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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 2/27/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
This has been confessions of a prospect guy.
James
1:02
I LOVE Andrew Vaughn's bat, but looking for comps of under 6', right-handed, 1B-only guys who truly worked and became middle-of-the-order bats, all I could really come up with is Steve Garvey. Are there other successes I'm missing?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Albert Pujols and Cecil Fielder were both 6'3 and I'm having trouble thinking of shorter ones. Jeff Bagwell is listed at 6'0, so maybe he was actually 5'11?
Mike
1:03
Why do we never see high school prospects enroll in college at semester? There's generally a handful of 2-3rd round guys that know they're going to college, why not get a jump start on it and be draft eligible at 20?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
Florida got two of them this year: CF Judson Fabian (2nd-4th round for most scouts) and RHP Nolan Crisp (pure college reliever, smaller guy with solid avg stuff and good feel). I know Florida has tried in the past on Tyler Danish (who signed out of HS) and JB Bukauskas reclassified to get to UNC a year faster, but was still eligible for the draft. It's rare b/c I think kids like playing their senior year and having the draft option in case someone offers a ton.
Jake
1:06
Any small school college bats a la Richie Palacios you're intrigued by?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
All the guys we like are on the board (200 strong!): https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-mlb-draft?sort=-1,1...
If you throw out baseball mid majors like UNC Wilmington and Grand Canyon
and FIU and Creighton
1:08
John Rave at Illinois State is really the first one and he's in the others of note
Matthew Barefoot at Campbell probably qualifies, too
1:09
he's also 89-92 from the left side on the mound and has a crazy name, but I can confirm that I've seen him play and he does indeed wear shoes
37
1:09
Something I’ve been wondering: a lot of the time you say that a prospect might be able to come out of the pen if he fails as a starter, but is there a prospect archetype that, if they fail as a starter, they’re just not going to be useful? Or is it safe to assume that every starter has reliever potential?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:09
The Kolby Allard type where it's all command of average stuff plays much worse in the pen than others
Whereas the Alek Manaoah 60-70 stuff type plays maybe even better
XXXTentacion
1:10
At what point do the Cubs tear down? Because right now their title chances are looking pretty shot
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:10
The most unreasonable fan of the chat and it isn't a Braves fan!
Rod
1:10
I like Bryson Stott for Atlanta at 9 but I'm starting to think he might not be there.  Thoughts on his rise?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:10
We've had him in the top 10 for over a year, so not that much has changed, really.
Mike
1:10
Wat's been happening to Carter Stewart that his stock has fallen? He still seems like he has better stuff than any of the pitchers ranked before him on the big board and plenty of projection.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:12
His last outing was 90-93, touched higher but couldn't throw strikes at 94-97, body/command/delivery have backed up some, curveball isn't as crisp, added a cutter that isn't doing much yet
He can still recover, but at this time last year he was 91-95, touching 97 with more strikes, flashing a 70 hook and showing starter traits with projection in the frame, then was sitting 93-95 a month later
1:13
If you scout off of radar readings on twitter or Ks against weaker JC competition, he would look the same, though
Man
1:13
Also, any trips planned to the Box?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:13
Never been to LSU, would like to go but it's also the furthest SEC school and they come to Athens this year, so seems unlikely
Fangraphs reader
1:14
I assume the Astros had trackman installed at Campbell for their minor league team, do they still have it there, and who gets access to that data?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:15
They do have it there but it belongs to the school and goes to every MLB club, which is convenient with Seth Johnson and Matthew Barefoot there and Greg Jones in conference
GraphsFan
1:15
Kiley, do you have a preference for scouting College, High School, or International prospects? Are there any big differences in scouting each?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:16
They're all different and fun in their own ways. Int'l is definitely the hardest b/c the context/background matters so much more and I'm always parachuting in for a look or two
JuCo Route
1:16
Loved the article earlier on JC's getting scouted more by pro teams with Trackman's in every SEC stadium.  I love to see a JC arm go in the first round, any chance Rutledge at San Jac or this Antoine Kelly kid go in the 1st round?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:20
Rutledge seems likely at this point. 12 SEC teams have TrackMan, so there's still 2 without it: Alabama and Florida
Danny
1:20
Will the Yankees be able to "float" a higher signing bonus player to their pick at 30 by using the pool money from the Reds' supplemental pick?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:21
They may try to and they may be successful...you never know if the guy they want at 30 just gets there without any chicanery
Dominik
1:21
Could vaughn play third? Read he played there in HS. Or is it 1b only?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:21
It's 1B only
NotGraphs Revivalist
1:22
I’m also watching Thrones for the first time! Which season are you on now?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:22
halfway thru S3E4
NotGraphs Revivalist
1:22
So Kiley...when is that ATL Fangraphs meetup happening
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:23
Don't know! Send me a twitter DM if you're interested and I'll figure something out if there's enough interest
Miggy
1:23
Any info on Ben Brecht SP, UCSB?
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