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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 12/19/18
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ryan
12:59
I know you're an objective evaluator, but what's your subjective, aesthetic preference in terms of players you "like" to watch? do you prefer a solid all-around guy like Nick Senzel or a more toolsy, flashy guy like Trammell? do you prefer a Shane Bieber-esque pitcher to a Jordan Hicks?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
You can talk me into any of those. I also have trouble naming a #1 favorite movie, restaurant, food, place, etc. without naming 3-4 more. I don't really have a type in any way (shrug emoji)
Tom AND Jerry
1:00
Can you provide some clarification? Pache was a 60 FV at the end of the year but a 55 in your most recent list, but didn't receive a downward arrow. Are the arrows use more for future indication than current jumps/falls?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
We decided that the 55 to 60 FV cutoff is going to be defined specifically when we do the top 100, so it's possible he ends up top of 55 or bottom of 60...so didn't want to throw a down arrow until we decide that. Ke'Bryan Hayes is also in that range. Much easier to decide which one he is when the whole list is there and we order them all.
Jerry Dipoto
1:02
You think Evan White will become a high level player? He seems to get no prospect ranking love, despite a pretty good season with a big surge in his power late in the season.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:02
RH-hitting 1B without huge power isn't sexy or high upside, so he'll probably never get big prospect list love
and 2-win 1B aren't getting love on the FA market, like C.J. Cron
Keefths
1:03
Do you view Nick Senzel as the same type of player as Alex Bregman ?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Less juice in the bat, can't play SS and Bregman can and obviously the track record post-college is pretty different
but as far as profile, they're not super different
1:04
I wouldn't expect Senzel to match Bregman's MLB performance tho--nobody really thought he'd be a 5-6 win type until he started crushing in the big leagues
1:06
FWIW, over half the questions are Bryce Harper to ATL, Haniger to ATL or various Jerry Dipoto related questions/jokes
Trent
1:06
What's Nate Lowe's upside? .270 30hr guy?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
We think a little less than that, but there's some suspicion that he's the reason TB felt comfortable moving Bauers
PD
1:07
Was Scott Kingery overrated last year or was it just a bad rookie season?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
Needs regular ABs/position
Tyler
1:07
Do you think Carson Fulmer would benefit from a change of scenery?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
Starting to think that way, yes
Dave
1:08
Suppose the Astros offer Tucker for Realmuto straight-up, but refuse to include anyone else. Is it time for Miami to accept that sort of offer?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
If I'm Miami I would seriously consider it
since the good options have already/continue to move on
1:09
LA and TB make sense and have plenty of combos they could offer
TB with Zunino and Michael Perez doesn't make perfect sense, but they seem to be fishing in deep water on Thor, CLE SP, JTR, etc.
Tim
1:10
Hi Kiley. What is Victor Victor Mesa's ETA? Floor statline? Ceiling statline? The consensus seems to be there is no power there and it won't develop, but can the hit tool compensate?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
just wrote him up a few days ago. Probably starts in Jupiter due to weather then heads to AA if things go well
Mac
1:11
Who's the best hitter in the draft?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:11
Andrew Vaughn, 1B, Cal. Might be 6 hit, 6 game power and good approach.
1:12
Adley Rutschman isn't far behind and he's an above average catcher, so that's why he's #1 by a good margin
H.W. Linwood
1:12
Hey Kiley! Thanks for the chat! When scouts come up with an MLB comparison for prospects, how much of it is based on tool profile vs things like frame, position, and handedness? I've seen different sources place different emphases on these things, but where should/do they fall for you?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:13
There are some scouts where I could give them a perfect comp by size/tools/actions/performance, but it's a RH hitter compared to a LH hitter and they would say nope
tacopocket
1:14
i really liked kelenic.  Tell me something that makes me like him less so I can come to terms with the trade.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:14
nobody seems to be 100% certain how to say his last name
Red
1:14
Is it harder to get eyes/ears on certain leagues? I look at something like the Pioneer League, where there are three Montana teams a couple hundred miles apart, and not much else. How do MLB orgs address geographically isolated affiliates and colleges?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:15
More difficult, yes. Teams will use area scouts (HS/college) more often for those leagues than other comparable ones (appy) that are near other minor leagues that pro scouts go to often
Dave in London
1:15
Do you project B. McKay as primarily a pitcher, a hitter or a true hybrid a la Ohtani?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:15
#3 SP that also DHs sometimes, so used similarly to Ohtani but much less chance to be a #1 SP.
Big Tuna
1:16
What on earth happened to Tyler Kolek?!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:16
He still throws hard and hasn't really improved at much else
Ducklin
1:16
Is handedness genetic? Austin/Parker Meadows  both lefties.  Now the Siani brothers
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