing CF it was like WTF

Jimmy from Vallejo

1:18

Hey, I was curious, about what it was like to work in baseball. I listened to podcast that involved a few people that worked in basketball and now do media, and they mentioned that working in basketball front office is miserable a great deal of the time, and most prefer their time in media. Do you think there is a similar dynamic in baseball?

Kiley McDaniel

1:18

Have talked to multiple people about that this week alone

1:19

My quip about it is that I wasn't paid enough or had enough power to justify having no social life.

Mitch Haniger

1:19

Here's your update. I'm still nut quite 100%

Kiley McDaniel

1:19

oh godammit mitch

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