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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 2/27/19
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BlueJayMatt
12:41
Who has better pure stuff (fastball, breaking ball, etc.) Alek Manoah or Jackson Rutledge?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
It's about the same, but Rutledge is bigger and has two breaking balls, so I'll lean him, but they're really close
brad
12:42
Kiley, two things that need to be addressed.  First, people need to stop posting as if they are the player, GM, owner of a team, or refuse to post their comments.  Second, everyone needs to stop with this owners are colluding or players aren't getting paid, it is supply and demand, more teams are "tanking" meaning less teams are incentivized to win, therefore less teams vying for same number of free agents vs the past, therefore the laws of supply and demand dictate lower salaries.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
I dunno I kinda like the posing as someone thing b/c I know some people being posed as read these things every week and I enjoy imagining if this is a question they'd really ask, b/c they're going to read it.
12:45
I also don't think there's anything as insidious as coordinated collusion happening, I just think it's a confluence of:
1. the teams are run by bean counters, now more than ever
2. it's been proven over and over that the bean-counter-friendly deals happen late, so they're all gonna delay
3. the agents can whip up the MLBPA into a frenzy about the next CBA the longer they wait, so many of them are also incentivized to wait
4. Many of the big market clubs are contenders that can make the playoffs without going into the luxury tax, so they have a de facto salary cap and lower $/WAR than fringe contenders like SD with lots of room to spend
12:46
I think there's a bit of an opportunity for bigger market contenders to spend this offseason and solidify their position, and some of them are acting that way, but not all of them are. And that limits the market for the big money free agents.
Mitch
12:47
Who would a major league comp be for Josh Sborz?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
Eh, just pick any 7th inning righty, really. Matt Albers came to mind, but Sborz doesn't throw a sinker like he did in college
Fartrell Cluggins
12:48
Do you think the Phillies should hold out on the Harper sweepstakes and just save their money for Trout in 2 years? As a fan, that seems like a better investment
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:48
Trout seems much closer to Arenado (sign an extension and stay where he is, shun the spotlight/open bidding/marketing) than Machado/Harper
So I wouldn't build a plan around a thing that you may never have a chance to do
Bsg520
12:49
How is going to have more future value for the Indians Nolan Jones or Geogre Valeria?  Whats the possibility of both becoming annual all stars?  Thank You
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
Both questions are answered by their top 100 ranking and the little graph of odds of outcomes you can see if you expand their comment area https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-top-100-prospects/
JohnnyUniteUs
12:50
Is it just me or does Erik Miller remind y
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
did an assassin just hit you with a blow dart? why does the illuminati care about your erik miller takes??!?!
Will
12:51
Are there any additional hubs for collegiate Trackman data like the one that LSU has on Twitter?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:51
Ole Miss has an analytics twitter account and some other teams reference it on their main accounts on homers
Darren
12:51
What position will Misner play in pro ball?  Any chance he flies all the way up to #2 to the Royals?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
we list him as a pro RF and in the comment mention he's gonna play CF and 1B for Missouri this year. Then in the scouting section we grade his tools in a RF situation. It's all right there, folks
Jimmy Wynn's Toy Cannon
12:52
How often do you and Eric actually see each other in person? Is it just Spring Training and/or the AFL?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
Winter Meetings, FG Retreat, then usually 1-2 other times that vary per year. This year the Driveline Pro Day was one
Phillie Phanatic
12:53
after reading your review of the Angels system I was left tantalized by Jordyn Adam's potential. I understand you can really only put a 45+ on him now since he's so raw BUT if everything comes together as you defined in the write up are we talking a 65FV? 70FV? Thanks!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
It could be Byron Buxton or Royce Lewis, who are generally 65 FVs when it was all coming together, 70 FV possible in the upper minors.
Larry
12:55
What's the exit velocity on a swing and miss?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
If you yell at kids to get off your lawn and there are no kids to hear it, did you actually yell?
David
12:56
Kameron Misner to KC at pick 2, loneliness to happen?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:56
man that question took a turn
Hello
12:56
Any 2018 draftees not on the BOARD with sleeper potential?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
If they are, they're flagged as such in the others of note section in the team lists
Henry
12:57
So Logan Davidson isn’t off to a great start. Is he still a no-doubt first rounder?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
For now, yes, could fall into the Jeremy Eierman vortex if this continues
Miley KcDaniel
12:57
do you Manoah stays a starter long term?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
I lean yes
12:58
But the stuff is good enough to be impact even if he can't
Matthew
12:58
Hey, Kiley. A while back I think you listed teenagers who had no full-season experience but were 50 FVs already. Who are some of those players in orgs you guys haven't posted write-ups for yet (e.g., Lenny Torres in CLE, I think)? Thanks!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
All of the 50's are already on the Top 132: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-top-100-prospects/
Mike
12:59
I realize it's really early, but given the lack of SEC pitchers for the Tigers to take in the first round, who would you guess fits their profile the best in terms of the position players in the mix in the middle of the top 10?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
They like velo and SEC stats, doesn't have to be pitchers. Misner would be the darkhorse to jump into their mix if he rakes in the SEC
1:01
also, I can't believe no one has ever called it the SEX. It's literally one letter over on the keyboard and I've never seen anyone tweet/write/text the mistake even once. I'm constantly in fear that I'll do it.
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