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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 2/6/19
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Felix
12:52
What kind of power upside does Shed Long have?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:52
25 HR
Weenie
12:52
What's to stop a different team from giving a better offer for an international free agent? Like someone topping SFG by $1M after they like what they see from Luciano. Seems confusing why teams/players are agreeing to deals two years in advance, especially when their prospect stock can go up/down and other teams could still theoretically jump in?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
Well the agent can't do early deals if he starts breaking them and if he can't do early deals then he has to settle for whoever has money left on signing day, which is a much less robust market.
Secondly, when we asked amateur scouts about Luciano most of them said some version of "I liked what I saw earlier, but wanted more games to see if he had closed up holes, then he had a bad showing at an event, disappeared for awhile, then he had a solid event and he was done and I haven't seen him for over a year"
12:54
All 30 teams don't get all the looks they want. Some teams that don't spend money may only see these guys at 1-2 open events before they disappear
It's common for top of the market players to turn down bigger offers after a verbal deal
12:55
There's similarities to football recruiting, too. If the parents think your team is looking out for their son, to them $4M from you vs. $6M from some guys they don't know isn't an easy of a decision as you may think from the outside. We've all seen huge bonus kids get mismanaged by PD departments
Cal Stevenson
12:56
Was my electric appy league season nothing to sneeze at or was it something to sneeze at?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
We'd like to see more. You had a great K/BB ratio as a 21 year old in the Appy league and you have very little power. K/BB will regress against better pitching, then what's really there beyond speed and CF fit?
Chuncey Wiggins
12:57
Is there an aspect to overly zealous fandom that you don't get? Do you ever see a fan do something and wonder how it ever got to that point?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
Yeah I'm so far removed from that it does seem foreign at times. When I meet people they ask what teams I root for and I say the ones where my friends work, or the ones with players I personally like. I can't remember the last time I was legit down because of how a game turned out.
12:59
IT ME, BASEBALL ROBOT
MEEP MORP
Otto Lopez
12:59
Am I a sleeper?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
I guess, probable upside is utility so maybe a napper?
Nolan
12:59
Jerrion Ealy just re-committed to Ole Miss!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
As I noted on twitter, I was told Bama/Clemson told Ealy it's 100% football if you come here, so if he chose Ole Miss, that means he's still in play for the draft
And presumably playing 2 sports if he gets to campus
Kurupt FM
1:00
Whats the highest FV a MiLB reliever has gotten? With the increased emphasis on bullpens has this changed a lot recently?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
i think 50 is about as high as we can go. Top relievers in MLB are 60, maybe 65 so 50, maybe 55 is about as high as a reliever could be without MLB time
NotGraphs Revivalist
1:03
Kiley, I respect your snark game. Keep it up
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Bring back NotGraphs!
Shirtless Bartolo on a Darkhorse
1:03
If a question goes unanswered in a chat, was it really even asked at all?
Danny
1:03
Baseball America reporting that Jasson Dominguez is likely to sign with the Yankees on July 2. Can you give a scouting report and how does he compare to other recent top IFA signings at the time of signing (Luciano, Franco)?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
That was reported in this chat over a month ago
1:04
And Dominguez will be discussed in Prospects Week next week
Richard
1:04
Have you noticed a significant difference in your interactions with other scouts while you were employed by the Braves as opposed to by Fangraphs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
Not really. Guys you don't know super well don't want to tell an opposing scout or a media member a ton about his list. When you know/trust someone, you get about the same level of honesty. There's always some stuff that goes unsaid, or like post draft a friend will tell me the guy he was hiding all spring and he'll ask how much I knew.
Rivervillian
1:07
I only know of Pardinho, but are there any other Brazilian prospects in the minor leagues generally? And is there any sign of interest in baseball expanding in Brazil?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
Luiz Gohara is the other big one
Tom
1:07
If Universal DH is good for Dan Vogelbach, is Universal DH is good for all of us?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
We should all want Dan Vogelbach to be happy
Jason
1:07
Is Jerrion Ealy actually a first-round talent?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
Fringe first round for us, maybe more 30's than 20's, but that's not a huge difference
Kiley Quips <3
1:07
Good lord it's like no one has a sense of humor/a sense for what is a good question. Keep lighting 'em up!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
I LIKE THIS GUY
SLASH GIRL SLASH OTHER
Danny
1:08
From back to front, how many hours do you think goes into each team's prospect sheet (specifcally, the total amount you and Eric put in)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:09
We laughed when we had a phone call to firm up the NYY list and set it after all the phone calls and a couple hours of whipping it into shape...and that finalizing phone call was 2 hours
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